Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#293
Expected Predictive Rating-9.2#308
Pace60.8#349
Improvement-2.9#314

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#244
First Shot-1.9#226
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#242
Layup/Dunks-1.4#239
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#207
Freethrows-0.8#234
Improvement+2.1#72

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#312
First Shot-5.9#345
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#95
Layups/Dunks+5.2#35
2 Pt Jumpshots-8.5#364
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#88
Freethrows-4.8#363
Improvement-5.0#358
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 1.0% 2.1% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 1.3% 3.1% 0.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 11.8% 5.0% 15.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Southern (Away) - 34.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 11
Quad 49 - 910 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 309   Western Michigan W 60-56 63%     1 - 0 -6.9 -12.7 +6.3
  Nov 09, 2024 156   @ East Carolina L 59-63 16%     1 - 1 -0.9 -0.8 -0.8
  Nov 13, 2024 91   @ North Carolina St. L 70-82 7%     1 - 2 -3.2 +0.1 -3.2
  Nov 17, 2024 163   Jacksonville St. L 53-71 31%     1 - 3 -20.4 -12.0 -12.1
  Nov 22, 2024 327   IU Indianapolis W 71-57 60%     2 - 3 +3.8 +1.5 +4.4
  Nov 23, 2024 358   @ Alabama A&M L 70-77 67%     2 - 4 -19.0 -5.1 -14.1
  Nov 30, 2024 339   South Carolina Upstate W 73-51 74%     3 - 4 +7.9 -3.6 +12.4
  Dec 04, 2024 250   @ Campbell W 58-57 31%     4 - 4 -1.4 -7.5 +6.2
  Dec 07, 2024 194   @ Winthrop L 89-96 21%     4 - 5 -6.0 +14.6 -20.6
  Dec 17, 2024 322   @ N.C. A&T W 73-68 47%     5 - 5 -1.8 -1.8 +0.1
  Dec 21, 2024 97   @ Arkansas St. L 67-97 9%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -22.6 +1.4 -25.6
  Jan 02, 2025 306   Louisiana L 68-71 62%     5 - 7 0 - 2 -13.7 -3.1 -10.8
  Jan 04, 2025 346   Louisiana Monroe W 70-51 75%     6 - 7 1 - 2 +4.4 -1.4 +7.8
  Jan 08, 2025 121   @ Appalachian St. L 51-74 12%     6 - 8 1 - 3 -17.8 -5.1 -17.6
  Jan 11, 2025 281   @ Georgia St. L 74-79 38%     6 - 9 1 - 4 -9.3 +3.6 -13.3
  Jan 16, 2025 272   Georgia Southern L 87-88 OT 55%     6 - 10 1 - 5 -9.8 +4.0 -13.8
  Jan 18, 2025 181   Marshall L 64-77 35%     6 - 11 1 - 6 -16.5 -4.4 -13.3
  Jan 22, 2025 272   @ Georgia Southern L 69-73 35%    
  Jan 25, 2025 287   @ Old Dominion L 66-69 37%    
  Jan 30, 2025 149   @ James Madison L 63-74 15%    
  Feb 01, 2025 181   @ Marshall L 65-74 19%    
  Feb 05, 2025 122   South Alabama L 61-68 26%    
  Feb 08, 2025 284   @ Bowling Green L 69-72 37%    
  Feb 13, 2025 121   Appalachian St. L 59-67 25%    
  Feb 15, 2025 149   James Madison L 65-71 30%    
  Feb 20, 2025 253   @ Southern Miss L 68-73 32%    
  Feb 22, 2025 117   @ Troy L 61-74 11%    
  Feb 26, 2025 281   Georgia St. W 71-69 59%    
  Feb 28, 2025 287   Old Dominion W 68-66 60%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.3 2.2 8th
9th 0.5 2.5 1.0 0.0 3.9 9th
10th 0.2 3.2 2.9 0.3 6.6 10th
11th 0.1 2.9 6.1 1.6 0.0 10.7 11th
12th 0.2 3.9 9.2 4.0 0.1 17.5 12th
13th 1.3 7.4 16.2 19.2 8.4 0.7 0.0 53.3 13th
14th 1.2 1.8 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.6 14th
Total 2.4 9.2 17.8 23.5 20.8 14.6 7.6 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.1% 0.1
10-8 0.3% 4.0% 4.0% 15.0 0.0 0.2
9-9 1.0% 4.1% 4.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.9
8-10 2.8% 2.8
7-11 7.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.6
6-12 14.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.6
5-13 20.8% 20.8
4-14 23.5% 23.5
3-15 17.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 17.8
2-16 9.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.2
1-17 2.4% 2.4
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%