Louisiana
Sun Belt
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#306
Expected Predictive Rating-8.2#299
Pace68.2#194
Improvement-2.4#290

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#290
First Shot-2.7#249
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#285
Layup/Dunks-1.2#225
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#134
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#170
Freethrows-2.4#314
Improvement-4.2#353

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#285
First Shot-0.5#194
After Offensive Rebounds-3.2#352
Layups/Dunks-1.7#244
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#88
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#41
Freethrows-3.4#349
Improvement+1.8#88
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 15.3% 29.2% 8.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.4%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas St. (Home) - 31.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 82 - 14
Quad 47 - 99 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 141   Kent St. L 66-70 25%     0 - 1 -5.2 -0.9 -4.5
  Nov 13, 2024 3   @ Houston L 45-91 1%     0 - 2 -21.9 -15.6 -5.2
  Nov 19, 2024 191   Rice L 61-83 34%     0 - 3 -25.9 -8.5 -19.3
  Nov 22, 2024 92   Liberty L 69-89 10%     0 - 4 -13.8 +6.3 -21.7
  Nov 23, 2024 118   George Washington L 74-83 16%     0 - 5 -6.3 -0.9 -4.9
  Nov 25, 2024 98   UAB L 86-98 12%     0 - 6 -7.3 +10.3 -17.5
  Nov 30, 2024 212   Nicholls St. L 75-76 39%     0 - 7 -6.3 +5.1 -11.5
  Dec 08, 2024 119   Louisiana Tech L 58-69 22%     0 - 8 -10.9 -11.3 -0.4
  Dec 11, 2024 220   SE Louisiana W 68-61 42%     1 - 8 +1.1 -4.8 +6.0
  Dec 14, 2024 222   Lamar L 45-74 42%     1 - 9 -35.0 -23.2 -15.6
  Dec 18, 2024 121   Appalachian St. W 68-62 22%     2 - 9 1 - 0 +6.0 +2.5 +3.9
  Dec 22, 2024 74   McNeese St. L 56-64 11%     2 - 10 -2.9 -7.8 +3.9
  Jan 02, 2025 293   @ Coastal Carolina W 71-68 38%     3 - 10 2 - 0 -1.9 +1.7 -3.3
  Jan 04, 2025 281   @ Georgia St. L 70-94 36%     3 - 11 2 - 1 -28.3 -7.3 -20.2
  Jan 09, 2025 287   Old Dominion L 60-71 57%     3 - 12 2 - 2 -20.8 -11.6 -10.1
  Jan 11, 2025 346   Louisiana Monroe W 71-68 74%     4 - 12 3 - 2 -11.6 -3.6 -7.8
  Jan 16, 2025 97   @ Arkansas St. L 63-83 8%     4 - 13 3 - 3 -12.6 -5.1 -7.8
  Jan 18, 2025 346   @ Louisiana Monroe W 65-60 55%     5 - 13 4 - 3 -4.4 -6.7 +2.7
  Jan 23, 2025 167   Texas St. L 70-75 32%    
  Jan 25, 2025 253   Southern Miss L 73-74 52%    
  Jan 30, 2025 167   @ Texas St. L 67-77 16%    
  Feb 01, 2025 122   South Alabama L 63-71 25%    
  Feb 05, 2025 272   @ Georgia Southern L 73-77 34%    
  Feb 08, 2025 354   @ Northern Illinois W 74-71 58%    
  Feb 12, 2025 117   Troy L 66-74 24%    
  Feb 15, 2025 181   Marshall L 70-75 35%    
  Feb 20, 2025 117   @ Troy L 63-76 10%    
  Feb 22, 2025 253   @ Southern Miss L 71-76 31%    
  Feb 26, 2025 97   Arkansas St. L 68-78 18%    
  Feb 28, 2025 122   @ South Alabama L 60-73 11%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 0.2 3rd
4th 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 0.6 0.0 1.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 1.6 0.2 3.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 4.1 0.9 0.0 6.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 6.3 3.3 0.2 11.5 8th
9th 0.9 7.1 7.0 0.6 15.6 9th
10th 0.3 5.9 10.1 1.8 18.2 10th
11th 0.1 3.9 11.3 4.2 0.3 19.8 11th
12th 2.7 8.7 5.6 0.5 0.0 17.4 12th
13th 2.2 2.1 0.3 4.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 5.1 15.0 24.0 23.6 17.1 9.8 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 37.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 3.3% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.1% 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.3% 0.3
11-7 1.3% 1.3
10-8 3.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.8
9-9 9.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.7
8-10 17.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 17.0
7-11 23.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 23.5
6-12 24.0% 24.0
5-13 15.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.0
4-14 5.1% 5.1
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.4%