Rutgers
Big Ten
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.1#98
Expected Predictive Rating-4.5#239
Pace64.1#304
Improvement-0.6#240

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#155
First Shot-2.8#261
After Offensive Rebound+3.4#20
Layup/Dunks+5.8#27
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#153
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.9#352
Freethrows-0.1#184
Improvement+0.3#132

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#58
First Shot+5.2#41
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#231
Layups/Dunks+5.7#26
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#309
Freethrows+0.9#136
Improvement-1.0#281
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 0.6% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 6.9% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.8% 6.3% 1.8%
Average Seed 9.3 9.2 9.5
.500 or above 18.2% 28.2% 10.6%
.500 or above in Conference 11.9% 15.5% 9.1%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 28.7% 22.8% 33.2%
First Four0.8% 1.3% 0.5%
First Round3.9% 6.4% 1.9%
Second Round1.7% 2.8% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Home) - 43.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 53 - 12
Quad 23 - 55 - 17
Quad 32 - 17 - 18
Quad 46 - 113 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 295   Lehigh W 73-70 OT 92%     1 - 0 -7.5 -13.5 +5.6
  Nov 13, 2021 238   Merrimack W 48-35 87%     2 - 0 +6.2 -13.1 +22.1
  Nov 16, 2021 253   NJIT W 75-61 89%     3 - 0 +6.0 +6.6 +0.3
  Nov 18, 2021 100   @ DePaul L 70-73 39%     3 - 1 +5.0 +6.4 -1.6
  Nov 22, 2021 304   Lafayette L 51-53 93%     3 - 2 -13.0 -25.8 +12.7
  Nov 27, 2021 119   @ Massachusetts L 83-85 46%     3 - 3 +4.2 +9.2 -5.1
  Nov 30, 2021 45   Clemson L 61-63 43%    
  Dec 03, 2021 33   @ Illinois L 64-74 18%    
  Dec 09, 2021 2   Purdue L 63-74 15%    
  Dec 12, 2021 27   @ Seton Hall L 60-71 15%    
  Dec 18, 2021 273   Rider W 72-58 91%    
  Dec 23, 2021 348   Central Connecticut St. W 77-55 98%    
  Dec 29, 2021 353   Maine W 71-47 98%    
  Jan 04, 2022 16   Michigan L 61-68 28%    
  Jan 08, 2022 109   Nebraska W 71-67 65%    
  Jan 11, 2022 68   @ Penn St. L 58-63 32%    
  Jan 15, 2022 53   @ Maryland L 61-68 28%    
  Jan 19, 2022 19   Iowa L 70-76 28%    
  Jan 22, 2022 82   @ Minnesota L 64-68 36%    
  Jan 25, 2022 53   Maryland L 64-65 47%    
  Jan 29, 2022 109   @ Nebraska L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 01, 2022 42   @ Northwestern L 63-71 23%    
  Feb 05, 2022 21   Michigan St. L 62-68 29%    
  Feb 09, 2022 29   Ohio St. L 65-69 35%    
  Feb 12, 2022 31   @ Wisconsin L 56-66 19%    
  Feb 16, 2022 33   Illinois L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 20, 2022 2   @ Purdue L 60-77 6%    
  Feb 23, 2022 16   @ Michigan L 58-71 13%    
  Feb 26, 2022 31   Wisconsin L 59-63 36%    
  Mar 02, 2022 30   @ Indiana L 59-69 19%    
  Mar 06, 2022 68   Penn St. W 61-60 54%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 6 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 1.4 4th
5th 0.3 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.7 1.7 0.6 0.0 4.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.7 1.0 0.1 5.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 3.7 2.5 0.4 7.9 9th
10th 0.2 1.4 4.5 3.4 0.8 10.2 10th
11th 0.2 1.5 4.9 4.6 1.4 0.0 12.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.3 5.6 1.8 0.2 15.2 12th
13th 0.1 0.8 3.1 5.8 5.5 2.1 0.2 17.5 13th
14th 0.7 2.9 4.9 5.5 3.6 1.4 0.1 19.1 14th
Total 0.7 3.0 5.7 8.9 11.6 13.8 14.2 12.4 10.1 7.9 4.8 3.3 1.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 27.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-6 8.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.2% 90.9% 9.1% 81.8% 6.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 90.0%
14-6 0.5% 83.0% 6.4% 76.6% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 81.8%
13-7 1.0% 79.2% 5.9% 73.3% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 77.9%
12-8 1.9% 54.4% 5.7% 48.7% 9.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.9 51.6%
11-9 3.3% 25.1% 1.2% 24.0% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 2.5 24.2%
10-10 4.8% 13.0% 1.7% 11.4% 10.8 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.2 11.6%
9-11 7.9% 1.9% 0.8% 1.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.7 1.2%
8-12 10.1% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 10.1 0.1%
7-13 12.4% 0.2% 0.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 12.4
6-14 14.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 14.2
5-15 13.8% 13.8
4-16 11.6% 11.6
3-17 8.9% 8.9
2-18 5.7% 5.7
1-19 3.0% 3.0
0-20 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 4.2% 0.5% 3.7% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 95.8 3.8%