Saint Louis
Atlantic 10
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.9#116
Expected Predictive Rating+6.3#94
Pace69.2#193
Improvement-1.1#307

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#177
First Shot-1.9#228
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#86
Layup/Dunks+1.9#108
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#272
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#257
Freethrows+0.9#117
Improvement-2.0#350

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#91
First Shot+3.7#76
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#224
Layups/Dunks+4.3#45
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#319
Freethrows+1.1#137
Improvement+0.9#52
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% 5.7% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.5% 1.6% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.2 11.2 13.6
.500 or above 69.0% 70.8% 37.4%
.500 or above in Conference 60.7% 62.1% 34.5%
Conference Champion 3.8% 3.9% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 2.5% 6.6%
First Four1.1% 1.2% 0.0%
First Round4.9% 5.0% 3.1%
Second Round1.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Home) - 94.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 5
Quad 22 - 53 - 9
Quad 35 - 48 - 13
Quad 49 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 290   Florida Gulf Coast W 89-67 88%     1 - 0 +11.8 +17.5 -4.5
  Nov 09, 2019 172   Valparaiso W 81-70 74%     2 - 0 +7.3 +2.4 +4.2
  Nov 13, 2019 202   Eastern Washington W 82-60 78%     3 - 0 +16.7 -0.3 +15.2
  Nov 17, 2019 15   Seton Hall L 66-83 20%     3 - 1 -5.3 -4.2 -0.4
  Nov 20, 2019 326   High Point W 73-56 95%    
  Nov 23, 2019 63   Belmont L 75-78 40%    
  Nov 27, 2019 99   @ Boston College L 68-73 32%    
  Dec 01, 2019 225   Southern Illinois W 68-59 81%    
  Dec 08, 2019 211   Tulane W 75-69 70%    
  Dec 14, 2019 24   Auburn L 67-77 18%    
  Dec 21, 2019 50   @ Kansas St. L 56-66 20%    
  Dec 29, 2019 337   Bethune-Cookman W 81-63 94%    
  Jan 02, 2020 97   @ Duquesne L 67-72 33%    
  Jan 05, 2020 167   Massachusetts W 72-66 71%    
  Jan 08, 2020 258   George Washington W 72-61 83%    
  Jan 11, 2020 105   @ Richmond L 69-73 37%    
  Jan 17, 2020 64   Dayton L 68-71 41%    
  Jan 22, 2020 70   @ Davidson L 62-70 24%    
  Jan 26, 2020 226   Fordham W 66-57 78%    
  Jan 29, 2020 203   @ La Salle W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 01, 2020 188   @ Saint Joseph's W 80-79 53%    
  Feb 05, 2020 97   Duquesne W 70-69 54%    
  Feb 08, 2020 64   @ Dayton L 65-74 23%    
  Feb 15, 2020 203   La Salle W 72-64 75%    
  Feb 18, 2020 167   @ Massachusetts W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 21, 2020 40   Virginia Commonwealth L 68-73 32%    
  Feb 26, 2020 188   Saint Joseph's W 83-76 75%    
  Mar 01, 2020 76   @ Rhode Island L 66-73 28%    
  Mar 04, 2020 142   @ George Mason L 69-70 44%    
  Mar 07, 2020 144   St. Bonaventure W 68-63 66%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.1 3.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 2.8 2.3 0.9 0.0 7.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 3.7 2.0 0.3 7.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 3.3 3.3 0.5 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.8 4.1 4.1 1.6 0.1 10.7 5th
6th 0.4 3.8 5.6 1.2 0.0 11.0 6th
7th 0.4 2.6 4.8 2.4 0.1 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 4.8 3.5 0.6 9.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 3.6 3.0 0.6 8.6 9th
10th 0.3 2.7 3.4 0.8 7.2 10th
11th 0.2 1.3 3.1 1.3 5.9 11th
12th 0.0 1.1 2.2 1.5 0.0 4.8 12th
13th 0.2 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.0 2.6 13th
14th 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.5 14th
Total 0.4 0.6 1.0 2.5 4.8 8.6 9.8 11.7 13.5 14.0 10.2 10.5 5.7 3.6 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 96.8% 0.6    0.5 0.1
15-3 63.7% 1.5    0.9 0.6 0.1
14-4 28.9% 1.0    0.3 0.3 0.4 0.1
13-5 7.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 50.0% 50.0% 4.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0
16-2 0.6% 38.9% 10.3% 28.6% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 31.9%
15-3 2.3% 44.0% 23.7% 20.3% 10.5 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 1.3 26.6%
14-4 3.6% 35.8% 26.0% 9.8% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.0 2.3 13.3%
13-5 5.7% 17.8% 12.2% 5.6% 11.7 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 4.7 6.4%
12-6 10.5% 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 11.8 0.3 0.6 0.1 9.5 0.1%
11-7 10.2% 2.6% 2.6% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 9.9
10-8 14.0% 2.5% 2.5% 12.4 0.3 0.0 0.1 13.7
9-9 13.5% 0.3% 0.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.5
8-10 11.7% 1.6% 1.6% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 11.5
7-11 9.8% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 9.8
6-12 8.6% 8.6
5-13 4.8% 4.8
4-14 2.5% 2.5
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18
Total 100% 5.6% 4.1% 1.5% 11.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 94.4 1.5%