Kennesaw St.
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.8#215
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#173
Pace65.9#254
Improvement-0.1#173

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#126
First Shot+1.6#121
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#185
Layup/Dunks+0.8#145
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#252
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#95
Freethrows-0.6#211
Improvement+0.0#126

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#295
First Shot-5.5#325
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#107
Layups/Dunks+0.7#163
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#146
Freethrows-4.9#357
Improvement-0.1#219
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 5.0% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.6 15.2
.500 or above 48.2% 66.7% 38.1%
.500 or above in Conference 62.6% 72.4% 57.3%
Conference Champion 4.9% 6.9% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 3.6% 2.1% 4.4%
First Four0.9% 0.8% 1.0%
First Round3.3% 4.6% 2.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mercer (Away) - 35.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 53 - 10
Quad 410 - 513 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 67   @ Florida L 78-88 10%     0 - 1 +1.0 +4.9 -3.2
  Nov 18, 2022 273   SE Louisiana W 72-68 61%     1 - 1 -1.6 -2.7 +1.1
  Nov 19, 2022 204   @ Appalachian St. W 71-67 35%     2 - 1 +5.2 +6.2 -0.6
  Nov 20, 2022 195   Campbell L 61-85 45%     2 - 2 -25.5 -7.5 -19.5
  Nov 26, 2022 85   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 61-64 13%     2 - 3 +6.3 +2.4 +3.7
  Dec 02, 2022 200   @ Mercer L 69-73 35%    
  Dec 05, 2022 306   @ Charleston Southern W 76-74 59%    
  Dec 12, 2022 25   @ San Diego St. L 62-82 3%    
  Dec 20, 2022 349   South Carolina Upstate W 81-68 89%    
  Dec 23, 2022 7   @ Indiana L 60-84 1%    
  Dec 31, 2022 319   Central Arkansas W 83-73 82%    
  Jan 02, 2023 247   Eastern Kentucky W 76-72 66%    
  Jan 05, 2023 245   @ North Florida L 73-75 44%    
  Jan 07, 2023 243   @ Queens L 72-74 44%    
  Jan 12, 2023 136   Jacksonville L 62-64 42%    
  Jan 14, 2023 245   North Florida W 76-72 65%    
  Jan 19, 2023 203   @ Stetson L 71-75 36%    
  Jan 21, 2023 101   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 68-79 17%    
  Jan 26, 2023 277   Austin Peay W 70-64 71%    
  Jan 28, 2023 163   Lipscomb L 76-77 50%    
  Feb 02, 2023 233   @ Bellarmine L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 04, 2023 247   @ Eastern Kentucky L 73-75 44%    
  Feb 09, 2023 221   @ Jacksonville St. L 68-71 41%    
  Feb 11, 2023 221   Jacksonville St. W 71-68 62%    
  Feb 16, 2023 126   Liberty L 68-71 41%    
  Feb 18, 2023 243   Queens W 75-71 65%    
  Feb 22, 2023 325   @ North Alabama W 76-71 66%    
  Feb 24, 2023 319   @ Central Arkansas W 80-76 64%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.5 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 4.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.9 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 7.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.0 4.1 2.7 0.7 0.0 9.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 4.9 3.3 0.6 0.0 10.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 4.7 4.0 0.7 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.6 4.6 1.0 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.1 2.3 5.1 1.6 0.1 9.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.5 2.7 0.2 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.0 3.3 0.4 0.0 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.6 0.9 0.0 6.7 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 2.8 1.5 0.1 5.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.5 0.2 4.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 1.8 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.6 4.7 6.9 9.6 11.6 12.9 13.0 12.2 9.7 6.9 4.4 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 98.6% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 89.1% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
15-3 65.5% 1.5    0.9 0.5 0.1
14-4 33.4% 1.5    0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0
13-5 10.7% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.9% 4.9 2.5 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 20.0% 20.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.9% 24.4% 24.4% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
15-3 2.4% 15.8% 15.8% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.0
14-4 4.4% 10.7% 10.7% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 3.9
13-5 6.9% 7.2% 7.2% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 6.4
12-6 9.7% 5.6% 5.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 9.1
11-7 12.2% 4.6% 4.6% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 11.6
10-8 13.0% 3.1% 3.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 12.6
9-9 12.9% 1.9% 1.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 12.7
8-10 11.6% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 11.4
7-11 9.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.5
6-12 6.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.9
5-13 4.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.7
4-14 2.6% 2.6
3-15 1.3% 1.3
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 14.9 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.4 96.3 0.0%