San Diego
West Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.0#142
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#164
Pace72.2#96
Improvement-0.2#197

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#189
First Shot+1.2#140
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#274
Layup/Dunks-0.8#199
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#28
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#196
Freethrows-1.1#253
Improvement-1.5#315

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#99
First Shot+3.4#75
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#245
Layups/Dunks+1.0#150
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#348
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#44
Freethrows+2.1#66
Improvement+1.4#57
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.6% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.0 10.9 14.0
.500 or above 51.7% 54.5% 28.7%
.500 or above in Conference 40.1% 41.4% 29.4%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.2% 5.9% 8.4%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Northridge (Home) - 89.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 22 - 43 - 9
Quad 34 - 47 - 13
Quad 48 - 215 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 88   @ Nevada W 75-68 25%     1 - 0 +16.0 +6.7 +9.5
  Nov 15, 2021 129   @ California L 70-75 37%     1 - 1 +0.5 +4.4 -4.0
  Nov 17, 2021 132   UC Riverside W 74-62 60%     2 - 1 +11.4 +3.5 +7.7
  Nov 19, 2021 192   Cal St. Fullerton L 55-57 73%     2 - 2 -6.4 -16.9 +10.4
  Nov 25, 2021 157   South Alabama L 67-68 55%     2 - 3 -0.3 -4.8 +4.5
  Nov 26, 2021 250   Illinois-Chicago W 64-52 75%     3 - 3 +7.2 -8.6 +16.3
  Nov 28, 2021 297   Cal St. Northridge W 75-62 89%    
  Dec 01, 2021 121   @ Fresno St. L 65-69 36%    
  Dec 05, 2021 315   Cal Poly W 74-60 90%    
  Dec 18, 2021 316   Northern Arizona W 76-65 85%    
  Dec 20, 2021 288   Long Beach St. W 83-71 87%    
  Dec 22, 2021 148   @ UNLV L 66-68 41%    
  Dec 30, 2021 1   Gonzaga L 70-88 5%    
  Jan 01, 2022 77   @ Santa Clara L 71-79 23%    
  Jan 06, 2022 235   @ Pepperdine W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 08, 2022 49   @ San Francisco L 65-75 18%    
  Jan 13, 2022 254   Portland W 76-66 83%    
  Jan 15, 2022 108   Loyola Marymount W 70-69 53%    
  Jan 20, 2022 26   BYU L 67-75 23%    
  Jan 22, 2022 188   @ Pacific W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 27, 2022 235   Pepperdine W 76-67 78%    
  Jan 29, 2022 108   @ Loyola Marymount L 67-72 32%    
  Feb 05, 2022 77   Santa Clara L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 10, 2022 43   @ St. Mary's L 58-69 16%    
  Feb 12, 2022 188   Pacific W 71-65 71%    
  Feb 17, 2022 254   @ Portland W 73-69 65%    
  Feb 24, 2022 43   St. Mary's L 61-66 34%    
  Feb 26, 2022 49   San Francisco L 68-72 36%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 7 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.1 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.8 3.6 2.2 0.6 0.1 8.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.6 5.7 2.6 0.3 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.5 3.9 7.7 3.8 0.4 0.0 16.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 5.3 8.8 3.9 0.3 18.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 5.9 8.3 3.2 0.3 18.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 4.6 5.6 1.6 0.1 12.9 8th
9th 0.7 2.6 2.7 0.7 0.0 6.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.0 0.1 2.8 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.9 4.7 8.2 12.6 15.6 16.3 14.6 11.7 7.2 4.0 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-2 60.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-3 10.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-4 2.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0
11-5 0.3% 0.0    0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.2% 65.0% 65.0% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 65.0%
13-3 0.7% 17.1% 5.7% 11.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 12.1%
12-4 1.7% 6.5% 1.8% 4.7% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.6 4.8%
11-5 4.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.8% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9 0.8%
10-6 7.2% 0.8% 0.7% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.1 0.1%
9-7 11.7% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 11.7
8-8 14.6% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 14.6
7-9 16.3% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 16.3
6-10 15.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 15.6
5-11 12.6% 12.6
4-12 8.2% 8.2
3-13 4.7% 4.7
2-14 1.9% 1.9
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.6% 0.2% 0.3% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.5 0.3%