Fairfield
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#280
Expected Predictive Rating-8.2#274
Pace61.3#340
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#307
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#206
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.7% 7.7% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.6
.500 or above 30.9% 46.3% 24.1%
.500 or above in Conference 52.0% 61.3% 47.9%
Conference Champion 5.5% 7.6% 4.6%
Last Place in Conference 6.9% 4.6% 8.0%
First Four2.4% 2.7% 2.3%
First Round4.6% 6.5% 3.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Maryland (Away) - 30.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 412 - 913 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 144   Bucknell L 64-68 33%     0 - 1 -5.9 -7.2 +1.2
  Nov 09, 2019 189   Massachusetts L 60-62 43%     0 - 2 -6.6 -8.2 +1.4
  Nov 12, 2019 315   @ Holy Cross W 68-63 OT 52%     1 - 2 -1.8 -5.5 +3.9
  Nov 17, 2019 233   @ Loyola Maryland L 65-70 31%    
  Nov 19, 2019 10   @ Maryland L 53-79 1%    
  Nov 28, 2019 60   USC L 60-75 8%    
  Dec 08, 2019 172   William & Mary L 67-69 41%    
  Dec 21, 2019 168   @ Oakland L 59-68 21%    
  Dec 28, 2019 335   @ Wagner W 69-67 56%    
  Jan 03, 2020 322   @ Niagara W 68-67 54%    
  Jan 05, 2020 305   @ Canisius L 64-65 47%    
  Jan 08, 2020 330   Marist W 64-56 75%    
  Jan 10, 2020 270   Manhattan W 66-64 57%    
  Jan 15, 2020 331   St. Peter's W 61-53 75%    
  Jan 17, 2020 198   @ Iona L 66-73 26%    
  Jan 24, 2020 251   @ Quinnipiac L 63-68 33%    
  Jan 26, 2020 305   Canisius W 67-62 67%    
  Jan 31, 2020 165   @ Rider L 68-77 22%    
  Feb 04, 2020 252   Monmouth W 63-62 55%    
  Feb 07, 2020 197   @ Siena L 64-71 26%    
  Feb 09, 2020 198   Iona L 69-70 45%    
  Feb 14, 2020 330   @ Marist W 61-59 55%    
  Feb 16, 2020 331   @ St. Peter's W 58-56 55%    
  Feb 21, 2020 322   Niagara W 71-64 72%    
  Feb 23, 2020 197   Siena L 67-68 45%    
  Feb 28, 2020 251   Quinnipiac W 66-65 54%    
  Mar 01, 2020 165   Rider L 71-74 41%    
  Mar 04, 2020 252   @ Monmouth L 60-65 34%    
  Mar 06, 2020 270   @ Manhattan L 63-67 37%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 5.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.6 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.9 3.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 9.8 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 3.4 3.9 1.7 0.4 0.0 10.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.9 4.6 2.0 0.2 0.0 12.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 4.8 4.8 1.7 0.2 13.0 6th
7th 0.2 1.4 4.5 4.2 1.4 0.1 11.8 7th
8th 0.2 1.2 4.0 3.6 1.4 0.2 10.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.3 1.7 3.4 2.8 0.9 0.1 9.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.0 1.8 0.6 0.0 6.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 3.1 4.7 6.7 8.9 10.5 11.7 11.2 10.6 9.3 7.3 5.8 3.8 2.3 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
18-2 98.1% 0.5    0.4 0.1
17-3 85.7% 0.8    0.7 0.1
16-4 66.1% 1.5    0.9 0.6 0.1
15-5 40.3% 1.5    0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
14-6 12.0% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1
13-7 2.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.5% 5.5 3.1 1.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.5% 34.6% 34.6% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
17-3 0.9% 34.1% 34.1% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.6
16-4 2.3% 23.9% 23.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.8
15-5 3.8% 19.9% 19.9% 15.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 3.1
14-6 5.8% 14.3% 14.3% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.6 5.0
13-7 7.3% 11.6% 11.6% 15.8 0.2 0.7 6.5
12-8 9.3% 7.4% 7.4% 15.9 0.0 0.7 8.6
11-9 10.6% 5.7% 5.7% 15.9 0.1 0.6 10.0
10-10 11.2% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.4 10.8
9-11 11.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 11.6
8-12 10.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.4
7-13 8.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 8.8
6-14 6.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.7
5-15 4.7% 4.7
4-16 3.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.1
3-17 1.5% 1.5
2-18 0.7% 0.7
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.7 94.3 0.0%