IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Tulsa
American Athletic
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.6	#233
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.4	#145
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.5	#232

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.1	#240

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.6%	0.7%	0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.0	13.9	15.3

.500 or above	24.7%	28.0%	8.9%
.500 or above in Conference	16.2%	17.8%	8.3%
Conference Champion	0.3%	0.4%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	29.3%	27.2%	39.5%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
First Round	0.5%	0.6%	0.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Central Arkansas (Home) - 82.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 7
Quad 3	3 - 7	4 - 14
Quad 4	8 - 3	12 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	336	Central Arkansas	W	84-74	83%
Nov 11, 2023	348	Incarnate Word	W	78-66	86%
Nov 16, 2023	245	Jackson St.	W	74-70	64%
Nov 20, 2023	345	South Carolina St.	W	84-73	84%
Nov 25, 2023	275	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	78-79	49%
Dec 02, 2023	175	@ Oral Roberts	L	74-80	28%
Dec 05, 2023	96	Loyola Chicago	L	67-73	32%
Dec 10, 2023	59	Oklahoma St.	L	64-77	13%
Dec 16, 2023	143	Missouri St.	L	64-66	42%
Dec 19, 2023	361	Mississippi Valley	W	78-61	93%
Dec 22, 2023	167	New Mexico St.	L	74-75	46%
Jan 04, 2024	27	Memphis	L	71-84	13%
Jan 07, 2024	146	@ East Carolina	L	68-76	25%
Jan 10, 2024	156	@ Charlotte	L	60-67	27%
Jan 14, 2024	99	Tulane	L	77-82	33%
Jan 17, 2024	249	Texas San Antonio	W	77-73	63%
Jan 20, 2024	101	@ SMU	L	68-79	18%
Jan 27, 2024	178	@ Rice	L	74-80	30%
Jan 31, 2024	95	Wichita St.	L	67-73	32%
Feb 03, 2024	25	@ Florida Atlantic	L	64-83	5%
Feb 07, 2024	90	North Texas	L	57-63	30%
Feb 11, 2024	77	UAB	L	73-80	27%
Feb 14, 2024	145	@ South Florida	L	68-76	25%
Feb 17, 2024	178	Rice	L	76-77	49%
Feb 21, 2024	95	@ Wichita St.	L	64-76	17%
Feb 24, 2024	156	Charlotte	L	63-64	45%
Feb 28, 2024	249	@ Texas San Antonio	L	74-76	43%
Mar 02, 2024	138	@ Temple	L	65-74	24%
Mar 09, 2024	145	South Florida	L	71-73	43%
Projected Record						12 - 17	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected American Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.3	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.9	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0					1.5	3rd
4th										0.0	0.6	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0						2.3	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	1.5	0.9	0.2	0.0							3.1	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	1.8	1.5	0.3	0.0								3.9	6th
7th								0.2	1.7	2.4	0.5	0.0									4.7	7th
8th							0.1	1.6	3.0	1.3	0.1										6.1	8th
9th						0.0	1.0	3.6	2.3	0.2	0.0										7.1	9th
10th					0.0	0.8	4.0	3.6	0.6	0.0											9.0	10th
11th				0.0	0.7	3.9	5.0	1.2	0.0												10.9	11th
12th			0.1	1.0	4.3	5.8	2.1	0.2													13.4	12th
13th		0.2	2.1	5.6	6.3	2.6	0.3														17.1	13th
14th	1.7	4.9	6.4	4.9	1.7	0.2	0.0														19.7	14th

Total	1.7	5.1	8.5	11.5	13.1	13.4	12.4	10.2	8.0	6.3	4.2	2.6	1.6	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0				Total

American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	74.7%	0.0		0.0	0.0
15-3	52.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
14-4	33.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	10.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.5%	0.0			0.0		0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.3%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%											0.0						0.0
16-2	0.0%		41.4%		41.4%	10.5						0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		41.4%
15-3	0.1%		16.1%	7.9%	8.3%	11.1										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1		9.0%
14-4	0.4%		6.8%	6.2%	0.6%	11.6											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.4		0.7%
13-5	0.9%		2.8%	1.9%	0.9%	11.7												0.0	0.0	0.0				0.9		0.9%
12-6	1.6%		2.7%	2.7%		12.1												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			1.5
11-7	2.6%		2.9%	2.9%		13.3												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		2.6
10-8	4.2%		2.4%	2.4%		13.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	4.1
9-9	6.3%		1.2%	1.2%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	6.2
8-10	8.0%		0.8%	0.8%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.0	7.9
7-11	10.2%		0.7%	0.7%		15.7																0.0	0.1	10.1
6-12	12.4%		0.4%	0.4%		15.8																0.0	0.0	12.3
5-13	13.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	13.4
4-14	13.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	13.0
3-15	11.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.5
2-16	8.5%																							8.5
1-17	5.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.1
0-18	1.7%																							1.7

Total	100%		0.6%	0.6%	0.0%	14.0						0.0				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	99.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%