Mississippi
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.2#62
Expected Predictive Rating+4.5#111
Pace67.6#236
Improvement+0.0#175

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#89
First Shot+1.5#142
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#88
Layup/Dunks+0.0#170
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#13
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#295
Freethrows+0.0#175
Improvement+0.8#106

Defense
Total Defense+6.1#36
First Shot+3.4#67
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#24
Layups/Dunks+5.8#15
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#268
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#242
Freethrows+0.6#147
Improvement-0.8#243
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.7% 0.9% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.9% 13.6% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 9.8% 11.3% 4.0%
Average Seed 10.1 10.0 10.8
.500 or above 62.5% 68.3% 39.8%
.500 or above in Conference 32.1% 36.9% 13.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 1.3% 7.3%
First Four3.2% 3.5% 1.7%
First Round10.3% 11.8% 4.4%
Second Round4.5% 5.2% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen1.3% 1.5% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M (Home) - 79.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 22 - 6
Quad 23 - 45 - 10
Quad 34 - 39 - 12
Quad 45 - 013 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 10, 2020 311   Jackson St. W 80-45 96%     1 - 0 +23.5 +4.6 +18.5
  Dec 12, 2020 205   UNC Wilmington W 78-58 90%     2 - 0 +15.2 +4.3 +11.5
  Dec 14, 2020 281   Central Arkansas W 68-54 95%     3 - 0 +4.8 -13.6 +18.0
  Dec 16, 2020 266   @ Middle Tennessee W 70-51 89%     4 - 0 +14.5 -2.0 +15.8
  Dec 19, 2020 75   @ Dayton L 62-65 51%     4 - 1 +6.1 -4.8 +10.7
  Dec 22, 2020 342   Tennessee Martin W 90-43 98%     5 - 1 +30.0 +3.5 +25.7
  Dec 29, 2020 7   @ Alabama L 64-82 17%     5 - 2 0 - 1 +1.5 -6.9 +10.3
  Jan 02, 2021 65   Wichita St. L 79-83 60%     5 - 3 +2.7 +9.3 -6.7
  Jan 06, 2021 64   Auburn W 72-61 59%     6 - 3 1 - 1 +18.0 +4.2 +14.0
  Jan 09, 2021 30   LSU L 61-75 45%     6 - 4 1 - 2 -3.4 -11.2 +7.8
  Jan 12, 2021 22   @ Florida L 63-72 27%     6 - 5 1 - 3 +6.5 +3.2 +2.5
  Jan 16, 2021 94   Georgia L 74-78 70%     6 - 6 1 - 4 -0.3 +5.9 -6.4
  Jan 19, 2021 78   @ Mississippi St. W 64-46 51%     7 - 6 2 - 4 +26.9 +3.7 +25.8
  Jan 23, 2021 120   Texas A&M W 66-58 80%    
  Jan 27, 2021 42   @ Arkansas L 71-75 32%    
  Jan 30, 2021 94   @ Georgia W 74-72 53%    
  Feb 02, 2021 13   Tennessee L 61-66 37%    
  Feb 06, 2021 64   @ Auburn L 70-71 40%    
  Feb 10, 2021 38   Missouri L 67-68 52%    
  Feb 13, 2021 69   @ South Carolina L 71-72 43%    
  Feb 20, 2021 78   Mississippi St. W 68-64 68%    
  Feb 23, 2021 38   @ Missouri L 65-69 31%    
  Feb 27, 2021 137   @ Vanderbilt W 73-68 65%    
  Mar 02, 2021 60   Kentucky W 65-64 59%    
Projected Record 13 - 11 8 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 1.9 0.7 0.0 3.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.6 1.8 0.2 6.5 4th
5th 0.4 4.3 4.0 0.5 0.0 9.2 5th
6th 0.1 2.9 6.7 1.3 0.0 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 7.7 3.5 0.1 12.3 7th
8th 0.1 4.7 6.6 0.5 12.0 8th
9th 0.0 1.8 7.9 2.2 0.0 12.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 5.5 4.8 0.3 11.0 10th
11th 0.2 2.7 5.8 1.1 0.0 9.8 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 3.7 1.7 0.1 6.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.5 0.2 4.0 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.8 14th
Total 0.1 0.9 3.5 8.5 15.2 19.6 20.1 16.0 9.8 4.6 1.4 0.2 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 2.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.2% 100.0% 18.4% 81.6% 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 1.4% 90.4% 10.5% 79.9% 7.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 89.3%
11-7 4.6% 67.8% 8.6% 59.2% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.5 64.7%
10-8 9.8% 38.6% 5.3% 33.3% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.0 35.2%
9-9 16.0% 14.6% 2.9% 11.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.2 13.7 12.0%
8-10 20.1% 3.6% 1.7% 2.0% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 19.4 2.0%
7-11 19.6% 1.3% 1.2% 0.2% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 19.3 0.2%
6-12 15.2% 0.9% 0.9% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 15.1
5-13 8.5% 0.5% 0.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5
4-14 3.5% 0.3% 0.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 3.5
3-15 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 11.9% 2.3% 9.6% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.4 2.2 2.7 2.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 88.1 9.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 100.0% 5.9 16.7 27.8 16.7 27.8 8.3 2.8
Lose Out 0.0%