IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Lehigh
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.7	#297
Expected Predictive Rating	-9.8	#315

Pace	70.2	#135
Improvement	-3.1	#318

Offense
Total Offense	-4.7	#296

First Shot	-1.2	#211
After Offensive Rebound	-3.5	#343

Layup/Dunks	-3.9	#310
2 Pt Jumpshots	+3.9	#21
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.5	#197
Freethrows	-0.7	#228

Improvement	-6.9	#364

Defense
Total Defense	-3.0	#264

First Shot	+0.9	#153
After Offensive Rebounds	-3.9	#360

Layups/Dunks	+1.0	#135
2 Pt Jumpshots	-3.8	#351
3 Pt Jumpshots	+3.3	#52
Freethrows	+0.4	#154

Improvement	+3.9	#20

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.5%	6.2%	3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	4.4%	10.1%	2.2%
.500 or above in Conference	15.6%	31.9%	9.4%
Conference Champion	0.2%	0.6%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	41.1%	23.7%	47.7%

First Four	4.1%	5.1%	3.7%
First Round	2.6%	3.7%	2.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: American (Away) - 27.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 4	10 - 11	10 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	54	@ Northwestern	L	46-90	4%	0 - 1			-31.3	-17.2	-15.6
Nov 06, 2024	71	@ Georgetown	L	77-85	5%	0 - 2			+2.7	+9.1	-6.0
Nov 12, 2024	203	@ Columbia	L	75-76	22%	0 - 3			-0.5	+7.8	-8.4
Nov 15, 2024	32	@ UCLA	L	45-85	3%	0 - 4			-24.3	-15.3	-11.9
Nov 26, 2024	344	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	78-88	56%	0 - 5			-19.3	+1.8	-21.1
Nov 30, 2024	217	Marist	W	74-69	43%	1 - 5			-0.8	+9.0	-9.3
Dec 04, 2024	268	Monmouth	W	90-63	54%	2 - 5			+18.4	+14.4	+4.3
Dec 07, 2024	68	@ Dayton	L	62-86	5%	2 - 6			-13.1	-0.7	-15.1
Dec 21, 2024	314	@ LIU Brooklyn	W	60-59	44%	3 - 6			-5.1	-11.5	+6.4
Jan 02, 2025	267	Bucknell	W	66-64 OT	53%	4 - 6	1 - 0		-6.5	-15.0	+8.3
Jan 05, 2025	315	@ Loyola Maryland	L	74-80	44%	4 - 7	1 - 1		-12.2	-4.3	-7.7
Jan 08, 2025	197	@ Colgate	L	62-67	21%	4 - 8	1 - 2		-4.2	-9.9	+5.7
Jan 11, 2025	302	Army	L	69-74	61%	4 - 9	1 - 3		-15.5	-12.3	-3.0
Jan 15, 2025	283	@ Boston University	L	58-63	37%	4 - 10	1 - 4		-9.4	-5.3	-4.9
Jan 18, 2025	315	Loyola Maryland	L	60-76	64%	4 - 11	1 - 5		-27.4	-12.9	-16.1
Jan 22, 2025	235	@ American	L	65-71	28%
Jan 25, 2025	277	Lafayette	W	69-68	56%
Jan 29, 2025	292	Navy	W	74-72	61%
Feb 01, 2025	319	@ Holy Cross	L	73-74	44%
Feb 03, 2025	197	Colgate	L	69-72	39%
Feb 08, 2025	235	American	L	67-68	47%
Feb 12, 2025	292	@ Navy	L	71-74	38%
Feb 15, 2025	319	Holy Cross	W	75-71	66%
Feb 17, 2025	267	@ Bucknell	L	68-72	33%
Feb 22, 2025	277	@ Lafayette	L	67-71	35%
Feb 26, 2025	283	Boston University	W	67-65	58%
Mar 01, 2025	302	@ Army	L	71-73	39%
Projected Record						9 - 18	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.1	0.1	0.0							0.2	1st
2nd										0.0	0.7	0.8	0.3	0.0							1.9	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.7	2.1	0.6	0.0								3.3	3rd
4th									0.3	3.2	1.6	0.1	0.0								5.2	4th
5th								0.1	3.1	3.5	0.4										7.1	5th
6th							0.1	2.0	6.2	1.4											9.7	6th
7th						0.0	1.0	7.3	3.9	0.0											12.3	7th
8th					0.0	1.0	6.4	6.8	0.5												14.7	8th
9th				0.1	1.4	6.5	8.7	1.9	0.0												18.7	9th
10th		0.2	1.6	4.8	9.3	8.3	2.5	0.1													26.9	10th

Total		0.2	1.6	5.0	10.7	15.9	18.7	18.3	14.1	8.8	4.8	1.6	0.4	0.1								Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5	33.3%	0.0		0.0	0.0
12-6	20.9%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	5.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.2%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5	0.1%																				0.0	0.0		0.0
12-6	0.4%		32.6%	32.6%		15.6																0.1	0.1	0.3
11-7	1.6%		19.2%	19.2%		16.0																	0.3	1.3
10-8	4.8%		11.9%	11.9%		16.0																0.0	0.6	4.2
9-9	8.8%		11.3%	11.3%		16.0																	1.0	7.8
8-10	14.1%		6.2%	6.2%		16.0																	0.9	13.2
7-11	18.3%		4.2%	4.2%		16.0																	0.8	17.5
6-12	18.7%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																	0.4	18.3
5-13	15.9%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.3	15.6
4-14	10.7%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	10.6
3-15	5.0%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	4.9
2-16	1.6%																							1.6
1-17	0.2%																							0.2
0-18

Total	100%		4.5%	4.5%	0.0%	16.0															0.0	0.1	4.4	95.5		0.0%