IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Louisiana
Sun Belt
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.8	#327
Expected Predictive Rating	-15.6	#349

Pace	62.2	#347
Improvement	-1.2	#264

Offense
Total Offense	-8.0	#351

First Shot	-5.8	#334
After Offensive Rebound	-2.2	#321

Layup/Dunks	-3.8	#307
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.1	#71
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.6	#199
Freethrows	-3.5	#342

Improvement	-2.0	#325

Defense
Total Defense	-1.9	#238

First Shot	-2.1	#244
After Offensive Rebounds	+0.2	#175

Layups/Dunks	-2.5	#272
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.7	#12
3 Pt Jumpshots	+1.6	#125
Freethrows	-3.9	#352

Improvement	+0.9	#117

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.8	16.0

.500 or above	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%
.500 or above in Conference	11.6%	25.3%	8.8%
Conference Champion	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	18.9%	7.8%	21.2%

First Four	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
First Round	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Southern Miss (Away) - 17.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 9	1 - 14
Quad 4	6 - 10	7 - 23

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Mon, Nov 3	307 @Ball St.	L	64-75	33%	0 - 1			-16.3	-4.2	-13.1
Fri, Nov 7	272 SE Louisiana	W	58-52	47%	1 - 1			-3.0	-5.0	+3.2
Tue, Nov 11	199 Tulane	L	62-66	34%	1 - 2			-9.5	-9.6	-0.3
Fri, Nov 14	71 @McNeese St.	L	62-88	4%	1 - 3			-15.1	-2.1	-14.3
Tue, Nov 18	88 @Stanford	L	66-93	5%	1 - 4			-17.9	-3.7	-13.7
Fri, Nov 21	77 @Santa Clara	L	43-80	4%	1 - 5			-26.6	-23.0	-5.5
Mon, Nov 24	197 @UC Davis	L	56-77	16%	1 - 6			-20.4	-11.1	-10.8
Fri, Nov 28	317 Jackson St.	L	45-51	59%	1 - 7			-18.1	-25.2	+6.3
Wed, Dec 3	242 @Lamar	L	55-65	22%	1 - 8			-11.7	-7.6	-5.6
Sat, Dec 6	108 UNC Wilmington	L	63-70	16%	1 - 9			-6.3	-5.1	-1.9
Sat, Dec 13	189 @Louisiana Tech	L	44-65	15%	1 - 10			-19.8	-17.3	-6.0
Thu, Dec 18	202 @Southern Miss	L	62-72	17%
Sat, Dec 20	356 @Louisiana Monroe	W	69-68	54%
Sun, Dec 28	226 Norfolk St.	L	61-64	40%
Wed, Dec 31	186 South Alabama	L	61-66	31%
Sat, Jan 3	202 Southern Miss	L	65-69	35%
Thu, Jan 8	356 Louisiana Monroe	W	72-65	74%
Sat, Jan 10	143 Troy	L	63-71	23%
Wed, Jan 14	260 @Texas St.	L	60-67	25%
Sat, Jan 17	186 @South Alabama	L	58-69	15%
Thu, Jan 22	225 @Appalachian St.	L	57-66	21%
Sat, Jan 24	205 @Old Dominion	L	63-73	18%
Thu, Jan 29	337 Georgia St.	W	68-64	64%
Sat, Jan 31	235 Georgia Southern	L	70-73	40%
Wed, Feb 4	193 @James Madison	L	61-72	16%
Thu, Feb 12	241 Coastal Carolina	L	65-67	42%
Thu, Feb 19	141 Arkansas St.	L	67-75	23%
Sat, Feb 21	260 Texas St.	L	63-64	45%
Tue, Feb 24	143 @Troy	L	60-74	11%
Fri, Feb 27	141 @Arkansas St.	L	64-78	10%
Projected Record					7 - 23	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0					0.2	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0						0.3	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	0.3	0.1							0.7	3rd
4th										0.0	0.2	0.7	0.2	0.0							1.1	4th
5th									0.0	0.2	1.0	0.5	0.0								1.7	5th
6th									0.1	1.1	1.2	0.1									2.5	6th
7th								0.0	0.9	2.2	0.6	0.0									3.7	7th
8th							0.0	0.7	2.9	1.6	0.1										5.4	8th
9th						0.0	0.5	3.3	3.5	0.5	0.0										7.8	9th
10th					0.0	0.6	3.7	5.2	1.7	0.1											11.2	10th
11th				0.0	0.8	4.6	7.3	3.1	0.3	0.0											16.1	11th
12th			0.1	1.8	5.6	8.4	4.5	0.6	0.0												21.0	12th
13th		0.1	1.8	5.6	6.3	2.9	0.6	0.0													17.3	13th
14th	0.4	2.0	3.6	3.3	1.4	0.2	0.0														10.8	14th

Total	0.4	2.2	5.5	10.6	14.1	16.7	16.5	13.1	9.3	5.8	3.2	1.6	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0						Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-4	63.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	23.6%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	3.5%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
11-7	0.4%	0.0					0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.2%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3	0.0%																					0.0	0.0	0.0
14-4	0.1%		22.2%	22.2%		16.0																	0.0	0.1
13-5	0.2%		9.1%	9.1%		16.0																	0.0	0.2
12-6	0.7%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.0	0.7
11-7	1.6%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																	0.0	1.6
10-8	3.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.2
9-9	5.8%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	5.8
8-10	9.3%																							9.3
7-11	13.1%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	13.1
6-12	16.5%																							16.5
5-13	16.7%																							16.7
4-14	14.1%																							14.1
3-15	10.6%																							10.6
2-16	5.5%																							5.5
1-17	2.2%																							2.2
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	15.9																0.0	0.1	99.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.3%