Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.5#135
Expected Predictive Rating+4.9#106
Pace68.3#193
Improvement-0.1#249

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#75
First Shot+4.7#56
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#234
Layup/Dunks+2.5#100
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#232
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#31
Freethrows-2.0#290
Improvement-0.1#243

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#220
First Shot-2.3#242
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#125
Layups/Dunks-4.5#306
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#174
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#95
Freethrows-0.8#223
Improvement+0.0#213
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 3.8% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 1.7% 0.3%
Average Seed 12.4 11.8 13.2
.500 or above 46.0% 61.6% 35.3%
.500 or above in Conference 37.1% 43.6% 32.5%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.0% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 11.4% 8.6% 13.3%
First Four0.8% 1.2% 0.5%
First Round2.3% 3.2% 1.6%
Second Round0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nevada (Home) - 40.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 5
Quad 22 - 53 - 10
Quad 35 - 48 - 13
Quad 46 - 114 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2022 158   UC Riverside L 79-81 68%     0 - 1 -4.4 +0.3 -4.5
  Nov 12, 2022 176   UC Davis W 85-75 71%     1 - 1 +6.7 +6.7 -0.6
  Nov 15, 2022 49   @ UC Irvine L 64-79 17%     1 - 2 -2.2 +1.7 -4.0
  Nov 18, 2022 178   Georgetown W 84-66 61%     2 - 2 +17.5 +9.5 +8.0
  Nov 20, 2022 70   Wake Forest W 77-75 OT 30%     3 - 2 +10.0 -0.8 +10.6
  Nov 23, 2022 267   Morgan St. W 81-80 OT 84%     4 - 2 -7.1 -1.9 -5.3
  Nov 25, 2022 234   Bellarmine W 80-59 81%     5 - 2 +14.3 +6.3 +9.2
  Nov 30, 2022 74   @ Colorado St. L 71-87 22%     5 - 3 -5.5 +4.0 -9.4
  Dec 03, 2022 69   Nevada L 74-76 41%    
  Dec 07, 2022 129   @ Grand Canyon L 65-68 39%    
  Dec 10, 2022 48   Utah St. L 75-82 25%    
  Dec 18, 2022 191   Cleveland St. W 70-63 74%    
  Dec 21, 2022 168   Tulsa W 80-74 70%    
  Dec 29, 2022 110   @ Portland L 76-81 34%    
  Dec 31, 2022 212   @ Pacific W 77-75 57%    
  Jan 05, 2023 86   BYU L 75-76 48%    
  Jan 07, 2023 83   San Francisco L 76-77 47%    
  Jan 12, 2023 32   @ St. Mary's L 59-72 12%    
  Jan 14, 2023 180   San Diego W 75-69 71%    
  Jan 19, 2023 9   @ Gonzaga L 73-91 5%    
  Jan 26, 2023 110   Portland W 79-78 56%    
  Jan 28, 2023 126   Pepperdine W 77-74 58%    
  Feb 02, 2023 86   @ BYU L 72-79 28%    
  Feb 04, 2023 180   San Diego W 75-69 71%    
  Feb 09, 2023 32   St. Mary's L 62-69 27%    
  Feb 11, 2023 103   @ Santa Clara L 73-78 33%    
  Feb 16, 2023 9   Gonzaga L 76-88 15%    
  Feb 18, 2023 212   Pacific W 80-72 76%    
  Feb 25, 2023 126   @ Pepperdine L 74-77 38%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 7 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.2 1.1 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.0 4.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.1 3.5 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.4 5.1 1.6 0.1 11.9 4th
5th 0.5 4.8 6.8 2.0 0.1 0.0 14.1 5th
6th 0.3 4.3 7.4 2.4 0.2 14.5 6th
7th 0.3 3.2 7.7 3.6 0.3 15.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.6 3.4 0.3 0.0 13.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.7 2.7 0.3 10.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.4 1.2 0.2 6.0 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.0 5.2 9.3 13.0 16.1 16.7 14.5 10.5 6.4 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 73.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-3 42.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 17.7% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-5 2.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.6% 48.8% 12.2% 36.6% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 41.7%
12-4 1.6% 23.5% 7.1% 16.4% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.2 17.6%
11-5 3.3% 9.9% 5.2% 4.6% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.0 4.9%
10-6 6.4% 5.0% 3.2% 1.7% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.0 1.8%
9-7 10.5% 2.8% 2.3% 0.5% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.2 0.5%
8-8 14.5% 2.2% 2.1% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 14.2 0.1%
7-9 16.7% 1.5% 1.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 16.5
6-10 16.1% 1.2% 1.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 15.9
5-11 13.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 12.9
4-12 9.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.2
3-13 5.2% 5.2
2-14 2.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.0
1-15 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.6% 1.8% 0.9% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 97.4 0.9%