St. Francis Brooklyn
Northeast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.3#303
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#269
Pace73.0#97
Improvement-1.0#298

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#302
First Shot-3.9#293
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#207
Layup/Dunks-2.9#262
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#89
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#212
Freethrows-1.3#234
Improvement-0.8#296

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#286
First Shot-0.8#187
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#317
Layups/Dunks-5.2#314
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#92
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#59
Freethrows-1.0#233
Improvement-0.2#227
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.3% 7.2% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 31.6% 49.0% 27.9%
.500 or above in Conference 45.3% 56.9% 42.9%
Conference Champion 4.8% 8.0% 4.1%
Last Place in Conference 7.0% 3.5% 7.7%
First Four3.9% 4.4% 3.8%
First Round3.3% 4.9% 3.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Little Rock (Away) - 17.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 31 - 51 - 6
Quad 412 - 1113 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 226   @ Fordham L 59-68 23%     0 - 1 -9.4 -7.2 -2.6
  Nov 09, 2019 250   Lafayette W 73-72 48%     1 - 1 -6.6 -11.0 +4.3
  Nov 14, 2019 238   @ Longwood L 77-86 25%     1 - 2 -10.2 -0.3 -9.9
  Nov 16, 2019 38   @ North Carolina St. L 64-95 3%     1 - 3 -16.6 -11.9 -0.8
  Nov 26, 2019 171   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 66-77 18%    
  Nov 30, 2019 328   @ St. Peter's L 63-64 48%    
  Dec 05, 2019 298   @ Hartford L 68-71 37%    
  Dec 07, 2019 275   @ Umass Lowell L 75-80 33%    
  Dec 10, 2019 333   Presbyterian W 75-69 71%    
  Dec 14, 2019 184   NJIT L 68-72 38%    
  Dec 22, 2019 348   Delaware St. W 64-53 84%    
  Jan 02, 2020 248   Fairleigh Dickinson L 70-71 45%    
  Jan 09, 2020 280   @ Robert Morris L 65-70 33%    
  Jan 11, 2020 217   @ St. Francis (PA) L 71-79 23%    
  Jan 15, 2020 246   LIU Brooklyn L 75-76 47%    
  Jan 18, 2020 335   @ Wagner W 75-74 51%    
  Jan 20, 2020 287   @ Mount St. Mary's L 68-72 36%    
  Jan 23, 2020 280   Robert Morris W 68-67 52%    
  Jan 25, 2020 217   St. Francis (PA) L 74-76 42%    
  Jan 30, 2020 278   @ Merrimack L 63-68 31%    
  Feb 01, 2020 294   Sacred Heart W 79-77 59%    
  Feb 06, 2020 256   @ Bryant L 73-79 29%    
  Feb 08, 2020 287   Mount St. Mary's W 71-69 55%    
  Feb 13, 2020 278   Merrimack W 66-65 54%    
  Feb 18, 2020 246   @ LIU Brooklyn L 72-79 27%    
  Feb 21, 2020 256   Bryant L 76-77 49%    
  Feb 23, 2020 335   Wagner W 78-71 72%    
  Feb 27, 2020 294   @ Sacred Heart L 76-80 39%    
  Feb 29, 2020 350   @ Central Connecticut St. W 77-71 70%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.2 4.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 2.1 2.1 0.6 0.2 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 3.2 2.3 0.8 0.0 7.4 3rd
4th 0.7 3.5 3.5 0.7 8.4 4th
5th 0.4 4.0 4.3 1.6 0.1 10.2 5th
6th 0.3 3.1 5.1 1.4 0.1 9.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.6 6.1 2.5 0.2 13.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 4.3 4.8 2.5 0.1 12.7 8th
9th 0.3 1.4 3.0 4.9 2.9 0.0 12.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 1.9 4.1 3.0 1.2 0.0 11.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.1 4.0 11th
Total 0.1 0.4 2.2 3.6 6.1 7.2 11.4 11.5 12.1 12.3 10.4 9.1 5.8 4.1 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.2 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 100.0% 0.5    0.5
15-3 80.5% 0.8    0.7 0.1
14-4 69.7% 1.3    0.9 0.4 0.1
13-5 28.9% 1.2    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1
12-6 8.6% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
11-7 2.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.8% 4.8 2.7 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.2% 2.4% 2.4% 15.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.5% 38.5% 38.5% 15.0 0.2 0.3
15-3 1.1% 43.3% 43.3% 15.4 0.3 0.2 0.6
14-4 1.9% 21.5% 21.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.5
13-5 4.1% 12.1% 12.1% 15.8 0.1 0.4 3.6
12-6 5.8% 17.4% 17.4% 16.0 1.0 4.8
11-7 9.1% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.7 8.3
10-8 10.4% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.9 9.6
9-9 12.3% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 0.9 11.5
8-10 12.1% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 11.9
7-11 11.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.5
6-12 11.4% 11.4
5-13 7.2% 7.2
4-14 6.1% 6.1
3-15 3.6% 3.6
2-16 2.2% 2.2
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.6 4.6 94.7 0.0%