Texas Tech
Big 12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.0#23
Expected Predictive Rating+9.2#57
Pace67.6#236
Improvement+0.7#151

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#91
First Shot+2.1#106
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#110
Layup/Dunks+2.5#79
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#187
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#234
Freethrows+1.4#79
Improvement-0.1#180

Defense
Total Defense+10.1#5
First Shot+9.1#4
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#92
Layups/Dunks+6.5#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#206
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#101
Freethrows+1.0#116
Improvement+0.8#132
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 4.1% 7.0% 1.6%
Top 6 Seed 15.9% 24.9% 8.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 58.1% 74.2% 44.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 55.4% 72.0% 41.3%
Average Seed 7.9 7.5 8.5
.500 or above 94.5% 98.3% 91.2%
.500 or above in Conference 68.3% 82.5% 55.8%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.3% 1.4%
First Four6.7% 6.3% 7.1%
First Round55.3% 71.5% 41.1%
Second Round33.6% 45.0% 23.6%
Sweet Sixteen14.6% 20.5% 9.5%
Elite Eight6.7% 9.7% 4.1%
Final Four3.0% 4.3% 1.9%
Championship Game1.2% 1.8% 0.7%
National Champion0.4% 0.7% 0.2%

Next Game: West Virginia (Home) - 46.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 83 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 45 - 12
Quad 25 - 210 - 13
Quad 32 - 011 - 14
Quad 48 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 230   Eastern Illinois W 85-60 96%     1 - 0 +18.3 +6.5 +11.0
  Nov 09, 2019 300   Bethune-Cookman W 79-44 98%     2 - 0 +24.0 -5.7 +27.4
  Nov 13, 2019 344   Houston Baptist W 103-74 99%     3 - 0 +14.5 -1.9 +11.8
  Nov 21, 2019 265   Tennessee St. W 72-57 97%     4 - 0 +6.5 -8.4 +14.5
  Nov 24, 2019 240   LIU Brooklyn W 96-66 96%     5 - 0 +22.5 +14.8 +6.4
  Nov 28, 2019 15   Iowa L 61-72 46%     5 - 1 +3.2 -11.6 +15.2
  Nov 29, 2019 30   Creighton L 76-83 OT 52%     5 - 2 +5.4 +4.5 +1.1
  Dec 04, 2019 77   @ DePaul L 60-65 OT 62%     5 - 3 +4.8 -8.3 +13.1
  Dec 10, 2019 8   Louisville W 70-57 38%     6 - 3 +29.3 -0.2 +28.5
  Dec 16, 2019 250   Southern Miss W 71-65 96%     7 - 3 -1.9 -5.5 +3.6
  Dec 21, 2019 253   UT Rio Grande Valley W 68-58 96%     8 - 3 +1.9 -7.8 +9.8
  Dec 29, 2019 234   Cal St. Bakersfield W 73-58 96%     9 - 3 +8.0 +2.5 +6.7
  Jan 04, 2020 64   Oklahoma St. W 85-50 78%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +40.0 +22.5 +20.1
  Jan 07, 2020 4   Baylor L 52-57 43%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +9.7 -6.3 +15.4
  Jan 11, 2020 6   @ West Virginia L 54-66 27%     10 - 5 1 - 2 +7.6 -10.3 +18.7
  Jan 14, 2020 78   @ Kansas St. W 77-63 62%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +23.8 +15.0 +9.4
  Jan 18, 2020 57   Iowa St. W 72-52 74%     12 - 5 3 - 2 +26.2 +4.7 +22.9
  Jan 21, 2020 61   @ TCU L 54-65 57%     12 - 6 3 - 3 +0.2 -7.2 +6.5
  Jan 25, 2020 12   Kentucky L 74-76 OT 54%     12 - 7 +9.9 -0.1 +10.1
  Jan 29, 2020 6   West Virginia L 64-65 47%    
  Feb 01, 2020 1   @ Kansas L 59-70 15%    
  Feb 04, 2020 47   Oklahoma W 69-63 71%    
  Feb 08, 2020 63   @ Texas W 63-61 58%    
  Feb 10, 2020 61   TCU W 66-58 77%    
  Feb 15, 2020 64   @ Oklahoma St. W 65-63 58%    
  Feb 19, 2020 78   Kansas St. W 66-57 79%    
  Feb 22, 2020 57   @ Iowa St. W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 25, 2020 47   @ Oklahoma L 66-67 48%    
  Feb 29, 2020 63   Texas W 66-58 76%    
  Mar 02, 2020 4   @ Baylor L 59-67 25%    
  Mar 07, 2020 1   Kansas L 62-67 33%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.6 0.4 0.0 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.5 3.1 6.4 5.5 1.6 0.0 17.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.8 9.0 14.8 8.1 1.8 0.1 35.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 7.5 8.5 2.9 0.3 20.3 5th
6th 0.3 4.0 5.8 1.5 0.1 11.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 3.6 1.4 0.1 6.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 1.7 0.7 3.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 1.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.4 4.2 9.3 16.5 19.6 20.9 15.0 8.6 3.6 0.6 0.1 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 75.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 42.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1
13-5 8.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.6% 100.0% 18.8% 81.3% 3.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 3.6% 100.0% 13.1% 86.9% 4.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.2 100.0%
12-6 8.6% 99.7% 10.2% 89.4% 5.9 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.9 2.6 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.6%
11-7 15.0% 96.7% 7.8% 88.8% 7.3 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.8 3.9 3.4 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.5 96.4%
10-8 20.9% 84.1% 7.6% 76.5% 8.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.5 4.4 3.8 2.8 2.3 0.2 3.3 82.8%
9-9 19.6% 52.3% 5.2% 47.1% 9.8 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.3 1.7 2.4 3.3 0.7 0.0 9.3 49.7%
8-10 16.5% 15.9% 3.2% 12.8% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.3 0.4 13.9 13.2%
7-11 9.3% 3.6% 2.3% 1.4% 11.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 9.0 1.4%
6-12 4.2% 1.2% 1.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1
5-13 1.4% 0.7% 0.7% 13.0 0.0 1.4
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 58.1% 6.1% 52.1% 7.9 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.5 4.6 7.1 9.1 10.0 7.9 6.4 7.3 1.5 0.0 0.0 41.9 55.4%