San Diego
West Coast
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#180
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#192
Pace65.4#266
Improvement-0.3#349

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#125
First Shot-0.2#178
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#84
Layup/Dunks-4.0#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#47
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#165
Freethrows+0.3#159
Improvement-0.2#333

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#241
First Shot-3.9#290
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#74
Layups/Dunks-0.2#196
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#306
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#217
Freethrows-1.0#239
Improvement-0.1#265
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.1% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 18.3% 31.2% 11.9%
.500 or above in Conference 15.1% 20.4% 12.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 33.1% 26.5% 36.3%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
First Round0.6% 0.9% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNLV (Home) - 33.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 22 - 62 - 10
Quad 34 - 56 - 15
Quad 45 - 211 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2022 98   Florida Gulf Coast W 79-73 40%     1 - 0 +8.1 +3.6 +4.3
  Nov 13, 2022 318   NJIT W 74-64 87%     2 - 0 -2.6 +2.8 -4.5
  Nov 17, 2022 48   Utah St. L 89-91 OT 24%     2 - 1 +4.8 +8.8 -3.8
  Nov 25, 2022 102   New Mexico St. L 77-90 31%     2 - 2 -8.3 +0.5 -8.1
  Nov 26, 2022 255   Nicholls St. L 70-72 65%     2 - 3 -6.6 -2.3 -4.4
  Nov 28, 2022 181   Longwood W 71-68 62%     3 - 3 -0.6 -3.2 +2.6
  Dec 03, 2022 77   UNLV L 66-71 33%    
  Dec 10, 2022 161   California Baptist W 66-64 57%    
  Dec 12, 2022 285   UC San Diego W 72-63 79%    
  Dec 18, 2022 35   @ Arizona St. L 59-73 9%    
  Dec 20, 2022 158   @ UC Riverside L 66-70 35%    
  Dec 22, 2022 298   @ Cal St. Northridge W 69-65 64%    
  Dec 29, 2022 32   @ St. Mary's L 55-71 7%    
  Dec 31, 2022 83   @ San Francisco L 69-79 19%    
  Jan 05, 2023 212   Pacific W 76-71 67%    
  Jan 07, 2023 86   BYU L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 12, 2023 126   Pepperdine L 73-74 48%    
  Jan 14, 2023 135   @ Loyola Marymount L 69-75 29%    
  Jan 19, 2023 110   @ Portland L 72-80 24%    
  Jan 26, 2023 126   @ Pepperdine L 70-77 28%    
  Jan 28, 2023 83   San Francisco L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 02, 2023 110   Portland L 75-77 43%    
  Feb 04, 2023 135   @ Loyola Marymount L 69-75 29%    
  Feb 09, 2023 103   @ Santa Clara L 69-77 24%    
  Feb 11, 2023 212   @ Pacific L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 16, 2023 32   St. Mary's L 58-68 19%    
  Feb 23, 2023 9   @ Gonzaga L 68-89 3%    
  Feb 25, 2023 103   Santa Clara L 72-74 42%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 5 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.3 0.4 0.1 3.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.4 1.9 0.5 0.0 5.3 4th
5th 0.4 3.3 3.2 0.7 0.0 7.7 5th
6th 0.3 3.4 4.8 1.0 0.1 9.5 6th
7th 0.3 3.6 6.5 2.0 0.1 12.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.3 8.4 3.2 0.2 16.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 6.1 9.2 4.1 0.3 21.5 9th
10th 0.9 4.3 7.3 6.4 2.7 0.2 0.0 21.8 10th
Total 0.9 4.4 9.0 13.0 16.4 16.7 13.8 10.7 7.1 4.2 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 66.7% 0.0    0.0
13-3 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-4 14.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 3.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0
12-4 0.4% 13.3% 6.7% 6.7% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 7.1%
11-5 1.0% 2.5% 1.5% 1.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0%
10-6 2.3% 2.2% 2.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2
9-7 4.2% 1.9% 1.9% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1
8-8 7.1% 1.3% 1.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0
7-9 10.7% 1.2% 1.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.6
6-10 13.8% 0.6% 0.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 13.7
5-11 16.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 16.6
4-12 16.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 16.3
3-13 13.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.0
2-14 9.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.0
1-15 4.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.4
0-16 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.1% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 99.2 0.1%