Maine
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.8#335
Expected Predictive Rating-17.0#355
Pace64.0#316
Improvement-3.5#352

Offense
Total Offense-10.0#362
First Shot-5.2#323
After Offensive Rebound-4.8#359
Layup/Dunks-1.2#229
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#136
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#275
Freethrows-1.9#294
Improvement-1.2#281

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#194
First Shot+1.7#111
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#329
Layups/Dunks-4.2#320
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#146
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#35
Freethrows+0.5#144
Improvement-2.3#330
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 5.5% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.7% 2.1% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 43.6% 50.0% 41.5%
Conference Champion 3.1% 3.8% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 12.8% 9.2% 14.0%
First Four4.0% 5.4% 3.5%
First Round1.8% 2.6% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Away) - 25.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 60 - 9
Quad 49 - 149 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 79 @George Washington L 47-67 4%     0 - 1 -9.7 -21.5 +10.9
  Sat, Nov 8 239 @Stony Brook L 60-71 19%     0 - 2 -12.4 -13.1 +0.7
  Mon, Nov 10 130 @Rutgers L 60-72 8%     0 - 3 -7.2 -4.2 -4.1
  Sun, Nov 16 157 Quinnipiac L 64-70 23%     0 - 4 -8.9 -9.0 +0.0
  Wed, Nov 19 266 @Merrimack L 65-72 22%     0 - 5 -9.7 +0.3 -11.0
  Sun, Nov 23 222 Brown L 53-58 34%     0 - 6 -11.6 -16.1 +4.1
  Fri, Nov 28 248 @American L 61-74 20%     0 - 7 -15.0 -8.8 -6.8
  Sat, Nov 29 293 Longwood L 61-65 36%     0 - 8 -11.2 -10.0 -1.5
  Sun, Nov 30 171 Siena L 60-64 18%     0 - 9 -4.9 -2.3 -3.2
  Wed, Dec 3 177 @Ohio L 57-79 12%     0 - 10 -20.2 -12.5 -9.2
  Sat, Dec 6 103 @Miami (OH) L 61-93 5%     0 - 11 -24.4 -10.6 -13.4
  Wed, Dec 10 288 @Boston University W 69-59 25%     1 - 11 +6.1 -1.0 +8.4
  Sat, Dec 13 342 Canisius L 43-70 63%     1 - 12 -41.2 -30.3 -13.2
  Sun, Dec 21 287 @Drexel L 59-66 25%    
  Sat, Jan 3 299 Bryant L 63-64 48%    
  Thu, Jan 8 285 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 62-69 25%    
  Sat, Jan 10 352 @NJIT L 63-64 47%    
  Thu, Jan 15 175 @Vermont L 59-72 12%    
  Mon, Jan 19 338 New Hampshire W 65-62 61%    
  Thu, Jan 22 306 Albany W 67-66 52%    
  Sat, Jan 24 360 Binghamton W 68-61 74%    
  Sat, Jan 31 303 Umass Lowell L 68-69 49%    
  Thu, Feb 5 175 Vermont L 62-69 28%    
  Sat, Feb 7 299 @Bryant L 61-67 29%    
  Thu, Feb 12 285 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 65-66 45%    
  Sat, Feb 14 352 NJIT W 66-61 68%    
  Sat, Feb 21 338 @New Hampshire L 62-65 39%    
  Thu, Feb 26 306 @Albany L 63-69 31%    
  Sat, Feb 28 360 @Binghamton W 65-64 54%    
  Tue, Mar 3 303 Umass Lowell L 68-69 49%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.1 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 2.9 2.9 1.2 0.3 8.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 4.6 4.3 1.1 0.1 11.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 6.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 6.3 6.1 1.3 0.0 15.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 6.1 6.8 1.4 0.0 15.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 5.8 5.6 1.6 0.0 14.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.5 4.3 1.2 0.0 11.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.5 1.9 0.5 0.0 7.2 9th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.8 4.1 7.9 11.8 14.2 16.0 14.8 11.8 8.5 4.9 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-3 68.5% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
12-4 45.0% 1.0    0.4 0.5 0.1
11-5 18.0% 0.9    0.1 0.5 0.2 0.1
10-6 2.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.3 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.2% 22.2% 22.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 1.0% 14.5% 14.5% 16.0 0.2 0.9
12-4 2.3% 11.8% 11.8% 16.0 0.3 2.0
11-5 4.9% 11.5% 11.5% 16.0 0.6 4.3
10-6 8.5% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.6 7.9
9-7 11.8% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.7 11.1
8-8 14.8% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.5 14.3
7-9 16.0% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.6 15.5
6-10 14.2% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 13.9
5-11 11.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 11.6
4-12 7.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.8
3-13 4.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.1
2-14 1.8% 1.8
1-15 0.6% 0.6
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 16.0 4.0 96.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%