Vanderbilt
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#137
Expected Predictive Rating-1.9#187
Pace71.0#147
Improvement+0.4#153

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#88
First Shot+4.2#67
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#237
Layup/Dunks-2.6#262
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#214
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#20
Freethrows+1.1#110
Improvement+2.0#49

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#203
First Shot-1.6#225
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#146
Layups/Dunks-2.9#263
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#245
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#81
Freethrows-0.4#200
Improvement-1.6#279
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 12.3 14.1
.500 or above 1.8% 4.5% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 0.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 77.5% 62.3% 83.4%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas (Home) - 27.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 7
Quad 22 - 72 - 14
Quad 31 - 23 - 16
Quad 44 - 07 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 27, 2020 220   Valparaiso W 77-71 77%     1 - 0 +0.2 -4.4 +4.1
  Dec 13, 2020 348   Mississippi Valley W 84-41 99%     2 - 0 +12.7 +1.6 +14.2
  Dec 16, 2020 50   Richmond L 67-78 25%     2 - 1 -2.2 -2.3 -0.1
  Dec 19, 2020 224   Radford W 59-50 77%     3 - 1 +3.1 -10.0 +14.1
  Dec 22, 2020 66   @ Davidson L 65-85 22%     3 - 2 -9.8 -3.1 -7.6
  Dec 27, 2020 334   Alcorn St. W 87-59 94%     4 - 2 +12.6 +3.1 +9.0
  Dec 30, 2020 22   Florida L 72-91 17%     4 - 3 0 - 1 -7.1 +1.6 -7.9
  Jan 05, 2021 60   @ Kentucky L 74-77 18%     4 - 4 0 - 2 +8.5 +12.7 -4.3
  Jan 09, 2021 78   Mississippi St. L 81-84 37%     4 - 5 0 - 3 +2.3 +8.5 -6.1
  Jan 16, 2021 13   @ Tennessee L 61-81 8%     4 - 6 0 - 4 -2.5 +0.2 -3.0
  Jan 23, 2021 42   Arkansas L 75-82 28%    
  Jan 27, 2021 22   @ Florida L 68-82 8%    
  Jan 30, 2021 69   South Carolina L 76-80 39%    
  Feb 03, 2021 120   @ Texas A&M L 65-68 34%    
  Feb 06, 2021 94   @ Georgia L 77-82 28%    
  Feb 09, 2021 64   Auburn L 73-78 37%    
  Feb 13, 2021 78   @ Mississippi St. L 68-75 22%    
  Feb 17, 2021 60   Kentucky L 67-73 33%    
  Feb 20, 2021 7   @ Alabama L 72-90 4%    
  Feb 24, 2021 13   Tennessee L 62-74 16%    
  Feb 27, 2021 62   Mississippi L 68-73 35%    
  Mar 02, 2021 30   @ LSU L 74-86 11%    
Projected Record 7 - 15 3 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.1 1.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.9 0.4 0.0 2.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.5 1.8 0.1 4.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.3 0.7 0.0 8.7 12th
13th 0.0 1.0 6.1 8.1 2.3 0.1 17.7 13th
14th 5.8 15.4 21.1 15.5 4.8 0.3 62.9 14th
Total 5.8 15.4 22.2 22.0 16.5 10.1 5.2 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.2% 7.9% 7.9% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.9%
8-10 0.7% 2.5% 0.6% 1.8% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.9%
7-11 2.1% 0.2% 0.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 2.1
6-12 5.2% 0.3% 0.3% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2
5-13 10.1% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 10.0
4-14 16.5% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 16.5
3-15 22.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 22.0
2-16 22.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 22.2
1-17 15.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.4
0-18 5.8% 5.8
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.2%