Saint Louis
Atlantic 10
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.8#92
Expected Predictive Rating+10.4#48
Pace68.9#194
Improvement-0.2#197

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#173
First Shot-1.4#224
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#73
Layup/Dunks+3.0#63
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#222
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#290
Freethrows+0.2#159
Improvement-2.3#294

Defense
Total Defense+5.7#45
First Shot+6.1#29
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#204
Layups/Dunks+4.5#37
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#167
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#105
Freethrows-0.5#215
Improvement+2.0#63
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.0% 13.0% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.8% 7.8% 2.6%
Average Seed 10.9 10.8 11.2
.500 or above 99.9% 100.0% 99.8%
.500 or above in Conference 89.3% 95.9% 84.4%
Conference Champion 1.6% 3.1% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.3% 5.1% 2.0%
First Round7.0% 10.0% 4.9%
Second Round2.1% 3.2% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Davidson (Away) - 42.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 23 - 35 - 8
Quad 37 - 212 - 10
Quad 410 - 022 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 304   Florida Gulf Coast W 89-67 94%     1 - 0 +10.7 +18.8 -6.9
  Nov 09, 2019 171   Valparaiso W 81-70 80%     2 - 0 +7.8 +2.0 +5.3
  Nov 13, 2019 187   Eastern Washington W 82-60 83%     3 - 0 +17.7 -1.8 +17.7
  Nov 17, 2019 8   Seton Hall L 66-83 25%     3 - 1 -4.2 -2.0 -1.6
  Nov 20, 2019 344   High Point W 67-55 97%     4 - 1 -5.1 -10.3 +6.1
  Nov 23, 2019 88   Belmont W 60-55 61%     5 - 1 +8.1 -11.6 +19.7
  Nov 27, 2019 153   @ Boston College W 64-54 58%     6 - 1 +13.9 -6.9 +20.3
  Dec 01, 2019 189   Southern Illinois W 69-60 83%     7 - 1 +4.5 +1.4 +3.8
  Dec 08, 2019 168   Tulane W 86-62 72%     8 - 1 +23.9 +19.7 +6.2
  Dec 14, 2019 25   Auburn L 61-67 26%     8 - 2 +6.6 -0.9 +7.1
  Dec 21, 2019 85   @ Kansas St. W 66-63 37%     9 - 2 +12.4 +4.5 +8.1
  Dec 29, 2019 301   Bethune-Cookman W 77-67 93%     10 - 2 -1.0 -7.5 +5.8
  Jan 02, 2020 89   @ Duquesne L 59-73 38%     10 - 3 0 - 1 -5.2 -10.7 +6.1
  Jan 05, 2020 200   Massachusetts W 83-80 OT 85%     11 - 3 1 - 1 -2.4 -9.2 +6.1
  Jan 08, 2020 192   George Washington W 63-58 84%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +0.3 -6.0 +6.7
  Jan 11, 2020 79   @ Richmond W 74-58 35%     13 - 3 3 - 1 +25.8 +2.5 +23.0
  Jan 17, 2020 9   Dayton L 76-78 OT 25%     13 - 4 3 - 2 +10.8 +0.4 +10.5
  Jan 22, 2020 103   @ Davidson L 64-66 43%    
  Jan 26, 2020 259   Fordham W 65-51 91%    
  Jan 29, 2020 172   @ La Salle W 67-64 61%    
  Feb 01, 2020 241   @ Saint Joseph's W 76-69 75%    
  Feb 05, 2020 89   Duquesne W 67-64 60%    
  Feb 08, 2020 9   @ Dayton L 62-75 12%    
  Feb 15, 2020 172   La Salle W 70-61 80%    
  Feb 18, 2020 200   @ Massachusetts W 71-66 69%    
  Feb 21, 2020 44   Virginia Commonwealth L 65-67 43%    
  Feb 26, 2020 241   Saint Joseph's W 79-66 89%    
  Mar 01, 2020 73   @ Rhode Island L 65-69 34%    
  Mar 04, 2020 157   @ George Mason W 68-66 58%    
  Mar 07, 2020 118   St. Bonaventure W 65-60 68%    
Projected Record 21 - 9 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 4.1 3.6 0.8 0.0 9.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 5.6 5.5 1.0 0.0 12.9 3rd
4th 0.5 4.7 8.0 2.0 0.0 15.1 4th
5th 0.2 3.4 8.9 3.5 0.2 16.2 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 7.9 5.8 0.5 16.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 6.0 5.8 1.0 0.0 14.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.3 3.6 0.7 0.0 8.5 8th
9th 0.3 1.3 1.4 0.3 3.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 1.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.9 6.5 12.5 18.3 21.2 18.6 11.8 5.3 1.5 0.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 90.6% 0.1    0.1 0.1
15-3 44.0% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 13.0% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.2% 96.9% 21.9% 75.0% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.0%
15-3 1.5% 64.2% 10.6% 53.6% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.5 59.9%
14-4 5.3% 37.3% 12.1% 25.3% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 0.3 3.3 28.7%
13-5 11.8% 19.8% 9.2% 10.5% 11.1 0.1 0.3 1.4 0.6 9.5 11.6%
12-6 18.6% 10.1% 5.6% 4.5% 11.3 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.7 16.7 4.7%
11-7 21.2% 4.6% 3.7% 0.9% 11.6 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.0 20.2 0.9%
10-8 18.3% 2.6% 2.2% 0.4% 11.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 17.8 0.4%
9-9 12.5% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.3 0.0%
8-10 6.5% 0.6% 0.6% 12.1 0.0 0.0 6.5
7-11 2.9% 1.6% 1.6% 12.6 0.0 0.0 2.8
6-12 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 14.0 0.0 1.0
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.0% 4.4% 4.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.2 4.3 2.6 0.1 0.0 91.0 4.8%