IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Lehigh
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.6	#311
Expected Predictive Rating	-12.3	#335

Pace	67.5	#234
Improvement	-1.0	#252

Offense
Total Offense	-4.9	#300

First Shot	-2.2	#232
After Offensive Rebound	-2.7	#337

Layup/Dunks	-5.2	#338
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.8	#81
3 Pt Jumpshots	+1.8	#122
Freethrows	-0.7	#228

Improvement	+0.4	#143

Defense
Total Defense	-3.7	#296

First Shot	-2.6	#263
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.1	#270

Layups/Dunks	-1.8	#249
2 Pt Jumpshots	-2.7	#339
3 Pt Jumpshots	+3.5	#57
Freethrows	-1.6	#288

Improvement	-1.4	#284

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.9%	6.8%	4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	10.5%	20.6%	7.2%
.500 or above in Conference	46.1%	55.9%	42.9%
Conference Champion	4.1%	6.0%	3.5%
Last Place in Conference	12.7%	8.3%	14.1%

First Four	4.1%	5.2%	3.8%
First Round	2.8%	4.2%	2.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Monmouth (Away) - 24.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 9
Quad 4	11 - 11	11 - 19

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Mon, Nov 3	8 @Houston	L	57-75	1%	0 - 1			+5.3	-2.5	+7.3
Sun, Nov 9	65 @West Virginia	L	47-69	4%	0 - 2			-10.6	-15.0	+2.6
Fri, Nov 14	144 @Rutgers	L	72-84	12%	0 - 3			-7.9	+2.0	-9.8
Tue, Nov 18	361 St. Francis (PA)	W	79-62	82%	1 - 3			-1.4	-5.4	+3.2
Fri, Nov 21	129 Columbia	L	67-82	24%	1 - 4			-16.2	-5.1	-11.5
Tue, Nov 25	162 @Marist	L	55-78	15%	1 - 5			-20.3	-10.6	-10.5
Fri, Nov 28	154 UC Santa Barbara	L	70-72	20%	1 - 6			-1.8	+1.0	-2.9
Sat, Nov 29	254 Texas St.	W	78-74 OT	37%	2 - 6			-1.2	+3.8	-5.1
Tue, Dec 2	363 @Binghamton	L	71-80 OT	66%	2 - 7			-21.8	-10.1	-11.4
Sat, Dec 6	203 LIU Brooklyn	L	82-87	40%	2 - 8			-10.9	+2.3	-13.1
Sun, Dec 21	230 @Monmouth	L	68-75	25%
Wed, Dec 31	332 Army	W	74-69	68%
Sat, Jan 3	309 @Bucknell	L	69-72	39%
Wed, Jan 7	324 Holy Cross	W	73-69	65%
Sat, Jan 10	178 @Colgate	L	67-77	17%
Wed, Jan 14	291 @Boston University	L	68-73	33%
Sat, Jan 17	202 Navy	L	68-71	39%
Mon, Jan 19	339 Loyola Maryland	W	76-71	70%
Sat, Jan 24	320 Lafayette	W	73-69	64%
Wed, Jan 28	332 @Army	L	71-72	46%
Sat, Jan 31	178 Colgate	L	70-74	35%
Wed, Feb 4	339 @Loyola Maryland	L	73-74	48%
Sat, Feb 7	324 @Holy Cross	L	70-72	44%
Wed, Feb 11	252 American	L	73-74	49%
Sat, Feb 14	320 @Lafayette	L	70-72	43%
Wed, Feb 18	202 @Navy	L	65-74	21%
Sat, Feb 21	291 Boston University	W	71-70	55%
Wed, Feb 25	252 @American	L	70-76	28%
Sat, Feb 28	309 Bucknell	W	72-69	61%
Projected Record					10 - 19	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.2	0.6	1.2	1.1	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0		4.1	1st
2nd										0.0	0.4	1.9	2.9	1.6	0.5	0.1					7.3	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.5	3.1	4.6	2.0	0.4	0.0						10.7	3rd
4th								0.0	0.5	3.7	5.4	2.2	0.4	0.0							12.3	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	3.5	6.0	2.5	0.3									12.7	5th
6th						0.0	0.3	2.8	6.5	2.8	0.3										12.7	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	2.5	6.1	3.2	0.3											12.4	7th
8th				0.0	0.3	2.1	5.0	3.1	0.4	0.0											10.9	8th
9th			0.0	0.5	2.0	3.7	2.7	0.4	0.0												9.3	9th
10th	0.0	0.3	1.0	2.1	2.4	1.5	0.3	0.0													7.6	10th

Total	0.0	0.3	1.0	2.6	4.7	7.5	10.8	12.9	14.2	13.3	11.7	9.1	5.9	3.3	1.7	0.8	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
15-3	91.2%	0.7		0.5	0.1	0.0
14-4	68.3%	1.1		0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-5	37.0%	1.2		0.4	0.6	0.2	0.0
12-6	10.8%	0.6		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1
11-7	1.7%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0							0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.1%	4.1		2.1	1.4	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.1%		35.0%	35.0%		14.7															0.0	0.0		0.0
16-2	0.2%		26.5%	26.5%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
15-3	0.8%		24.8%	24.8%		15.6																0.1	0.1	0.6
14-4	1.7%		21.3%	21.3%		15.9																0.0	0.3	1.3
13-5	3.3%		14.9%	14.9%		16.0																0.0	0.5	2.8
12-6	5.9%		11.8%	11.8%		16.0																0.0	0.7	5.2
11-7	9.1%		8.5%	8.5%		16.0																0.0	0.8	8.4
10-8	11.7%		7.2%	7.2%		16.0																	0.8	10.9
9-9	13.3%		4.7%	4.7%		16.0																	0.6	12.7
8-10	14.2%		3.0%	3.0%		16.0																	0.4	13.8
7-11	12.9%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.2	12.7
6-12	10.8%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	10.7
5-13	7.5%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	7.4
4-14	4.7%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	4.6
3-15	2.6%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	2.6
2-16	1.0%																							1.0
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		4.9%	4.9%	0.0%	16.0															0.0	0.2	4.7	95.1		0.0%