IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Minnesota
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+3.5	#112
Expected Predictive Rating	+1.6	#146

Pace	59.1	#359
Improvement	-0.7	#224

Offense
Total Offense	+0.5	#163

First Shot	+0.1	#175
After Offensive Rebound	+0.5	#154

Layup/Dunks	+3.2	#79
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.2	#108
3 Pt Jumpshots	-3.4	#288
Freethrows	-1.0	#240

Improvement	+2.1	#40

Defense
Total Defense	+3.0	#89

First Shot	+0.0	#175
After Offensive Rebounds	+3.0	#24

Layups/Dunks	-1.2	#214
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.4	#169
3 Pt Jumpshots	-2.5	#270
Freethrows	+3.3	#24

Improvement	-2.8	#353

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.9%	2.8%	0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.9%	2.6%	0.6%
Average Seed	9.7	9.6	9.8

.500 or above	9.7%	21.9%	7.6%
.500 or above in Conference	2.3%	6.5%	1.6%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	47.6%	28.0%	50.9%

First Four	0.3%	0.9%	0.2%
First Round	0.8%	2.4%	0.5%
Second Round	0.3%	0.7%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Indiana (Away) - 14.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 6	1 - 6
Quad 1b	1 - 5	2 - 12
Quad 2	2 - 5	4 - 17
Quad 3	2 - 1	6 - 19
Quad 4	7 - 0	12 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2024	261	Oral Roberts	W	80-57	87%	1 - 0			+14.4	+5.8	+10.3
Nov 09, 2024	306	Nebraska Omaha	W	68-64	90%	2 - 0			-6.4	-6.8	+0.6
Nov 13, 2024	77	North Texas	L	51-54	47%	2 - 1			+1.2	-4.1	+4.7
Nov 16, 2024	107	Yale	W	59-56	60%	3 - 1			+4.0	+1.2	+3.6
Nov 19, 2024	259	Cleveland St.	W	58-47	87%	4 - 1			+2.6	-12.0	+15.4
Nov 25, 2024	196	Central Michigan	W	68-65	78%	5 - 1			-1.5	-0.2	-1.1
Nov 28, 2024	94	Wichita St.	L	66-68 OT	42%	5 - 2			+3.6	-4.2	+7.9
Nov 29, 2024	89	Wake Forest	L	51-57	40%	5 - 3			+0.0	-8.5	+7.6
Dec 01, 2024	288	Bethune-Cookman	W	79-62	89%	6 - 3			+7.4	+10.6	-1.7
Dec 04, 2024	27	Michigan St.	L	72-90	26%	6 - 4	0 - 1		-7.7	+11.0	-20.4
Dec 09, 2024	39	@ Indiana	L	62-73	14%
Dec 21, 2024	341	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	81-63	95%
Dec 29, 2024	340	Morgan St.	W	77-59	95%
Jan 02, 2025	21	Purdue	L	62-70	23%
Jan 06, 2025	29	Ohio St.	L	63-69	28%
Jan 10, 2025	35	@ Wisconsin	L	61-73	14%
Jan 13, 2025	19	@ Maryland	L	60-74	10%
Jan 16, 2025	16	Michigan	L	60-69	22%
Jan 21, 2025	50	@ Iowa	L	66-76	19%
Jan 25, 2025	22	Oregon	L	61-69	24%
Jan 28, 2025	27	@ Michigan St.	L	58-71	12%
Feb 01, 2025	75	Washington	L	65-66	47%
Feb 04, 2025	31	@ Penn St.	L	63-75	13%
Feb 08, 2025	14	Illinois	L	64-73	21%
Feb 15, 2025	106	@ USC	L	64-68	38%
Feb 18, 2025	18	@ UCLA	L	54-68	10%
Feb 22, 2025	31	Penn St.	L	66-72	28%
Feb 25, 2025	66	Northwestern	L	60-62	41%
Mar 01, 2025	44	@ Nebraska	L	61-71	18%
Mar 05, 2025	35	Wisconsin	L	64-70	30%
Mar 09, 2025	58	@ Rutgers	L	63-72	22%
Projected Record						12 - 19	4 - 16

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st																0.0	0.0						0.0	1st
2nd													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.1	2nd
3rd													0.0	0.0	0.0								0.1	3rd
4th												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0								0.1	4th
5th												0.0	0.1	0.0									0.1	5th
6th											0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0									0.2	6th
7th										0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0										0.4	7th
8th										0.1	0.4	0.1	0.0										0.6	8th
9th									0.0	0.3	0.5	0.1											0.9	9th
10th								0.0	0.1	0.7	0.2	0.0											1.1	10th
11th								0.0	0.7	0.8	0.1												1.6	11th
12th							0.0	0.5	1.5	0.5	0.0												2.4	12th
13th						0.0	0.4	1.9	1.6	0.1													4.0	13th
14th					0.0	0.4	2.2	2.8	0.7	0.0													6.2	14th
15th				0.0	0.4	2.3	4.2	1.9	0.1														8.9	15th
16th			0.1	0.8	3.7	5.9	3.5	0.7	0.0													14.7	16th
17th		0.4	2.5	6.8	8.4	5.3	1.1	0.0														24.6	17th
18th	2.3	7.2	10.3	8.7	4.4	1.1	0.1															34.1	18th

Total	2.3	7.6	12.9	16.4	16.9	15.0	11.6	7.7	4.8	2.5	1.3	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0						Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4	100.0%	0.0			0.0
15-5	22.2%	0.0			0.0
14-6	0.0%
13-7	0.0%
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0			0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4	0.0%										0.0
15-5	0.0%										0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
14-6	0.0%													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.1%		87.8%	7.3%	80.5%	8.3							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0		86.8%
12-8	0.2%		65.2%		65.2%	9.1								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.1		65.2%
11-9	0.6%		48.1%	1.0%	47.1%	9.8							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1						0.3		47.6%
10-10	1.3%		22.5%	1.0%	21.4%	10.5									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0					1.0		21.7%
9-11	2.5%		2.1%		2.1%	10.5									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					2.5		2.1%
8-12	4.8%		0.5%		0.5%	11.0											0.0	0.0	0.0					4.8		0.5%
7-13	7.7%		0.0%		0.0%	11.0												0.0						7.7		0.0%
6-14	11.6%																							11.6
5-15	15.0%																							15.0
4-16	16.9%																							16.9
3-17	16.4%																							16.4
2-18	12.9%																							12.9
1-19	7.6%																							7.6
0-20	2.3%																							2.3

Total	100%		0.9%	0.0%	0.9%	9.7					0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.0					99.1		0.9%