BYU
West Coast
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.2#87
Expected Predictive Rating+6.3#90
Pace74.7#61
Improvement-0.2#212

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#82
First Shot+0.2#167
After Offensive Rebound+3.4#21
Layup/Dunks+0.2#163
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#198
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#139
Freethrows-0.9#230
Improvement+0.2#39

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#99
First Shot+8.6#15
After Offensive Rebounds-6.0#362
Layups/Dunks+5.3#25
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#306
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.6#15
Freethrows-1.6#279
Improvement-0.4#350
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.2% 12.3% 5.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.4% 7.2% 2.2%
Average Seed 11.1 11.0 12.0
.500 or above 77.0% 81.5% 55.6%
.500 or above in Conference 64.3% 66.6% 52.8%
Conference Champion 3.8% 4.1% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 2.9% 5.5%
First Four3.0% 3.3% 1.4%
First Round9.6% 10.5% 5.2%
Second Round3.1% 3.5% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Neutral) - 82.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 6
Quad 23 - 44 - 9
Quad 36 - 29 - 12
Quad 47 - 117 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 300   Idaho St. W 60-56 93%     1 - 0 -6.7 -22.6 +15.5
  Nov 11, 2022 25   @ San Diego St. L 75-82 16%     1 - 1 +9.8 +3.9 +6.6
  Nov 16, 2022 112   Missouri St. W 66-64 69%     2 - 1 +2.9 -1.7 +4.7
  Nov 19, 2022 249   Nicholls St. W 87-73 89%     3 - 1 +6.6 +2.9 +2.4
  Nov 23, 2022 73   USC L 76-82 44%     3 - 2 +1.6 +2.8 -0.8
  Nov 24, 2022 55   Butler L 70-75 38%     3 - 3 +4.3 +2.4 +1.9
  Nov 25, 2022 74   Dayton W 79-75 OT 45%     4 - 3 +11.4 +14.8 -3.3
  Dec 03, 2022 230   South Dakota W 79-69 83%    
  Dec 07, 2022 182   Utah Valley W 76-66 82%    
  Dec 10, 2022 8   Creighton L 70-81 14%    
  Dec 17, 2022 70   Utah W 72-71 55%    
  Dec 20, 2022 333   Lindenwood W 85-64 97%    
  Dec 22, 2022 251   Weber St. W 81-67 90%    
  Dec 29, 2022 228   @ Pacific W 82-75 73%    
  Dec 31, 2022 110   Portland W 82-77 68%    
  Jan 05, 2023 132   @ Loyola Marymount W 76-75 52%    
  Jan 07, 2023 179   @ San Diego W 76-72 63%    
  Jan 12, 2023 11   Gonzaga L 79-87 23%    
  Jan 14, 2023 134   Pepperdine W 80-73 72%    
  Jan 19, 2023 103   @ Santa Clara L 76-78 44%    
  Jan 21, 2023 84   @ San Francisco L 77-80 39%    
  Jan 28, 2023 32   St. Mary's L 64-67 38%    
  Feb 02, 2023 132   Loyola Marymount W 79-72 72%    
  Feb 04, 2023 228   Pacific W 85-72 87%    
  Feb 09, 2023 134   @ Pepperdine W 77-76 52%    
  Feb 11, 2023 11   @ Gonzaga L 76-90 10%    
  Feb 16, 2023 103   Santa Clara W 79-75 65%    
  Feb 18, 2023 32   @ St. Mary's L 61-70 21%    
  Feb 25, 2023 84   San Francisco W 80-77 59%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.8 1st
2nd 0.2 2.1 4.4 3.8 1.4 0.2 12.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.8 7.7 4.8 0.9 0.0 19.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.9 7.9 3.2 0.4 0.0 16.8 4th
5th 0.3 4.3 7.3 2.7 0.2 14.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.7 6.5 2.6 0.2 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.9 2.5 0.2 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.2 2.0 0.2 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 1.7 1.3 0.1 0.0 4.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.5 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.4 6.2 10.0 14.0 15.8 15.7 13.2 9.9 5.6 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-2 83.4% 0.8    0.6 0.3 0.0
13-3 49.1% 1.4    0.7 0.6 0.1
12-4 17.3% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0
11-5 2.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 1.7 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 89.3% 22.3% 67.0% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 86.3%
14-2 1.0% 85.3% 16.2% 69.1% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 82.5%
13-3 2.9% 62.1% 13.5% 48.6% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.1 56.2%
12-4 5.6% 38.2% 10.3% 27.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.5 31.1%
11-5 9.9% 22.0% 7.6% 14.4% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 7.7 15.6%
10-6 13.2% 10.4% 6.0% 4.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 11.8 4.7%
9-7 15.7% 6.3% 5.1% 1.2% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 14.8 1.3%
8-8 15.8% 4.3% 4.2% 0.2% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 15.1 0.2%
7-9 14.0% 3.5% 3.5% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 13.5
6-10 10.0% 3.4% 3.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 9.7
5-11 6.2% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.1
4-12 3.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 3.4
3-13 1.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.5
2-14 0.4% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.2% 5.2% 6.0% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.8 3.2 2.0 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.4 88.8 6.4%