Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#222
Expected Predictive Rating-4.2#231
Pace71.3#135
Improvement+3.1#2

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#192
First Shot+0.4#158
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#210
Layup/Dunks+4.4#52
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#254
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#235
Freethrows-0.2#181
Improvement+1.4#33

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#263
First Shot-0.8#195
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#288
Layups/Dunks-0.4#191
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#100
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#145
Freethrows-2.6#300
Improvement+1.6#21
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.6% 9.9% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.1 15.4
.500 or above 56.7% 66.3% 43.2%
.500 or above in Conference 60.9% 65.7% 54.3%
Conference Champion 9.6% 11.4% 7.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.4% 3.3% 6.0%
First Four1.7% 1.5% 2.0%
First Round7.8% 9.3% 5.6%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: IUPUI (Neutral) - 58.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 63 - 10
Quad 413 - 516 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 26   @ Marquette L 53-88 5%     0 - 1 -19.2 -17.1 +0.8
  Nov 09, 2019 353   @ Chicago St. W 98-85 90%     1 - 1 -4.7 +1.6 -8.1
  Nov 13, 2019 130   @ Old Dominion L 53-62 21%     1 - 2 -3.8 -9.7 +5.5
  Nov 17, 2019 285   Fairfield W 84-75 OT 73%     2 - 2 -0.7 -0.1 -1.4
  Nov 19, 2019 146   @ George Mason L 61-65 24%     2 - 3 +0.0 -2.1 +1.6
  Nov 25, 2019 265   IUPUI W 76-74 58%    
  Dec 01, 2019 326   Binghamton W 77-66 84%    
  Dec 04, 2019 348   @ Delaware St. W 68-58 84%    
  Dec 07, 2019 282   @ Mount St. Mary's W 69-68 51%    
  Dec 27, 2019 276   Umass Lowell W 82-76 70%    
  Dec 29, 2019 41   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 65-83 6%    
  Jan 02, 2020 340   Holy Cross W 80-67 88%    
  Jan 05, 2020 240   @ Lehigh L 77-79 43%    
  Jan 08, 2020 152   @ Colgate L 71-78 28%    
  Jan 11, 2020 220   Lafayette W 78-75 60%    
  Jan 13, 2020 173   Boston University W 73-72 51%    
  Jan 18, 2020 261   @ Army L 74-75 47%    
  Jan 22, 2020 232   American W 75-72 62%    
  Jan 25, 2020 162   @ Bucknell L 73-79 29%    
  Jan 29, 2020 173   @ Boston University L 69-75 31%    
  Feb 01, 2020 252   Navy W 69-64 65%    
  Feb 05, 2020 340   @ Holy Cross W 77-70 74%    
  Feb 08, 2020 162   Bucknell L 76-77 50%    
  Feb 12, 2020 232   @ American L 72-75 42%    
  Feb 16, 2020 152   Colgate L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 19, 2020 261   Army W 77-72 68%    
  Feb 22, 2020 220   @ Lafayette L 75-78 40%    
  Feb 26, 2020 252   @ Navy L 66-67 45%    
  Feb 29, 2020 240   Lehigh W 80-76 63%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 2.3 2.8 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 9.6 1st
2nd 0.2 1.7 4.2 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 11.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.3 5.1 3.6 0.8 0.1 12.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.9 3.5 0.6 0.0 12.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 5.8 4.0 0.6 0.0 12.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.1 4.2 0.7 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.6 3.8 0.7 0.0 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.6 3.1 0.7 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 2.6 1.8 0.4 0.0 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.9 5.1 7.4 9.9 11.7 13.1 13.1 11.1 9.4 6.6 4.1 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
16-2 98.3% 0.9    0.9 0.1 0.0
15-3 88.3% 2.0    1.6 0.4 0.0
14-4 67.0% 2.8    1.7 0.9 0.1 0.0
13-5 35.3% 2.3    0.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
12-6 10.9% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.6% 9.6 5.6 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 41.7% 41.7% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 44.4% 44.4% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.0% 37.9% 37.9% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6
15-3 2.3% 30.4% 30.4% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.6
14-4 4.1% 25.6% 25.6% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.1 3.1
13-5 6.6% 19.2% 19.2% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.3 5.3
12-6 9.4% 14.8% 14.8% 15.3 0.1 0.7 0.6 8.0
11-7 11.1% 10.4% 10.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 9.9
10-8 13.1% 7.7% 7.7% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 12.1
9-9 13.1% 6.0% 6.0% 15.9 0.1 0.7 12.3
8-10 11.7% 3.0% 3.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 11.4
7-11 9.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 9.7
6-12 7.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 7.3
5-13 5.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 5.1
4-14 2.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.9
3-15 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.2 3.8 91.4 0.0%