Santa Clara
West Coast
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#103
Expected Predictive Rating+9.2#66
Pace76.8#33
Improvement+0.1#93

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#113
First Shot-0.8#196
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#35
Layup/Dunks-1.4#225
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#151
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#182
Freethrows+0.6#137
Improvement+0.1#63

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#95
First Shot-1.1#213
After Offensive Rebounds+3.8#17
Layups/Dunks+1.6#123
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#339
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#265
Freethrows+2.4#55
Improvement-0.1#198
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.4% 8.9% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.7% 5.1% 1.4%
Average Seed 11.2 11.2 12.3
.500 or above 83.8% 86.3% 64.4%
.500 or above in Conference 52.6% 54.3% 39.1%
Conference Champion 2.0% 2.1% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 5.9% 5.4% 10.0%
First Four2.6% 2.8% 1.1%
First Round7.0% 7.5% 3.3%
Second Round1.9% 2.1% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacramento St. (Home) - 88.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 23 - 44 - 9
Quad 36 - 310 - 12
Quad 47 - 118 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 255   Eastern Washington W 84-72 87%     1 - 0 +4.3 -5.4 +7.9
  Nov 10, 2022 292   Georgia Southern W 78-62 91%     2 - 0 +6.0 -4.7 +9.4
  Nov 14, 2022 34   @ Utah St. L 74-96 19%     2 - 1 -7.9 -1.6 -3.9
  Nov 18, 2022 117   DePaul W 69-61 54%     3 - 1 +11.8 -8.0 +19.2
  Nov 20, 2022 75   Central Florida L 50-57 40%     3 - 2 +0.3 -11.3 +11.0
  Nov 26, 2022 83   Iona W 86-76 43%     4 - 2 +16.4 +8.5 +7.1
  Nov 30, 2022 146   Wyoming W 89-85 OT 63%     5 - 2 +5.4 +14.8 -9.4
  Dec 03, 2022 260   Sacramento St. W 78-65 89%    
  Dec 07, 2022 104   New Mexico St. W 80-77 62%    
  Dec 10, 2022 185   San Jose St. W 75-67 78%    
  Dec 13, 2022 192   Portland St. W 84-75 79%    
  Dec 15, 2022 49   UC Irvine L 68-70 43%    
  Dec 18, 2022 231   California W 72-61 85%    
  Dec 22, 2022 61   Boise St. L 66-67 47%    
  Dec 29, 2022 84   San Francisco W 79-78 55%    
  Dec 31, 2022 32   St. Mary's L 63-68 33%    
  Jan 05, 2023 134   @ Pepperdine L 76-77 47%    
  Jan 07, 2023 11   Gonzaga L 78-88 19%    
  Jan 14, 2023 228   @ Pacific W 81-76 69%    
  Jan 19, 2023 87   BYU W 78-76 56%    
  Jan 21, 2023 32   @ St. Mary's L 60-71 17%    
  Jan 28, 2023 228   Pacific W 84-73 85%    
  Feb 02, 2023 11   @ Gonzaga L 75-91 8%    
  Feb 04, 2023 84   @ San Francisco L 76-81 34%    
  Feb 09, 2023 179   San Diego W 78-70 76%    
  Feb 11, 2023 132   Loyola Marymount W 78-73 68%    
  Feb 16, 2023 87   @ BYU L 75-79 35%    
  Feb 18, 2023 110   @ Portland L 79-81 42%    
  Feb 23, 2023 134   Pepperdine W 79-74 68%    
  Feb 25, 2023 179   @ San Diego W 75-73 57%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.9 2.3 0.7 0.1 7.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.9 6.1 3.1 0.6 0.0 14.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 5.0 7.2 2.8 0.3 15.9 4th
5th 0.3 4.5 7.3 2.5 0.2 14.9 5th
6th 0.2 3.4 7.4 2.7 0.2 13.9 6th
7th 0.2 2.4 6.6 2.9 0.2 12.2 7th
8th 0.2 1.8 4.9 2.6 0.3 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.7 1.7 0.2 6.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.7 0.1 2.9 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.7 5.4 9.3 13.1 15.7 15.9 14.0 10.8 6.5 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 84.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-3 45.8% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.0
12-4 18.7% 0.7    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-5 3.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 100.0% 18.8% 81.3% 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-2 0.4% 88.6% 19.9% 68.7% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.7%
13-3 1.4% 64.1% 12.2% 52.0% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 59.2%
12-4 3.5% 44.4% 8.3% 36.1% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.0 39.3%
11-5 6.5% 26.6% 7.4% 19.2% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.0 4.8 20.8%
10-6 10.8% 12.2% 6.4% 5.8% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 9.5 6.2%
9-7 14.0% 6.3% 4.6% 1.7% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 13.1 1.7%
8-8 15.9% 3.5% 3.0% 0.5% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 15.3 0.5%
7-9 15.7% 2.7% 2.7% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 15.3
6-10 13.1% 2.4% 2.4% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.8
5-11 9.3% 1.7% 1.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.1
4-12 5.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.0 5.4
3-13 2.7% 0.7% 0.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 2.7
2-14 0.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.9
1-15 0.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.4% 3.8% 4.5% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.5 1.8 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 91.6 4.7%