Preseason Rankings
Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.0#52
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.0#148
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+7.7#19
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#112
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.4% 1.5% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 3.7% 3.8% 0.3%
Top 4 Seed 9.5% 9.7% 0.6%
Top 6 Seed 17.3% 17.8% 1.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 40.6% 41.5% 9.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 37.6% 38.5% 8.2%
Average Seed 7.0 7.0 8.9
.500 or above 74.6% 75.7% 35.4%
.500 or above in Conference 54.1% 55.0% 22.4%
Conference Champion 4.9% 5.1% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 6.1% 5.6% 21.6%
First Four4.4% 4.5% 2.2%
First Round38.4% 39.3% 9.0%
Second Round23.3% 23.9% 4.3%
Sweet Sixteen10.0% 10.2% 1.0%
Elite Eight4.3% 4.4% 0.1%
Final Four1.8% 1.8% 0.0%
Championship Game0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
National Champion0.3% 0.3% 0.0%

Next Game: Lehigh (Home) - 97.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 7
Quad 24 - 37 - 10
Quad 35 - 212 - 12
Quad 46 - 018 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 282   Lehigh W 86-66 97%    
  Nov 15, 2022 113   Colgate W 80-71 80%    
  Nov 19, 2022 199   Northeastern W 76-62 89%    
  Nov 21, 2022 88   Richmond W 75-72 61%    
  Nov 26, 2022 163   Bryant W 89-76 86%    
  Nov 29, 2022 18   @ Illinois L 70-78 26%    
  Dec 03, 2022 40   @ Notre Dame L 72-76 36%    
  Dec 06, 2022 214   Oakland W 84-69 89%    
  Dec 10, 2022 102   Georgetown W 83-75 75%    
  Dec 12, 2022 260   Monmouth W 81-63 93%    
  Dec 17, 2022 217   Cornell W 88-73 89%    
  Dec 20, 2022 109   Pittsburgh W 75-66 76%    
  Dec 30, 2022 86   Boston College W 74-68 69%    
  Jan 03, 2023 73   @ Louisville L 73-74 47%    
  Jan 07, 2023 20   @ Virginia L 60-67 28%    
  Jan 11, 2023 34   Virginia Tech W 70-69 53%    
  Jan 14, 2023 40   Notre Dame W 75-73 55%    
  Jan 16, 2023 32   @ Miami (FL) L 73-78 34%    
  Jan 21, 2023 97   @ Georgia Tech W 74-73 54%    
  Jan 24, 2023 2   North Carolina L 76-82 32%    
  Jan 28, 2023 34   @ Virginia Tech L 67-72 35%    
  Jan 30, 2023 20   Virginia L 63-64 47%    
  Feb 04, 2023 86   @ Boston College W 72-71 51%    
  Feb 08, 2023 42   @ Florida St. L 73-77 38%    
  Feb 14, 2023 69   North Carolina St. W 78-73 65%    
  Feb 18, 2023 7   Duke L 75-80 36%    
  Feb 22, 2023 65   @ Clemson L 72-74 44%    
  Feb 25, 2023 109   @ Pittsburgh W 72-69 58%    
  Feb 28, 2023 97   Georgia Tech W 77-70 72%    
  Mar 04, 2023 67   Wake Forest W 81-77 64%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.1 4.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.1 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.6 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.0 1.9 0.4 0.0 7.5 4th
5th 0.3 1.9 3.5 1.9 0.4 0.0 8.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.6 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 3.6 2.7 0.6 0.0 8.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.1 3.3 0.7 0.0 8.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.3 1.1 0.1 7.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.3 1.4 0.2 0.0 7.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 6.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 6.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.2 1.7 0.4 0.0 5.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 4.8 14th
15th 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.6 15th
Total 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.3 3.7 5.2 6.6 7.8 8.8 9.4 9.9 9.5 8.5 7.5 6.2 4.9 3.4 2.2 1.4 0.5 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 98.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
18-2 87.3% 1.2    0.9 0.3 0.0
17-3 61.4% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1
16-4 31.9% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 10.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.4% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.9% 4.9 2.8 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 100.0% 21.7% 78.3% 1.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.5% 100.0% 22.9% 77.1% 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 1.4% 100.0% 18.3% 81.7% 1.9 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 2.2% 100.0% 16.3% 83.7% 2.7 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 3.4% 99.3% 14.1% 85.2% 3.8 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
15-5 4.9% 99.0% 11.0% 88.0% 5.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 98.8%
14-6 6.2% 95.5% 8.2% 87.3% 6.3 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.3 95.0%
13-7 7.5% 88.3% 6.8% 81.5% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.9 87.5%
12-8 8.5% 72.8% 5.7% 67.1% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.3 71.2%
11-9 9.5% 52.0% 4.6% 47.5% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.5 49.7%
10-10 9.9% 28.8% 4.0% 24.9% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 25.9%
9-11 9.4% 11.2% 3.2% 7.9% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.3 8.2%
8-12 8.8% 3.4% 2.2% 1.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5 1.3%
7-13 7.8% 1.9% 1.9% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.7
6-14 6.6% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 6.5
5-15 5.2% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 5.1
4-16 3.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.6
3-17 2.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.3
2-18 1.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
1-19 0.6% 0.6
0-20 0.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2
Total 100% 40.6% 4.9% 35.7% 7.0 1.4 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.7 4.1 4.1 4.3 4.6 4.7 3.9 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 59.4 37.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 1.2 84.9 15.1