IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.1	#299
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.9	#193
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.0	#292

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.2	#300

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.2%	4.8%	1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.8	13.6	15.0

.500 or above	14.2%	47.8%	12.8%
.500 or above in Conference	18.8%	45.4%	17.8%
Conference Champion	1.0%	5.1%	0.8%
Last Place in Conference	31.7%	10.0%	32.6%

First Four	0.4%	0.6%	0.4%
First Round	1.0%	4.5%	0.9%
Second Round	0.0%	0.5%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Vanderbilt (Away) - 3.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 7	2 - 11
Quad 4	7 - 7	9 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 11, 2022	72	@ Vanderbilt	L	61-80	4%
Nov 18, 2022	100	@ Liberty	L	60-76	7%
Nov 22, 2022	174	Winthrop	L	69-77	25%
Nov 29, 2022	170	Montana	L	66-71	33%
Dec 04, 2022	338	@ Northwestern St.	W	77-76	52%
Dec 10, 2022	301	Lamar	W	71-68	61%
Dec 13, 2022	301	@ Lamar	L	68-71	41%
Dec 18, 2022	331	McNeese St.	W	78-72	68%
Dec 22, 2022	105	@ UNLV	L	61-77	10%
Dec 29, 2022	235	Troy	L	68-70	43%
Dec 31, 2022	183	Appalachian St.	L	64-69	35%
Jan 05, 2023	158	@ Louisiana	L	60-72	18%
Jan 07, 2023	259	@ Louisiana Monroe	L	70-76	31%
Jan 12, 2023	159	@ Marshall	L	72-84	18%
Jan 14, 2023	230	@ Arkansas St.	L	67-75	26%
Jan 19, 2023	205	South Alabama	L	67-71	39%
Jan 21, 2023	162	James Madison	L	72-77	34%
Jan 26, 2023	230	Arkansas St.	L	70-72	43%
Jan 28, 2023	168	Texas St.	L	64-69	34%
Feb 02, 2023	235	@ Troy	L	65-73	26%
Feb 04, 2023	169	@ Georgia St.	L	65-76	19%
Feb 09, 2023	158	Louisiana	L	63-69	33%
Feb 11, 2023	259	Louisiana Monroe	L	72-73	50%
Feb 16, 2023	205	@ South Alabama	L	64-74	22%
Feb 18, 2023	251	Georgia Southern	L	68-69	46%
Feb 22, 2023	186	@ Old Dominion	L	61-72	20%
Feb 24, 2023	168	@ Texas St.	L	61-72	19%
Projected Record						9 - 18	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.0	1st
2nd												0.1	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0			1.6	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.5	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0					2.0	3rd
4th										0.0	0.6	1.2	0.6	0.1	0.0						2.6	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	1.5	1.1	0.2	0.0							3.2	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	1.6	1.7	0.4	0.0								3.9	6th
7th								0.1	1.5	2.4	0.6	0.0									4.7	7th
8th							0.1	1.2	3.0	1.4	0.1										5.8	8th
9th						0.0	1.0	3.1	2.2	0.3	0.0										6.7	9th
10th					0.0	0.7	3.2	3.4	0.6	0.0											7.9	10th
11th				0.0	0.8	3.5	4.2	1.4	0.1												10.0	11th
12th		0.0	0.1	1.2	3.8	5.0	2.0	0.2	0.0												12.2	12th
13th	0.0	0.4	2.2	5.0	5.4	2.5	0.3	0.0													15.7	13th
14th	2.8	5.9	7.3	4.6	1.9	0.3	0.0														22.8	14th

Total	2.8	6.3	9.6	10.8	12.0	11.9	10.7	9.4	7.7	6.1	4.6	3.3	2.1	1.3	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	94.7%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	88.9%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
15-3	69.1%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
14-4	33.0%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	14.1%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0
12-6	1.2%	0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.0%	1.0		0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.0%		52.6%	47.4%	5.3%	11.5									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0			0.0		10.0%
16-2	0.2%		21.0%	21.0%		12.7												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
15-3	0.4%		19.3%	19.3%		12.8												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.4
14-4	0.7%		16.8%	16.8%		13.4												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.6
13-5	1.3%		8.1%	8.1%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.2
12-6	2.1%		6.1%	6.1%		14.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	2.0
11-7	3.3%		4.0%	4.0%		14.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	3.2
10-8	4.6%		2.8%	2.8%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	4.4
9-9	6.1%		2.5%	2.5%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	6.0
8-10	7.7%		1.6%	1.6%		15.9																0.0	0.1	7.6
7-11	9.4%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	9.4
6-12	10.7%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	10.6
5-13	11.9%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	11.9
4-14	12.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.9
3-15	10.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.8
2-16	9.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	9.6
1-17	6.3%																							6.3
0-18	2.8%																							2.8

Total	100%		1.2%	1.2%	0.0%	14.8									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	98.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.7%