Pepperdine
West Coast
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.5#134
Expected Predictive Rating+4.1#113
Pace74.9#56
Improvement+0.0#99

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#133
First Shot+3.5#80
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#302
Layup/Dunks-3.5#305
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#13
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#32
Freethrows-3.0#338
Improvement-0.1#194

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#139
First Shot+2.6#100
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#267
Layups/Dunks+3.9#57
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#319
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#147
Freethrows-0.3#197
Improvement+0.1#71
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 3.5% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.3% 1.4% 0.2%
Average Seed 12.2 12.2 13.7
.500 or above 51.2% 54.3% 24.8%
.500 or above in Conference 39.2% 40.9% 25.1%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.3% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 11.7% 10.8% 19.6%
First Four0.9% 1.0% 0.4%
First Round2.8% 3.0% 1.1%
Second Round0.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Arizona (Home) - 89.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 4
Quad 22 - 43 - 8
Quad 34 - 47 - 12
Quad 45 - 113 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 278   Rice W 106-67 86%     1 - 0 +30.2 +12.2 +13.4
  Nov 11, 2022 211   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 71-74 58%     1 - 1 -2.5 -1.3 -1.3
  Nov 13, 2022 355   Alabama St. W 91-62 96%     2 - 1 +11.2 +6.2 +3.3
  Nov 19, 2022 49   UC Irvine W 64-55 34%     3 - 1 +15.7 -3.1 +18.6
  Nov 23, 2022 9   @ UCLA L 53-100 6%     3 - 2 -26.5 -12.8 -11.9
  Dec 03, 2022 304   Northern Arizona W 81-67 90%    
  Dec 06, 2022 69   Nevada L 75-77 41%    
  Dec 10, 2022 164   UC Santa Barbara W 73-68 68%    
  Dec 17, 2022 128   @ Grand Canyon L 65-68 38%    
  Dec 22, 2022 143   @ Hawaii L 66-68 42%    
  Dec 31, 2022 11   @ Gonzaga L 74-92 5%    
  Jan 05, 2023 103   Santa Clara W 77-76 53%    
  Jan 07, 2023 228   Pacific W 83-74 80%    
  Jan 12, 2023 179   @ San Diego W 74-73 50%    
  Jan 14, 2023 87   @ BYU L 73-80 28%    
  Jan 19, 2023 32   St. Mary's L 62-69 27%    
  Jan 21, 2023 110   @ Portland L 77-82 35%    
  Jan 26, 2023 179   San Diego W 76-70 70%    
  Jan 28, 2023 132   @ Loyola Marymount L 74-77 39%    
  Feb 02, 2023 228   @ Pacific W 80-77 61%    
  Feb 04, 2023 110   Portland W 80-79 56%    
  Feb 09, 2023 87   BYU L 76-77 48%    
  Feb 11, 2023 84   @ San Francisco L 74-81 27%    
  Feb 18, 2023 11   Gonzaga L 77-89 15%    
  Feb 23, 2023 103   @ Santa Clara L 74-79 32%    
  Feb 25, 2023 132   Loyola Marymount W 77-74 60%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 7 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.9 1.3 0.5 0.1 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.2 2.2 0.4 0.0 10.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 4.1 5.4 2.1 0.2 0.0 12.3 4th
5th 0.4 4.4 6.1 2.0 0.2 13.0 5th
6th 0.2 3.5 7.2 2.5 0.1 13.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.9 7.3 3.0 0.2 13.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.5 3.3 0.3 13.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.8 5.0 2.7 0.3 0.0 11.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 2.0 2.4 1.1 0.1 6.5 10th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.6 5.5 9.1 12.5 14.8 15.4 13.4 10.7 7.5 4.4 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-2 79.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1
13-3 42.7% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.0
12-4 18.4% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1
11-5 3.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 81.0% 19.0% 61.9% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 76.5%
14-2 0.2% 72.5% 15.0% 57.5% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 67.6%
13-3 0.9% 43.9% 6.0% 37.9% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 40.3%
12-4 2.1% 23.8% 7.3% 16.5% 10.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.6 17.8%
11-5 4.4% 11.4% 5.4% 6.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.9 6.4%
10-6 7.5% 5.6% 4.3% 1.3% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 7.1 1.4%
9-7 10.7% 3.6% 3.3% 0.2% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.3 0.3%
8-8 13.4% 2.4% 2.4% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.1
7-9 15.4% 1.6% 1.6% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 15.2
6-10 14.8% 1.2% 1.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.6
5-11 12.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 12.4
4-12 9.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.0
3-13 5.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.5
2-14 2.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.6
1-15 0.8% 0.8
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.3% 2.1% 1.2% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 96.7 1.3%