Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#160
Expected Predictive Rating+4.2#113
Pace72.8#85
Improvement+0.3#15

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#78
First Shot+7.4#24
After Offensive Rebound-3.6#342
Layup/Dunks+5.0#38
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#124
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#167
Freethrows+0.9#123
Improvement+0.2#33

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#277
First Shot-5.2#317
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#68
Layups/Dunks-1.9#256
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#282
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#251
Freethrows+0.0#178
Improvement+0.2#51
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.8% 10.6% 5.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.9 14.6
.500 or above 84.5% 87.9% 66.9%
.500 or above in Conference 80.2% 82.4% 68.7%
Conference Champion 11.6% 12.5% 6.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.8% 2.2%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.7%
First Round9.6% 10.4% 5.4%
Second Round0.9% 1.0% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama A&M (Away) - 83.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 45 - 8
Quad 412 - 417 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2022 230   @ South Dakota L 77-85 53%     0 - 1 -8.5 +3.5 -12.2
  Nov 14, 2022 139   Belmont W 77-75 55%     1 - 1 +1.1 -0.1 +1.2
  Nov 18, 2022 78   @ Notre Dame L 65-66 19%     1 - 2 +8.9 +5.1 +3.5
  Nov 23, 2022 149   @ Chattanooga W 72-66 36%     2 - 2 +10.1 +1.9 +8.3
  Nov 30, 2022 167   Navy W 82-77 63%     3 - 2 +2.0 +9.7 -7.5
  Dec 09, 2022 343   @ Alabama A&M W 86-76 84%    
  Dec 11, 2022 272   @ Tennessee St. W 78-75 61%    
  Dec 14, 2022 314   Tennessee Tech W 84-72 87%    
  Dec 17, 2022 57   @ Michigan L 72-83 15%    
  Dec 20, 2022 213   @ Louisville W 73-72 51%    
  Dec 30, 2022 202   Stetson W 80-75 68%    
  Jan 02, 2023 128   @ Liberty L 71-76 31%    
  Jan 05, 2023 325   North Alabama W 85-71 89%    
  Jan 07, 2023 136   @ Jacksonville L 64-69 33%    
  Jan 12, 2023 279   @ Austin Peay W 73-70 61%    
  Jan 14, 2023 279   Austin Peay W 76-67 80%    
  Jan 19, 2023 247   Eastern Kentucky W 83-75 75%    
  Jan 21, 2023 234   Bellarmine W 75-68 74%    
  Jan 26, 2023 219   @ Jacksonville St. W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 28, 2023 214   @ Kennesaw St. W 77-76 50%    
  Feb 02, 2023 245   Queens W 82-74 75%    
  Feb 04, 2023 128   Liberty W 74-73 52%    
  Feb 09, 2023 317   @ Central Arkansas W 86-79 73%    
  Feb 11, 2023 325   @ North Alabama W 82-74 75%    
  Feb 16, 2023 250   North Florida W 82-74 75%    
  Feb 18, 2023 136   Jacksonville W 67-66 53%    
  Feb 22, 2023 98   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 73-81 25%    
  Feb 24, 2023 202   @ Stetson L 77-78 46%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.4 3.0 3.6 2.4 0.9 0.1 11.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.0 4.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 13.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.5 6.0 4.1 1.1 0.0 14.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 5.8 4.4 0.9 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.9 4.3 1.0 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.3 3.4 4.4 1.3 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.7 3.9 1.4 0.1 0.0 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 6.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.2 0.3 0.0 4.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.9 0.5 0.0 3.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.4 0.8 0.0 2.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.9 3.3 5.5 7.9 10.7 12.8 14.2 13.9 11.5 8.5 5.2 2.6 0.9 0.1 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 98.3% 0.9    0.8 0.1
16-2 90.1% 2.4    1.8 0.5 0.0
15-3 69.7% 3.6    2.1 1.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 35.8% 3.0    1.2 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 12.1% 1.4    0.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.6% 11.6 6.3 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 60.0% 44.0% 16.0% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 28.6%
17-1 0.9% 40.1% 35.0% 5.1% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 7.8%
16-2 2.6% 31.1% 30.6% 0.6% 12.6 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 1.8 0.8%
15-3 5.2% 25.5% 25.5% 13.1 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 3.8
14-4 8.5% 18.4% 18.4% 13.6 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 6.9
13-5 11.5% 13.3% 13.3% 14.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 9.9
12-6 13.9% 10.5% 10.5% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 12.4
11-7 14.2% 7.6% 7.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 13.1
10-8 12.8% 6.0% 6.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 12.0
9-9 10.7% 4.4% 4.4% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 10.2
8-10 7.9% 2.9% 2.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 7.7
7-11 5.5% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 5.4
6-12 3.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.3
5-13 1.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 1.9
4-14 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.8% 9.7% 0.1% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 3.3 2.2 1.0 90.2 0.1%