Washington
Pac-12
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.9#127
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#172
Pace72.2#110
Improvement+3.5#30

Offense
Total Offense+2.8#98
First Shot+0.7#159
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#64
Layup/Dunks-2.3#257
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#45
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#180
Freethrows+0.4#153
Improvement+7.3#1

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#167
First Shot+3.0#82
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#333
Layups/Dunks+2.2#103
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#325
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#48
Freethrows+0.4#156
Improvement-3.8#334
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 33.5% 21.2% 54.0%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Washington St. (Home) - 62.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 9
Quad 21 - 63 - 14
Quad 33 - 35 - 18
Quad 41 - 17 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 29, 2020 2   Baylor L 52-86 4%     0 - 1 -10.8 -8.0 -4.3
  Dec 01, 2020 135   UC Riverside L 42-57 51%     0 - 2 -12.5 -25.0 +12.0
  Dec 03, 2020 77   @ Utah L 62-76 28%     0 - 3 0 - 1 -5.0 -6.7 +1.6
  Dec 09, 2020 260   Seattle W 73-41 84%     1 - 3 +24.0 -2.2 +26.6
  Dec 12, 2020 29   Oregon L 71-74 22%     1 - 4 0 - 2 +8.1 +1.1 +7.0
  Dec 16, 2020 163   Montana L 58-66 68%     1 - 5 -9.9 -14.7 +4.9
  Dec 20, 2020 20   Colorado L 69-92 14%     1 - 6 0 - 3 -8.7 +3.0 -11.8
  Dec 31, 2020 28   Arizona L 53-80 21%     1 - 7 0 - 4 -15.8 -17.1 +1.7
  Jan 07, 2021 49   @ Stanford L 75-91 18%     1 - 8 0 - 5 -3.6 -1.9 +0.9
  Jan 09, 2021 132   @ California L 78-84 45%     1 - 9 0 - 6 -1.8 +10.5 -12.6
  Jan 14, 2021 22   @ USC L 68-95 13%     1 - 10 0 - 7 -11.7 +0.8 -11.7
  Jan 16, 2021 25   @ UCLA L 76-81 14%     1 - 11 0 - 8 +9.7 +8.3 +1.4
  Jan 20, 2021 20   Colorado W 84-80 18%     2 - 11 1 - 8 +16.7 +20.6 -3.8
  Jan 24, 2021 77   Utah W 83-79 39%     3 - 11 2 - 8 +9.7 +10.5 -0.9
  Jan 31, 2021 134   Washington St. W 72-70 62%    
  Feb 04, 2021 123   @ Oregon St. L 71-73 37%    
  Feb 06, 2021 29   @ Oregon L 69-81 11%    
  Feb 11, 2021 22   USC L 69-78 24%    
  Feb 13, 2021 25   UCLA L 68-77 25%    
  Feb 15, 2021 134   @ Washington St. L 70-71 40%    
  Feb 18, 2021 49   Stanford L 70-76 32%    
  Feb 20, 2021 132   California W 71-69 62%    
  Feb 25, 2021 83   @ Arizona St. L 76-82 25%    
  Feb 27, 2021 28   @ Arizona L 70-82 12%    
Projected Record 6 - 18 5 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 2.8 1.2 0.1 0.0 6.5 7th
8th 0.3 4.0 6.6 2.6 0.3 0.0 13.8 8th
9th 0.1 4.3 10.0 4.3 0.4 0.0 19.1 9th
10th 0.0 2.8 11.0 6.1 0.7 0.0 20.6 10th
11th 0.0 1.9 10.3 7.4 0.8 0.0 20.4 11th
12th 2.5 8.0 6.5 1.0 0.0 18.0 12th
Total 2.5 9.9 19.8 24.0 21.2 13.7 6.2 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

With games being cancelled frequently this season, the conference records below may not be accurate. The number of wins in the table below are based on games that are currently scheduled and appear in the schedule above.
Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0% 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.1% 2.6% 2.6% 11.0 0.0 0.1
10-10 0.5% 3.9% 3.9% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
9-11 2.2% 1.5% 1.5% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1
8-12 6.2% 1.0% 1.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 6.1
7-13 13.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 13.6
6-14 21.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 21.1
5-15 24.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 24.0
4-16 19.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 19.7
3-17 9.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.9
2-18 2.5% 2.5
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.9%