Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#302
Expected Predictive Rating-8.5#305
Pace73.5#53
Improvement-0.1#199

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#222
First Shot-0.3#195
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#263
Layup/Dunks-4.5#337
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#4
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#298
Freethrows+1.5#71
Improvement-0.6#291

Defense
Total Defense-6.4#340
First Shot-5.6#333
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#257
Layups/Dunks-4.5#337
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#34
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#241
Freethrows-1.9#313
Improvement+0.5#104
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.2% 4.9% 0.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 25.1% 9.0% 27.7%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ball St. (Away) - 14.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 50 - 7
Quad 32 - 62 - 13
Quad 45 - 107 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 58   Michigan L 83-88 7%     0 - 1 +4.0 +3.5 +1.1
  Nov 15, 2022 89   @ Bradley L 61-89 7%     0 - 2 -19.7 -8.1 -10.6
  Nov 19, 2022 249   @ Oakland L 90-92 OT 29%     0 - 3 -4.0 +3.4 -7.2
  Nov 22, 2022 204   Purdue Fort Wayne L 67-74 28%     0 - 4 -8.7 -6.0 -2.8
  Nov 23, 2022 244   Winthrop L 87-101 37%     0 - 5 -18.3 +0.4 -17.4
  Nov 27, 2022 262   UC San Diego L 63-66 51%     0 - 6 -11.1 -11.2 +0.0
  Nov 30, 2022 226   @ Florida International W 80-68 24%     1 - 6 +11.7 +6.0 +5.5
  Dec 04, 2022 52   Florida Atlantic L 73-101 9%     1 - 7 -20.9 +0.0 -19.7
  Dec 07, 2022 234   @ Illinois St. L 81-87 26%     1 - 8 -7.0 +8.3 -15.3
  Dec 11, 2022 239   @ Niagara L 60-67 27%     1 - 9 -8.3 -3.1 -6.2
  Dec 18, 2022 222   Detroit Mercy W 79-77 42%     2 - 9 -3.6 -6.3 +2.6
  Dec 30, 2022 229   @ South Carolina L 64-74 25%     2 - 10 -10.7 -2.3 -9.3
  Jan 03, 2023 243   Bowling Green L 65-91 47%     2 - 11 0 - 1 -33.0 -16.2 -15.7
  Jan 07, 2023 299   Central Michigan W 62-56 60%     3 - 11 1 - 1 -4.4 -9.8 +5.8
  Jan 10, 2023 285   @ Western Michigan L 79-85 35%     3 - 12 1 - 2 -9.9 -5.3 -4.0
  Jan 13, 2023 108   @ Akron L 67-104 10%     3 - 13 1 - 3 -30.6 -7.9 -19.4
  Jan 17, 2023 73   Kent St. L 63-77 13%     3 - 14 1 - 4 -9.6 -5.3 -4.2
  Jan 21, 2023 271   Northern Illinois L 67-88 53%     3 - 15 1 - 5 -29.4 -9.9 -19.4
  Jan 24, 2023 104   @ Toledo L 79-84 9%     3 - 16 1 - 6 +1.9 +4.5 -2.7
  Jan 28, 2023 297   @ Miami (OH) W 74-69 38%     4 - 16 2 - 6 +0.4 -5.7 +6.0
  Jan 31, 2023 153   Ohio W 90-79 29%     5 - 16 3 - 6 +8.9 +16.3 -7.0
  Feb 03, 2023 155   @ Ball St. L 71-82 14%    
  Feb 07, 2023 183   @ Buffalo L 76-86 17%    
  Feb 11, 2023 104   Toledo L 80-89 20%    
  Feb 14, 2023 108   Akron L 67-76 21%    
  Feb 18, 2023 73   @ Kent St. L 64-82 5%    
  Feb 21, 2023 285   Western Michigan W 78-76 57%    
  Feb 25, 2023 155   Ball St. L 73-79 31%    
  Feb 28, 2023 243   @ Bowling Green L 77-83 27%    
  Mar 03, 2023 271   @ Northern Illinois L 73-78 32%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.4 0.4 0.0 2.1 6th
7th 0.2 2.6 1.7 0.1 0.0 4.7 7th
8th 0.2 3.8 5.7 0.8 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 0.2 6.0 11.6 2.8 0.1 20.7 9th
10th 0.1 5.2 15.3 6.1 0.3 26.9 10th
11th 3.1 13.8 7.7 0.5 25.1 11th
12th 4.5 4.4 0.4 0.0 9.3 12th
Total 7.7 23.6 29.6 22.2 11.7 4.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.2
9-9 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.0
8-10 4.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.1
7-11 11.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.6
6-12 22.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 22.2
5-13 29.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 29.6
4-14 23.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 23.5
3-15 7.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.7
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 7.7% 0.1% 16.0 0.1