Green Bay
Horizon
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#179
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#205
Pace82.8#16
Improvement+0.2#151

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#138
First Shot-1.8#234
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#52
Layup/Dunks+1.6#111
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#265
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#86
Freethrows-4.7#340
Improvement+0.0#154

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#237
First Shot-7.9#344
After Offensive Rebounds+5.6#9
Layups/Dunks-2.5#258
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#133
Freethrows-1.5#260
Improvement+0.2#149
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.8% 20.7% 11.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 13.5 14.5
.500 or above 47.3% 76.5% 45.4%
.500 or above in Conference 72.8% 87.2% 71.9%
Conference Champion 13.7% 26.0% 13.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 0.8% 2.4%
First Four0.9% 0.3% 1.0%
First Round11.4% 20.6% 10.8%
Second Round0.9% 2.5% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin (Away) - 6.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 65 - 12
Quad 410 - 415 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 16   @ Purdue L 57-79 6%     0 - 1 -5.0 -9.5 +4.7
  Nov 13, 2019 94   @ New Mexico L 78-93 19%     0 - 2 -6.9 -8.3 +4.3
  Nov 21, 2019 29   @ Wisconsin L 62-79 6%    
  Nov 25, 2019 294   Cal St. Northridge W 91-82 81%    
  Nov 26, 2019 152   Colgate W 81-79 55%    
  Nov 30, 2019 208   @ Montana St. L 77-79 45%    
  Dec 04, 2019 36   @ Xavier L 70-86 8%    
  Dec 07, 2019 188   @ Eastern Illinois L 78-81 41%    
  Dec 10, 2019 115   @ Central Florida L 71-78 26%    
  Dec 14, 2019 139   Evansville W 79-78 51%    
  Dec 21, 2019 160   @ Northern Illinois L 75-79 36%    
  Dec 28, 2019 109   @ Wright St. L 78-86 25%    
  Dec 30, 2019 126   @ Northern Kentucky L 74-80 29%    
  Jan 03, 2020 209   Illinois-Chicago W 77-73 65%    
  Jan 05, 2020 265   IUPUI W 84-77 75%    
  Jan 11, 2020 248   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 80-74 72%    
  Jan 16, 2020 178   Oakland W 77-74 60%    
  Jan 18, 2020 284   Detroit Mercy W 88-79 77%    
  Jan 23, 2020 344   @ Cleveland St. W 86-76 80%    
  Jan 25, 2020 249   @ Youngstown St. W 81-80 52%    
  Jan 31, 2020 126   Northern Kentucky L 77-78 49%    
  Feb 02, 2020 109   Wright St. L 81-83 45%    
  Feb 06, 2020 265   @ IUPUI W 81-80 55%    
  Feb 08, 2020 209   @ Illinois-Chicago L 74-76 45%    
  Feb 15, 2020 248   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 78-77 52%    
  Feb 21, 2020 284   @ Detroit Mercy W 85-82 59%    
  Feb 23, 2020 178   @ Oakland L 74-77 39%    
  Feb 27, 2020 249   Youngstown St. W 84-77 71%    
  Feb 29, 2020 344   Cleveland St. W 89-73 91%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 2.1 3.8 3.6 2.5 1.0 0.2 13.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.2 5.4 3.4 0.9 0.2 15.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 5.3 5.6 2.0 0.3 0.0 15.3 3rd
4th 0.2 2.0 5.6 5.0 1.4 0.1 14.2 4th
5th 0.2 2.0 4.8 4.1 0.8 0.1 12.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.5 3.3 0.7 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.3 2.6 0.5 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.1 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.0 4.7 7.0 9.5 10.7 12.4 12.4 11.8 9.7 7.5 4.6 2.6 1.0 0.2 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 1.0    1.0 0.0
16-2 94.3% 2.5    2.2 0.3 0.0
15-3 79.6% 3.6    2.6 1.0 0.0
14-4 50.7% 3.8    1.9 1.6 0.3 0.0
13-5 21.9% 2.1    0.7 0.9 0.4 0.1
12-6 4.3% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.7% 13.7 8.5 4.1 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 58.1% 51.6% 6.5% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.3%
17-1 1.0% 39.0% 38.7% 0.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.5%
16-2 2.6% 41.7% 41.7% 13.2 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.5
15-3 4.6% 32.5% 32.5% 13.6 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.1
14-4 7.5% 26.9% 26.9% 14.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 5.5
13-5 9.7% 19.0% 19.0% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.1 7.8
12-6 11.8% 13.6% 13.6% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.3 10.2
11-7 12.4% 10.1% 10.1% 15.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 11.1
10-8 12.4% 8.0% 8.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 11.4
9-9 10.7% 4.8% 4.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 10.2
8-10 9.5% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.3 9.2
7-11 7.0% 1.6% 1.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 6.9
6-12 4.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 4.7
5-13 3.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.0
4-14 1.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.7
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.8% 11.8% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 3.3 3.5 2.3 88.2 0.0%