Maryland
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.6#19
Expected Predictive Rating+14.6#35
Pace73.1#75
Improvement+1.2#102

Offense
Total Offense+6.6#36
First Shot+3.6#84
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#45
Layup/Dunks+5.2#37
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#221
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#207
Freethrows+0.2#168
Improvement+0.6#133

Defense
Total Defense+8.0#8
First Shot+6.4#20
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#68
Layups/Dunks+0.6#153
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#248
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#32
Freethrows+1.3#103
Improvement+0.6#121
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.6% 1.0% 0.3%
#1 Seed 3.6% 6.1% 2.0%
Top 2 Seed 9.8% 15.4% 6.1%
Top 4 Seed 30.3% 42.0% 22.7%
Top 6 Seed 53.1% 66.2% 44.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 87.4% 93.8% 83.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 86.0% 92.9% 81.7%
Average Seed 5.8 5.1 6.3
.500 or above 99.2% 99.8% 98.8%
.500 or above in Conference 86.0% 93.5% 81.1%
Conference Champion 14.8% 23.4% 9.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four3.1% 1.5% 4.2%
First Round85.9% 93.0% 81.3%
Second Round61.5% 70.6% 55.6%
Sweet Sixteen30.5% 38.0% 25.7%
Elite Eight13.9% 17.4% 11.6%
Final Four6.1% 7.8% 5.0%
Championship Game2.5% 3.3% 2.0%
National Champion1.1% 1.5% 0.8%

Next Game: Purdue (Away) - 39.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 53 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 37 - 8
Quad 26 - 212 - 9
Quad 33 - 015 - 10
Quad 48 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 313   Manhattan W 79-49 98%     1 - 0 +18.9 -2.1 +20.4
  Nov 08, 2024 254   Mount St. Mary's W 86-52 97%     2 - 0 +25.9 +11.4 +14.3
  Nov 11, 2024 353   Florida A&M W 84-53 99%     3 - 0 +15.1 +3.9 +10.5
  Nov 15, 2024 12   Marquette L 74-78 58%     3 - 1 +8.4 +10.4 -2.1
  Nov 19, 2024 345   Canisius W 108-37 99%     4 - 1 +55.8 +17.6 +32.2
  Nov 24, 2024 56   Villanova W 76-75 69%     5 - 1 +10.6 +15.6 -4.9
  Nov 27, 2024 260   Bucknell W 91-67 97%     6 - 1 +15.4 +10.7 +3.2
  Dec 01, 2024 352   Alcorn St. W 96-58 99%     7 - 1 +22.3 +11.7 +9.1
  Dec 04, 2024 29   Ohio St. W 83-59 67%     8 - 1 1 - 0 +34.0 +9.4 +23.2
  Dec 08, 2024 21   @ Purdue L 72-75 39%    
  Dec 17, 2024 339   St. Francis (PA) W 89-61 99.6%   
  Dec 21, 2024 96   Syracuse W 83-74 80%    
  Dec 28, 2024 358   Maryland Eastern Shore W 89-57 99.9%   
  Jan 02, 2025 75   @ Washington W 76-72 65%    
  Jan 05, 2025 22   @ Oregon L 72-75 40%    
  Jan 10, 2025 18   UCLA W 70-67 61%    
  Jan 13, 2025 112   Minnesota W 74-60 90%    
  Jan 16, 2025 66   @ Northwestern W 69-66 60%    
  Jan 19, 2025 44   Nebraska W 78-71 73%    
  Jan 23, 2025 14   @ Illinois L 75-79 37%    
  Jan 26, 2025 39   @ Indiana L 76-77 50%    
  Jan 29, 2025 35   Wisconsin W 77-72 68%    
  Feb 06, 2025 29   @ Ohio St. L 74-75 45%    
  Feb 09, 2025 58   Rutgers W 80-72 76%    
  Feb 13, 2025 44   @ Nebraska W 75-74 52%    
  Feb 16, 2025 50   Iowa W 84-77 75%    
  Feb 20, 2025 106   USC W 81-67 89%    
  Feb 26, 2025 27   Michigan St. W 75-71 65%    
  Mar 01, 2025 31   @ Penn St. L 77-78 45%    
  Mar 05, 2025 16   @ Michigan L 71-74 38%    
  Mar 08, 2025 66   Northwestern W 72-63 78%    
Projected Record 22 - 9 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 3.5 4.4 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1 14.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 4.4 4.8 2.1 0.4 0.0 12.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.7 5.2 1.8 0.2 0.0 11.4 3rd
4th 0.1 2.2 5.4 2.0 0.2 10.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.5 3.2 0.4 0.0 8.9 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 4.1 0.9 0.0 7.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.0 2.1 0.1 6.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 3.3 0.4 0.0 5.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.1 1.3 0.0 5.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.6 2.4 0.3 4.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 2.2 0.9 0.0 3.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.5 0.1 3.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.4 2.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 1.6 14th
15th 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.1 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 16th
17th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 18th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 4.0 6.4 9.3 12.1 13.9 14.5 13.1 10.4 6.7 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
18-2 98.7% 1.6    1.5 0.1
17-3 90.6% 3.4    2.7 0.6 0.0 0.0
16-4 66.0% 4.4    2.4 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
15-5 33.7% 3.5    1.0 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 8.7% 1.1    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 14.8% 14.8 8.3 4.3 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 100.0% 43.2% 56.8% 1.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.5% 100.0% 36.0% 64.0% 1.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 100.0%
18-2 1.6% 100.0% 35.3% 64.7% 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 100.0%
17-3 3.8% 100.0% 26.6% 73.4% 2.1 1.1 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 6.7% 100.0% 22.2% 77.8% 2.8 0.8 1.9 2.3 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 10.4% 100.0% 20.0% 80.0% 3.6 0.4 1.4 3.1 3.2 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 13.1% 99.9% 13.7% 86.2% 4.7 0.1 0.4 2.1 3.4 3.6 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.9%
13-7 14.5% 99.6% 9.1% 90.5% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.9 3.5 3.8 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.6%
12-8 13.9% 98.0% 5.5% 92.6% 6.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 2.8 3.7 2.7 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.3 97.9%
11-9 12.1% 92.3% 4.5% 87.8% 7.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.2 2.8 2.4 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.9 91.9%
10-10 9.3% 82.8% 2.1% 80.7% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.0 2.0 0.9 0.0 1.6 82.4%
9-11 6.4% 51.9% 0.9% 51.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.1 3.1 51.5%
8-12 4.0% 20.1% 0.6% 19.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.1 3.2 19.6%
7-13 2.0% 4.8% 0.8% 4.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.9 4.0%
6-14 1.0% 1.0
5-15 0.4% 0.4
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 87.4% 10.1% 77.3% 5.8 3.6 6.1 9.7 10.9 11.7 11.1 10.6 8.7 6.6 4.9 3.2 0.3 12.6 86.0%