Long Beach St.
Big West
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#305
Expected Predictive Rating-6.7#270
Pace77.7#25
Improvement-4.3#324

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#303
First Shot-2.9#271
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#306
Layup/Dunks-1.0#217
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#64
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#259
Freethrows-1.8#307
Improvement-2.7#308

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#282
First Shot-2.7#258
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#263
Layups/Dunks-0.8#208
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#112
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#330
Freethrows+1.0#122
Improvement-1.6#266
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.6% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 8.0% 19.2% 5.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 42.7% 24.8% 46.6%
First Four0.9% 1.4% 0.8%
First Round0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Irvine (Home) - 18.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 21 - 7
Quad 32 - 73 - 15
Quad 45 - 88 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 125   @ UCLA L 65-69 10%     0 - 1 +1.6 -4.8 +6.3
  Nov 09, 2019 192   San Diego W 74-62 35%     1 - 1 +7.3 -6.1 +12.2
  Nov 12, 2019 44   @ Stanford L 58-86 3%     1 - 2 -14.4 -5.0 -9.4
  Nov 14, 2019 37   @ St. Mary's L 63-81 3%     1 - 3 -3.7 -1.3 -3.5
  Nov 24, 2019 11   @ Arizona L 67-104 2%     1 - 4 -19.0 -9.9 -2.6
  Nov 28, 2019 61   Providence W 66-65 7%     2 - 4 +9.2 -5.1 +14.2
  Nov 29, 2019 105   Wake Forest L 75-88 11%     2 - 5 -8.4 -1.5 -6.1
  Dec 01, 2019 148   Penn L 79-95 18%     2 - 6 -15.0 +0.3 -14.1
  Dec 07, 2019 159   Pacific L 46-65 28%     2 - 7 -21.5 -21.8 -1.7
  Dec 15, 2019 58   @ USC L 76-87 4%     2 - 8 +0.3 +7.7 -7.1
  Dec 19, 2019 158   Southern Utah L 63-84 27%     2 - 9 -23.4 -10.1 -12.7
  Dec 21, 2019 276   Utah Valley W 68-65 52%     3 - 9 -6.2 -11.8 +5.4
  Dec 23, 2019 198   @ Seattle L 57-79 20%     3 - 10 -21.6 -20.6 +1.2
  Dec 28, 2019 19   @ Florida L 63-102 2%     3 - 11 -22.3 -8.0 -10.3
  Jan 08, 2020 270   @ Cal St. Northridge L 77-95 30%     3 - 12 0 - 1 -21.3 -8.6 -10.7
  Jan 11, 2020 163   @ UC Santa Barbara W 55-52 14%     4 - 12 1 - 1 +6.1 -10.6 +17.1
  Jan 16, 2020 250   UC Davis L 82-85 47%     4 - 13 1 - 2 -10.8 +1.0 -11.6
  Jan 18, 2020 275   Cal St. Fullerton L 62-66 52%     4 - 14 1 - 3 -13.2 -14.1 +1.1
  Jan 22, 2020 112   UC Irvine L 67-77 18%    
  Jan 30, 2020 256   @ UC Riverside L 63-69 28%    
  Feb 01, 2020 163   UC Santa Barbara L 68-74 29%    
  Feb 05, 2020 318   @ Cal Poly L 69-71 42%    
  Feb 13, 2020 173   @ Hawaii L 69-80 15%    
  Feb 15, 2020 256   UC Riverside L 66-67 50%    
  Feb 19, 2020 112   @ UC Irvine L 65-80 8%    
  Feb 22, 2020 173   Hawaii L 72-77 31%    
  Feb 26, 2020 270   Cal St. Northridge W 80-79 52%    
  Feb 29, 2020 250   @ UC Davis L 68-75 26%    
  Mar 05, 2020 318   Cal Poly W 72-68 64%    
  Mar 07, 2020 275   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 67-72 31%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 5 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 2.7 0.8 0.0 5.1 4th
5th 0.0 2.0 4.8 1.8 0.1 8.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.8 7.5 3.7 0.2 13.3 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 9.4 6.8 0.6 0.0 18.9 7th
8th 0.2 3.3 10.8 9.0 1.4 0.0 24.6 8th
9th 1.5 5.9 10.5 7.6 1.4 0.0 26.9 9th
Total 1.5 6.1 13.8 20.4 21.7 17.8 10.7 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
11-5 17.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 4.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0% 0.0
11-5 0.1% 8.5% 8.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
10-6 0.6% 6.2% 6.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.5
9-7 2.0% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.1 1.9
8-8 5.4% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 5.3
7-9 10.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 10.5
6-10 17.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 17.6
5-11 21.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 21.5
4-12 20.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 20.4
3-13 13.8% 13.8
2-14 6.1% 6.1
1-15 1.5% 1.5
0-16
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.9 99.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.5%