Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#271
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#259
Pace71.1#133
Improvement-4.0#315

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#218
First Shot+1.2#136
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#323
Layup/Dunks+2.6#77
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#252
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#217
Freethrows+1.2#95
Improvement-1.7#259

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#311
First Shot-3.8#300
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#261
Layups/Dunks-1.1#224
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#190
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#277
Freethrows-0.4#205
Improvement-2.3#293
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 2.8% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 18.2% 27.0% 9.3%
.500 or above in Conference 10.1% 16.2% 4.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 17.3% 10.3% 24.5%
First Four1.6% 1.9% 1.3%
First Round1.5% 1.9% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: American (Home) - 50.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 81 - 11
Quad 412 - 714 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 27   @ Marquette L 53-88 3%     0 - 1 -19.6 -17.8 +1.1
  Nov 09, 2019 352   @ Chicago St. W 98-85 87%     1 - 1 -5.3 +1.0 -8.2
  Nov 13, 2019 168   @ Old Dominion L 53-62 20%     1 - 2 -6.2 -10.6 +3.9
  Nov 17, 2019 253   Fairfield W 84-75 OT 57%     2 - 2 +1.0 +2.7 -2.5
  Nov 19, 2019 153   @ George Mason L 61-65 18%     2 - 3 -0.5 -2.7 +1.7
  Nov 25, 2019 321   IUPUI W 81-77 63%     3 - 3 -5.6 -6.1 +0.1
  Nov 26, 2019 211   @ Nebraska Omaha L 65-70 29%     3 - 4 -5.3 -9.2 +3.8
  Dec 01, 2019 335   Binghamton W 77-65 78%     4 - 4 -2.1 -2.4 +0.7
  Dec 04, 2019 348   @ Delaware St. W 84-76 79%     5 - 4 -6.6 +6.9 -13.7
  Dec 07, 2019 282   @ Mount St. Mary's W 64-48 42%     6 - 4 +11.9 -0.3 +14.6
  Dec 27, 2019 268   Umass Lowell W 93-81 61%     7 - 4 +3.1 +4.5 -2.5
  Dec 29, 2019 45   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 51-85 4%     7 - 5 -20.6 -11.8 -9.4
  Jan 02, 2020 339   Holy Cross W 80-70 82%     8 - 5 1 - 0 -5.7 -1.9 -3.6
  Jan 05, 2020 269   @ Lehigh L 71-78 39%     8 - 6 1 - 1 -10.3 -4.5 -5.9
  Jan 08, 2020 129   @ Colgate L 70-92 15%     8 - 7 1 - 2 -16.8 -5.3 -10.7
  Jan 11, 2020 194   Lafayette L 62-65 45%     8 - 8 1 - 3 -7.8 -12.6 +4.7
  Jan 13, 2020 180   Boston University L 53-85 40%     8 - 9 1 - 4 -35.5 -26.2 -7.5
  Jan 18, 2020 295   @ Army L 80-81 45%     8 - 10 1 - 5 -5.9 +6.2 -12.1
  Jan 22, 2020 217   American W 73-72 50%    
  Jan 25, 2020 219   @ Bucknell L 71-77 29%    
  Jan 29, 2020 180   @ Boston University L 68-76 21%    
  Feb 01, 2020 218   Navy W 66-65 50%    
  Feb 05, 2020 339   @ Holy Cross W 76-72 63%    
  Feb 08, 2020 219   Bucknell W 74-73 51%    
  Feb 12, 2020 217   @ American L 69-75 29%    
  Feb 16, 2020 129   Colgate L 70-76 30%    
  Feb 19, 2020 295   Army W 76-72 66%    
  Feb 22, 2020 194   @ Lafayette L 70-77 25%    
  Feb 26, 2020 218   @ Navy L 62-68 29%    
  Feb 29, 2020 269   Lehigh W 77-74 61%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 1.2 0.1 2.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 3.0 0.6 0.0 5.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.1 1.8 0.1 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.8 8.9 4.6 0.3 18.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 6.8 11.5 6.5 0.8 0.0 26.9 8th
9th 0.3 3.0 8.3 10.3 4.9 0.8 0.0 27.7 9th
10th 0.4 1.7 3.2 2.6 0.8 0.1 8.8 10th
Total 0.4 2.1 6.2 12.3 18.4 20.4 18.0 12.0 6.4 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 41.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 13.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 15.0% 15.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-7 0.8% 13.8% 13.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7
10-8 2.7% 8.1% 8.1% 15.8 0.0 0.2 2.5
9-9 6.4% 5.9% 5.9% 15.9 0.0 0.3 6.0
8-10 12.0% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.5 11.5
7-11 18.0% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 17.7
6-12 20.4% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.3 20.1
5-13 18.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 18.2
4-14 12.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.3
3-15 6.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.2
2-16 2.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.1
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.1 97.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%