Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#60
Expected Predictive Rating+12.9#26
Pace62.0#334
Improvement-0.8#224

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#63
First Shot+4.9#47
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#252
Layup/Dunks-3.5#303
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#162
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.6#2
Freethrows-1.3#273
Improvement-2.5#305

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#70
First Shot+3.1#82
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#68
Layups/Dunks-0.1#178
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#30
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#292
Freethrows+3.7#14
Improvement+1.7#75
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 3.0% 3.9% 1.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 46.7% 52.5% 35.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 45.8% 51.6% 34.4%
Average Seed 9.5 9.3 9.8
.500 or above 99.6% 100.0% 99.0%
.500 or above in Conference 79.7% 87.2% 64.7%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.4%
First Four11.8% 12.0% 11.4%
First Round39.9% 45.7% 28.4%
Second Round16.0% 18.8% 10.4%
Sweet Sixteen4.2% 4.9% 2.7%
Elite Eight1.5% 1.7% 1.2%
Final Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 66.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 8
Quad 26 - 310 - 11
Quad 33 - 113 - 12
Quad 48 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 70   @ Clemson W 67-60 42%     1 - 0 1 - 0 +17.4 +1.5 +15.7
  Nov 08, 2019 333   Coppin St. W 74-42 97%     2 - 0 +17.9 -10.5 +25.5
  Nov 13, 2019 328   South Carolina Upstate W 80-57 97%     3 - 0 +9.3 +7.8 +3.7
  Nov 16, 2019 288   Lehigh W 79-53 95%     4 - 0 +15.7 +4.6 +12.8
  Nov 20, 2019 348   Delaware St. W 100-64 99%     5 - 0 +15.6 +21.4 -6.1
  Nov 25, 2019 4   Michigan St. W 71-66 19%     6 - 0 +22.5 +12.5 +10.5
  Nov 26, 2019 8   Dayton L 62-89 23%     6 - 1 -11.0 -2.3 -10.1
  Nov 27, 2019 35   BYU L 77-90 37%     6 - 2 -1.2 +13.0 -15.0
  Dec 06, 2019 2   Duke L 63-77 19%     6 - 3 1 - 1 +3.6 +2.2 +0.6
  Dec 11, 2019 157   Chattanooga W 63-58 85%     7 - 3 +2.5 -0.3 +3.7
  Dec 15, 2019 232   Gardner-Webb W 73-46 92%     8 - 3 +19.9 -1.1 +22.3
  Dec 21, 2019 289   VMI W 64-55 95%     9 - 3 -1.5 -12.4 +11.4
  Dec 29, 2019 351   Maryland Eastern Shore W 92-37 99%     10 - 3 +32.3 +25.6 +12.0
  Jan 04, 2020 47   @ Virginia L 39-65 32%     10 - 4 1 - 2 -12.8 -16.1 +0.2
  Jan 07, 2020 50   @ Syracuse W 67-63 33%     11 - 4 2 - 2 +17.0 +7.5 +10.0
  Jan 11, 2020 42   North Carolina St. W 72-58 52%     12 - 4 3 - 2 +22.0 +0.2 +21.7
  Jan 14, 2020 102   @ Wake Forest W 80-70 52%     13 - 4 4 - 2 +17.8 +5.1 +12.2
  Jan 18, 2020 50   Syracuse L 69-71 55%     13 - 5 4 - 3 +5.1 +5.3 -0.4
  Jan 22, 2020 59   North Carolina W 79-77 2OT 61%     14 - 5 5 - 3 +7.5 +0.4 +6.8
  Jan 25, 2020 147   @ Boston College W 67-62 67%    
  Jan 28, 2020 96   @ Miami (FL) W 69-68 50%    
  Feb 01, 2020 15   Florida St. L 64-67 39%    
  Feb 04, 2020 80   @ Georgia Tech L 63-64 44%    
  Feb 08, 2020 147   Boston College W 70-60 83%    
  Feb 15, 2020 76   Pittsburgh W 64-60 66%    
  Feb 19, 2020 96   Miami (FL) W 71-65 71%    
  Feb 22, 2020 2   @ Duke L 62-77 8%    
  Feb 26, 2020 47   Virginia W 53-52 54%    
  Mar 01, 2020 9   @ Louisville L 59-69 17%    
  Mar 04, 2020 70   Clemson W 63-59 65%    
  Mar 07, 2020 55   @ Notre Dame L 65-69 37%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 1st
2nd 0.2 1.0 0.8 0.1 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 3.2 3.1 0.7 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.2 2.8 8.3 7.1 1.9 0.1 20.3 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 8.7 7.7 2.1 0.0 20.7 5th
6th 0.7 5.9 7.6 1.8 0.0 16.0 6th
7th 0.1 3.1 6.9 2.3 0.2 12.6 7th
8th 0.7 4.7 2.7 0.3 8.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.9 3.0 0.3 5.2 9th
10th 0.4 2.1 0.5 0.0 3.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 0.9 0.0 1.7 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.8 12th
13th 0.2 0.2 0.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.0 15th
Total 0.0 0.5 2.0 5.7 12.2 18.1 21.7 19.1 12.7 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-4 56.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1
15-5 8.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.4% 100.0% 13.5% 86.5% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
15-5 1.8% 98.9% 4.0% 94.9% 6.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 98.8%
14-6 6.0% 96.5% 4.3% 92.2% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.2 96.4%
13-7 12.7% 86.0% 3.6% 82.4% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 2.2 3.2 2.7 1.3 0.0 1.8 85.4%
12-8 19.1% 68.5% 2.4% 66.1% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.9 4.2 4.1 0.3 6.0 67.7%
11-9 21.7% 46.2% 1.3% 44.9% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.4 5.3 0.7 11.7 45.5%
10-10 18.1% 22.7% 0.5% 22.2% 10.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 2.8 0.5 0.0 14.0 22.3%
9-11 12.2% 5.4% 0.7% 4.8% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 11.5 4.8%
8-12 5.7% 0.3% 0.3% 11.5 0.0 0.0 5.7 0.3%
7-13 2.0% 0.5% 0.5% 11.0 0.0 1.9
6-14 0.5% 0.5
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 46.7% 1.8% 45.0% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.9 3.0 5.8 8.7 10.5 13.9 1.8 0.0 53.3 45.8%