Oregon St.
Pac-12
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#128
Expected Predictive Rating-10.8#313
Pace64.1#302
Improvement+0.4#142

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#139
First Shot+2.8#100
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#287
Layup/Dunks+3.0#76
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#73
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#260
Freethrows+0.7#140
Improvement+1.1#66

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#113
First Shot+1.9#109
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#204
Layups/Dunks+1.3#141
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#298
Freethrows+0.4#165
Improvement-0.8#267
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.7% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.1 10.9 12.0
.500 or above 3.5% 6.6% 1.5%
.500 or above in Conference 9.6% 16.9% 4.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 30.7% 15.0% 41.1%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: California (Away) - 39.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 9
Quad 22 - 73 - 16
Quad 33 - 46 - 20
Quad 44 - 210 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 269   Portland St. W 73-64 86%     1 - 0 +0.0 -6.9 +6.4
  Nov 12, 2021 61   @ Iowa St. L 50-60 22%     1 - 1 +0.7 -17.2 +18.2
  Nov 15, 2021 135   @ Tulsa L 58-64 39%     1 - 2 -0.6 -4.2 +2.8
  Nov 18, 2021 239   Samford L 77-78 82%     1 - 3 -7.9 -2.5 -5.4
  Nov 21, 2021 146   Princeton L 80-81 65%     1 - 4 -2.4 +10.9 -13.3
  Nov 26, 2021 85   Wake Forest L 77-80 OT 36%     1 - 5 +3.2 -1.7 +5.2
  Nov 27, 2021 68   Penn St. L 45-60 33%     1 - 6 -7.8 -12.7 +1.1
  Dec 02, 2021 129   @ California L 61-64 40%    
  Dec 05, 2021 6   Arizona L 64-76 13%    
  Dec 11, 2021 284   Sacramento St. W 71-59 88%    
  Dec 14, 2021 214   UC Davis W 74-66 77%    
  Dec 18, 2021 81   Texas A&M L 63-64 47%    
  Dec 21, 2021 232   Nicholls St. W 73-64 79%    
  Dec 30, 2021 51   Utah L 65-68 38%    
  Jan 01, 2022 75   Colorado L 66-67 45%    
  Jan 08, 2022 56   Oregon L 66-69 40%    
  Jan 13, 2022 14   @ USC L 58-73 8%    
  Jan 15, 2022 5   @ UCLA L 60-78 5%    
  Jan 20, 2022 131   Washington W 70-67 60%    
  Jan 22, 2022 48   Washington St. L 67-71 35%    
  Jan 29, 2022 56   @ Oregon L 63-72 22%    
  Feb 03, 2022 51   @ Utah L 62-71 20%    
  Feb 05, 2022 75   @ Colorado L 63-70 25%    
  Feb 09, 2022 129   California W 64-61 61%    
  Feb 12, 2022 97   Stanford W 67-66 51%    
  Feb 17, 2022 6   @ Arizona L 61-79 6%    
  Feb 19, 2022 96   @ Arizona St. L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 24, 2022 14   USC L 61-70 20%    
  Feb 26, 2022 5   UCLA L 63-75 14%    
  Mar 03, 2022 48   @ Washington St. L 64-74 19%    
  Mar 05, 2022 131   @ Washington L 67-70 40%    
Projected Record 10 - 21 6 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 2.3 2.0 0.7 0.0 5.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 3.3 3.2 0.9 0.1 8.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 4.5 4.0 1.2 0.1 11.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 5.0 5.4 1.5 0.1 13.8 9th
10th 0.3 2.2 5.7 5.7 1.8 0.2 15.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.4 6.8 5.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 18.3 11th
12th 0.6 2.5 5.2 6.0 4.4 1.3 0.1 20.3 12th
Total 0.6 2.5 5.8 9.7 13.5 14.3 14.0 12.9 9.9 7.2 4.8 2.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 20.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 16.7% 0.0    0.0
14-6 5.3% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-7 0.6% 10.2% 5.1% 5.1% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.4%
12-8 1.2% 4.1% 1.6% 2.4% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 2.5%
11-9 2.7% 2.7
10-10 4.8% 0.6% 0.6% 12.7 0.0 0.0 4.8
9-11 7.2% 0.3% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 7.2
8-12 9.9% 9.9
7-13 12.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.8
6-14 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.0
5-15 14.3% 14.3
4-16 13.5% 13.5
3-17 9.7% 9.7
2-18 5.8% 5.8
1-19 2.5% 2.5
0-20 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7 0.2%