Preseason Rankings
Mississippi
Southeastern
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.6#58
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.5#279
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#68
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+5.3#48
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 2.6% 2.6% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 7.6% 7.7% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 14.0% 14.1% 0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 34.3% 34.4% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 31.4% 31.5% 2.7%
Average Seed 7.2 7.2 10.0
.500 or above 65.0% 65.3% 19.0%
.500 or above in Conference 47.6% 47.8% 14.3%
Conference Champion 3.9% 3.9% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.7% 8.6% 32.4%
First Four3.8% 3.8% 1.4%
First Round32.4% 32.6% 2.7%
Second Round19.7% 19.8% 1.8%
Sweet Sixteen8.3% 8.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight3.7% 3.7% 0.0%
Final Four1.5% 1.5% 0.0%
Championship Game0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Alcorn St. (Home) - 99.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 8
Quad 24 - 37 - 11
Quad 35 - 111 - 12
Quad 45 - 016 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 350   Alcorn St. W 82-55 99%    
  Nov 11, 2022 125   Florida Atlantic W 74-65 81%    
  Nov 15, 2022 130   Chattanooga W 71-61 81%    
  Nov 18, 2022 352   Tennessee Martin W 86-58 99%    
  Nov 24, 2022 57   Stanford L 66-67 50%    
  Dec 03, 2022 35   @ Memphis L 68-73 33%    
  Dec 10, 2022 212   Valparaiso W 73-59 88%    
  Dec 14, 2022 92   Central Florida W 72-66 70%    
  Dec 17, 2022 93   Temple W 70-64 70%    
  Dec 20, 2022 309   North Alabama W 79-57 96%    
  Dec 28, 2022 10   Tennessee L 66-70 36%    
  Jan 03, 2023 22   @ Alabama L 72-79 28%    
  Jan 07, 2023 64   @ Mississippi St. L 65-67 43%    
  Jan 10, 2023 21   Auburn L 71-73 45%    
  Jan 14, 2023 106   Georgia W 76-68 74%    
  Jan 17, 2023 87   @ South Carolina L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 21, 2023 11   @ Arkansas L 66-76 21%    
  Jan 24, 2023 70   Missouri W 70-66 64%    
  Jan 28, 2023 38   @ Oklahoma St. L 66-71 34%    
  Jan 31, 2023 3   Kentucky L 68-74 32%    
  Feb 04, 2023 72   @ Vanderbilt L 67-69 45%    
  Feb 07, 2023 106   @ Georgia W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 11, 2023 87   South Carolina W 73-67 67%    
  Feb 15, 2023 30   @ Florida L 64-70 32%    
  Feb 18, 2023 64   Mississippi St. W 68-64 62%    
  Feb 22, 2023 21   @ Auburn L 68-76 28%    
  Feb 25, 2023 47   LSU W 71-69 56%    
  Feb 28, 2023 39   Texas A&M W 68-67 53%    
  Mar 04, 2023 70   @ Missouri L 67-69 45%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.1 3.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.2 0.9 0.1 6.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.8 2.6 0.9 0.1 7.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.9 3.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.7 3.6 1.3 0.1 8.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.2 1.8 0.2 8.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 4.4 2.4 0.3 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 4.0 2.9 0.5 0.0 8.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.4 3.4 0.8 0.0 8.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 2.7 3.2 1.0 0.0 7.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 2.3 3.0 1.2 0.1 7.4 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.4 13th
14th 0.3 1.1 1.8 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.3 14th
Total 0.3 1.2 2.5 4.2 6.0 7.7 9.3 10.4 10.7 10.4 9.5 8.4 6.6 5.2 3.5 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 96.1% 0.5    0.4 0.1
16-2 81.9% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
15-3 53.8% 1.2    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 22.6% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 5.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 2.0 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 31.5% 68.5% 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.5% 100.0% 23.8% 76.2% 1.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.1% 100.0% 17.6% 82.4% 2.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.2% 99.9% 15.8% 84.1% 3.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
14-4 3.5% 99.2% 12.2% 87.0% 4.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
13-5 5.2% 96.6% 9.2% 87.4% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 96.3%
12-6 6.6% 87.3% 6.7% 80.7% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.8 86.4%
11-7 8.4% 73.5% 6.1% 67.4% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.2 71.7%
10-8 9.5% 51.4% 4.4% 47.0% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.6 49.2%
9-9 10.4% 29.5% 3.4% 26.1% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.3 27.1%
8-10 10.7% 10.5% 2.9% 7.5% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6 7.8%
7-11 10.4% 3.8% 2.3% 1.5% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.1 1.5%
6-12 9.3% 1.6% 1.5% 0.1% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.1 0.1%
5-13 7.7% 1.5% 1.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.6
4-14 6.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 6.0
3-15 4.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.2
2-16 2.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.5
1-17 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.2
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 34.3% 4.2% 30.0% 7.2 1.1 1.5 2.3 2.7 3.1 3.3 3.6 4.1 3.8 3.8 3.3 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 65.7 31.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 1.3 72.0 28.0