Georgia
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.5#95
Expected Predictive Rating+8.1#76
Pace80.4#14
Improvement-2.6#301

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#89
First Shot+0.6#161
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#50
Layup/Dunks+5.3#29
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#199
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#293
Freethrows-0.2#182
Improvement-0.7#226

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#113
First Shot+1.1#140
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#96
Layups/Dunks+4.7#31
2 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#348
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#145
Freethrows+2.2#50
Improvement-1.8#286
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.9% 11.6% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.5% 11.2% 3.0%
Average Seed 10.5 10.3 10.7
.500 or above 48.5% 71.7% 38.2%
.500 or above in Conference 9.7% 20.3% 5.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.4% 3.8% 13.3%
First Four2.1% 3.6% 1.5%
First Round4.5% 9.1% 2.5%
Second Round1.4% 2.8% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida (Home) - 30.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 8
Quad 22 - 34 - 11
Quad 34 - 28 - 13
Quad 44 - 013 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 29, 2020 283   Florida A&M W 85-75 91%     1 - 0 +0.8 +3.8 -3.7
  Dec 04, 2020 289   Jacksonville W 98-65 91%     2 - 0 +23.4 +7.1 +11.3
  Dec 08, 2020 164   Montana W 63-50 76%     3 - 0 +11.0 -9.5 +20.0
  Dec 12, 2020 262   Samford W 79-75 89%     4 - 0 -4.0 -5.9 +1.5
  Dec 19, 2020 83   Cincinnati W 83-68 52%     5 - 0 +19.9 +0.3 +17.2
  Dec 22, 2020 144   Northeastern W 76-58 72%     6 - 0 +17.5 +7.2 +10.9
  Dec 30, 2020 75   Mississippi St. L 73-83 51%     6 - 1 0 - 1 -4.7 -2.7 -1.4
  Jan 06, 2021 30   @ LSU L 92-94 OT 20%     6 - 2 0 - 2 +12.3 +4.4 +8.3
  Jan 09, 2021 45   @ Arkansas L 69-99 24%     6 - 3 0 - 3 -17.1 -7.5 -5.3
  Jan 13, 2021 64   Auburn L 77-95 44%     6 - 4 0 - 4 -11.1 -6.1 -1.9
  Jan 16, 2021 63   @ Mississippi W 78-74 29%     7 - 4 1 - 4 +15.1 +15.7 -0.4
  Jan 20, 2021 61   Kentucky W 63-62 41%     8 - 4 2 - 4 +8.9 -0.6 +9.5
  Jan 23, 2021 22   Florida L 75-81 31%    
  Jan 27, 2021 68   @ South Carolina L 79-83 29%    
  Jan 30, 2021 63   Mississippi L 72-74 46%    
  Feb 02, 2021 64   @ Auburn L 76-81 27%    
  Feb 06, 2021 138   Vanderbilt W 82-77 71%    
  Feb 10, 2021 122   @ Texas A&M W 69-68 46%    
  Feb 13, 2021 7   @ Alabama L 77-91 8%    
  Feb 16, 2021 38   Missouri L 73-77 39%    
  Feb 20, 2021 22   @ Florida L 73-83 16%    
  Feb 23, 2021 30   LSU L 81-86 34%    
  Feb 27, 2021 68   South Carolina L 80-81 52%    
  Mar 03, 2021 13   @ Tennessee L 65-77 11%    
Projected Record 12 - 12 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 3rd
4th 0.5 1.3 0.2 2.0 4th
5th 0.2 1.6 1.1 0.1 3.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.5 2.5 0.0 4.1 6th
7th 0.8 4.9 1.2 6.9 7th
8th 0.1 4.8 3.8 0.2 8.9 8th
9th 0.0 2.5 6.8 1.7 0.1 11.1 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 6.8 5.1 0.3 13.2 10th
11th 0.5 5.5 7.7 1.1 14.7 11th
12th 0.2 4.3 7.8 3.1 0.0 15.3 12th
13th 0.3 3.7 7.7 4.2 0.3 16.2 13th
14th 0.9 1.6 1.2 0.0 3.7 14th
Total 1.2 5.4 13.6 18.5 20.5 18.7 12.4 6.0 2.8 0.7 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 32.2% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-7 0.7% 84.2% 84.2% 8.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 84.2%
10-8 2.8% 61.1% 5.5% 55.7% 10.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.0 0.0 1.1 58.9%
9-9 6.0% 36.1% 1.3% 34.8% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.0 3.9 35.2%
8-10 12.4% 8.4% 0.6% 7.8% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 11.4 7.9%
7-11 18.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.8% 11.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 18.5 0.8%
6-12 20.5% 20.5
5-13 18.5% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 18.5
4-14 13.6% 13.6
3-15 5.4% 5.4
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.9% 0.4% 5.5% 10.5 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.0 94.1 5.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%