Northwestern
Big Ten
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.6#47
Expected Predictive Rating+3.9#128
Pace69.2#186
Improvement-1.3#277

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#45
First Shot+3.3#87
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#71
Layup/Dunks+0.1#163
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#192
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#79
Freethrows+0.4#154
Improvement-2.3#340

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#64
First Shot+0.8#144
After Offensive Rebounds+3.6#17
Layups/Dunks+3.6#61
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#271
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#254
Freethrows+0.3#173
Improvement+0.9#92
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 1.8% 3.0% 0.9%
Top 6 Seed 6.4% 10.0% 3.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 31.9% 41.7% 24.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 30.4% 40.4% 22.7%
Average Seed 8.5 8.2 8.9
.500 or above 73.3% 84.1% 65.1%
.500 or above in Conference 46.7% 60.4% 36.2%
Conference Champion 1.7% 3.1% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 2.4% 7.9%
First Four5.3% 5.9% 4.8%
First Round29.3% 39.0% 21.9%
Second Round16.1% 21.8% 11.7%
Sweet Sixteen5.9% 8.1% 4.1%
Elite Eight2.6% 3.4% 1.9%
Final Four0.9% 1.3% 0.6%
Championship Game0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland (Away) - 43.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 10
Quad 24 - 48 - 13
Quad 34 - 111 - 14
Quad 46 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 347   Eastern Illinois W 80-56 98%     1 - 0 +7.2 -0.7 +7.3
  Nov 12, 2021 282   High Point W 95-60 95%     2 - 0 +25.6 +25.1 +2.2
  Nov 16, 2021 285   New Orleans W 83-67 95%     3 - 0 +6.5 +4.9 +1.9
  Nov 18, 2021 325   Fairleigh Dickinson W 82-46 97%     4 - 0 +23.2 -3.3 +25.2
  Nov 22, 2021 54   Providence L 72-77 55%     4 - 1 +3.4 +6.9 -3.9
  Nov 23, 2021 159   Georgia W 78-62 81%     5 - 1 +16.5 +2.8 +13.2
  Nov 30, 2021 81   @ Wake Forest L 73-77 OT 50%     5 - 2 +5.8 +1.0 +5.0
  Dec 05, 2021 52   @ Maryland L 69-71 43%    
  Dec 12, 2021 254   NJIT W 77-59 95%    
  Dec 18, 2021 86   DePaul W 78-72 72%    
  Dec 30, 2021 242   Prairie View W 84-67 94%    
  Jan 02, 2022 22   Michigan St. L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 05, 2022 67   Penn St. W 68-63 68%    
  Jan 09, 2022 25   @ Ohio St. L 68-75 26%    
  Jan 12, 2022 52   Maryland W 72-68 64%    
  Jan 15, 2022 22   @ Michigan St. L 67-74 26%    
  Jan 18, 2022 29   Wisconsin W 66-65 51%    
  Jan 23, 2022 2   @ Purdue L 67-81 11%    
  Jan 26, 2022 15   @ Michigan L 65-73 23%    
  Jan 29, 2022 30   Illinois W 74-73 51%    
  Feb 01, 2022 87   Rutgers W 70-64 71%    
  Feb 05, 2022 107   @ Nebraska W 76-74 59%    
  Feb 08, 2022 34   Indiana W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 13, 2022 30   @ Illinois L 71-77 31%    
  Feb 16, 2022 2   Purdue L 70-78 25%    
  Feb 19, 2022 94   @ Minnesota W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 22, 2022 107   Nebraska W 79-71 77%    
  Feb 25, 2022 67   @ Penn St. L 65-66 47%    
  Feb 28, 2022 19   @ Iowa L 76-84 26%    
  Mar 06, 2022 94   Minnesota W 72-65 74%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.3 0.5 0.1 3.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.6 0.5 0.0 5.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 2.8 2.2 0.5 0.0 6.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.0 3.7 0.7 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.8 1.5 0.1 9.9 6th
7th 0.2 2.8 4.7 2.4 0.3 10.5 7th
8th 0.1 2.2 5.0 3.0 0.5 10.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 4.4 4.0 0.9 10.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 3.5 4.3 1.0 0.0 9.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.1 1.1 0.1 8.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.6 2.9 1.0 0.1 7.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.6 0.9 0.1 4.3 13th
14th 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.1 14th
Total 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.7 5.0 7.7 10.0 12.3 13.4 12.4 11.6 9.3 5.7 3.7 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 75.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 53.3% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.0
15-5 20.7% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
14-6 6.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 2.3% 97.7% 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.4% 100.0% 18.5% 81.5% 3.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.2% 100.0% 11.3% 88.7% 4.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 100.0%
15-5 2.3% 100.0% 9.3% 90.7% 5.4 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.1 100.0%
14-6 3.7% 97.8% 6.9% 90.9% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 97.6%
13-7 5.7% 92.8% 4.8% 88.0% 7.9 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.6 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.4 92.5%
12-8 9.3% 79.5% 4.7% 74.8% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 1.9 1.6 1.2 0.2 1.9 78.5%
11-9 11.6% 53.9% 2.5% 51.4% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.6 1.5 0.6 0.0 5.4 52.7%
10-10 12.4% 33.0% 1.9% 31.1% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.5 0.8 0.0 8.3 31.7%
9-11 13.4% 8.4% 1.1% 7.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 12.3 7.3%
8-12 12.3% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.2 0.4%
7-13 10.0% 0.6% 0.6% 12.0 0.1 9.9
6-14 7.7% 7.7
5-15 5.0% 5.0
4-16 2.7% 2.7
3-17 1.4% 1.4
2-18 0.6% 0.6
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20
Total 100% 31.9% 2.2% 29.7% 8.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.8 2.8 3.6 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.0 2.1 0.1 68.1 30.4%