Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.6#81
Expected Predictive Rating+12.7#39
Pace63.7#312
Improvement+0.1#170

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#122
First Shot+2.0#118
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#208
Layup/Dunks+2.6#87
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#175
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#212
Freethrows+0.7#137
Improvement-0.8#269

Defense
Total Defense+5.0#53
First Shot+5.8#32
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#235
Layups/Dunks+3.3#69
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#129
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#186
Freethrows+1.6#96
Improvement+1.0#71
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.9% 2.0% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.7% 17.3% 7.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.1% 16.7% 7.5%
Average Seed 9.3 9.3 9.6
.500 or above 79.6% 81.3% 56.3%
.500 or above in Conference 30.4% 31.1% 21.1%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.1% 7.8% 11.8%
First Four4.2% 4.4% 1.5%
First Round14.2% 14.7% 6.9%
Second Round6.2% 6.4% 2.8%
Sweet Sixteen1.6% 1.6% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Orleans (Home) - 93.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 9
Quad 24 - 36 - 12
Quad 35 - 211 - 14
Quad 48 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 277   North Florida W 64-46 92%     1 - 0 +8.7 -14.6 +23.2
  Nov 12, 2021 147   Abilene Christian W 81-80 2OT 78%     2 - 0 -0.5 +0.2 -0.8
  Nov 14, 2021 317   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 86-65 95%     3 - 0 +9.1 +14.9 -4.2
  Nov 17, 2021 352   Houston Baptist W 73-39 98%     4 - 0 +15.2 -9.8 +25.9
  Nov 22, 2021 31   Wisconsin L 58-69 29%     4 - 1 +1.2 -3.1 +3.7
  Nov 23, 2021 104   Butler W 57-50 59%     5 - 1 +11.4 -3.7 +16.0
  Nov 24, 2021 64   Notre Dame W 73-67 46%     6 - 1 +13.6 +0.2 +13.2
  Nov 30, 2021 271   New Orleans W 80-64 93%    
  Dec 11, 2021 89   TCU W 65-64 53%    
  Dec 14, 2021 162   Tulane W 68-59 80%    
  Dec 18, 2021 128   @ Oregon St. W 64-63 53%    
  Dec 21, 2021 347   Northwestern St. W 82-58 98%    
  Dec 29, 2021 342   Central Arkansas W 81-58 98%    
  Jan 04, 2022 154   @ Georgia W 69-66 60%    
  Jan 08, 2022 25   Arkansas L 68-72 36%    
  Jan 11, 2022 74   Mississippi W 63-60 60%    
  Jan 15, 2022 127   @ Missouri W 65-64 53%    
  Jan 19, 2022 12   Kentucky L 64-70 29%    
  Jan 22, 2022 25   @ Arkansas L 65-75 19%    
  Jan 26, 2022 10   @ LSU L 62-75 13%    
  Jan 29, 2022 92   South Carolina W 71-67 63%    
  Feb 01, 2022 23   @ Tennessee L 61-71 18%    
  Feb 05, 2022 127   Missouri W 68-61 73%    
  Feb 08, 2022 10   LSU L 65-72 27%    
  Feb 12, 2022 20   @ Auburn L 64-74 18%    
  Feb 15, 2022 15   Florida L 63-68 33%    
  Feb 19, 2022 80   @ Vanderbilt L 63-66 38%    
  Feb 22, 2022 154   Georgia W 72-63 77%    
  Feb 26, 2022 74   @ Mississippi L 60-63 39%    
  Mar 02, 2022 18   @ Alabama L 66-77 17%    
  Mar 05, 2022 37   Mississippi St. L 63-64 45%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.1 0.1 3.3 4th
5th 0.4 2.2 2.1 0.4 0.0 5.1 5th
6th 0.2 2.0 3.6 1.0 0.0 6.8 6th
7th 0.2 1.8 4.3 1.9 0.1 8.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 5.0 3.3 0.5 10.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 5.2 4.6 0.9 0.0 11.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 5.2 5.9 1.5 0.1 13.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.9 4.4 5.7 2.2 0.2 13.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 3.4 4.9 1.9 0.2 10.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.3 1.4 0.1 7.7 13th
14th 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.2 14th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.7 4.6 8.2 12.0 14.0 15.1 13.3 11.0 8.6 5.2 2.9 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 83.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 86.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1
14-4 37.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1
13-5 10.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.1 0.0
15-3 0.2% 100.0% 18.2% 81.8% 4.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.7% 98.6% 5.6% 93.1% 5.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.5%
13-5 1.7% 94.6% 4.8% 89.8% 7.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 94.3%
12-6 2.9% 87.6% 5.5% 82.1% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 86.9%
11-7 5.2% 70.2% 1.7% 68.5% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.2 1.6 69.6%
10-8 8.6% 47.2% 1.0% 46.2% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 4.6 46.7%
9-9 11.0% 22.6% 0.8% 21.8% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.0 8.5 22.0%
8-10 13.3% 7.9% 0.4% 7.5% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.1 12.3 7.5%
7-11 15.1% 1.6% 0.3% 1.3% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 14.9 1.3%
6-12 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 14.0 0.1%
5-13 12.0% 12.0
4-14 8.2% 8.2
3-15 4.6% 4.6
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 16.7% 0.7% 16.0% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.3 2.1 2.6 2.9 3.9 2.0 0.1 83.3 16.1%