Minnesota
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.5#103
Expected Predictive Rating-1.2#191
Pace59.5#365
Improvement-1.3#284

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#118
First Shot+1.3#138
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#137
Layup/Dunks+3.8#56
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#229
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#290
Freethrows+1.7#86
Improvement+0.2#156

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#97
First Shot+2.9#87
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#204
Layups/Dunks+1.3#129
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#192
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#167
Freethrows+1.1#115
Improvement-1.5#307
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.8% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.6% 2.8% 1.0%
Average Seed 9.7 9.6 9.8
.500 or above 12.0% 21.2% 7.5%
.500 or above in Conference 4.8% 6.9% 3.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 26.1% 20.8% 28.8%
First Four0.6% 0.9% 0.4%
First Round1.4% 2.6% 0.8%
Second Round0.5% 0.9% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Santa Clara (Neutral) - 33.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 12
Quad 22 - 54 - 18
Quad 31 - 16 - 19
Quad 47 - 012 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 356 Gardner-Webb W 87-60 96%     1 - 0 +11.0 +4.7 +5.5
  Sat, Nov 8 338 Alcorn St. W 95-50 95%     2 - 0 +31.2 +16.4 +14.9
  Wed, Nov 12 33 @Missouri L 60-83 14%     2 - 1 -6.8 +0.7 -10.6
  Sat, Nov 15 267 Green Bay W 72-65 OT 89%     3 - 1 -1.7 -7.7 +5.9
  Tue, Nov 18 340 Chicago St. W 66-54 95%     4 - 1 -2.0 -6.9 +6.3
  Sat, Nov 22 77 San Francisco L 65-77 38%     4 - 2 -4.5 +2.9 -8.7
  Thu, Nov 27 95 Stanford L 68-72 46%     4 - 3 +1.6 +5.1 -3.9
  Fri, Nov 28 59 Santa Clara L 65-70 33%    
  Wed, Dec 3 22 Indiana L 64-72 23%    
  Wed, Dec 10 3 @Purdue L 57-78 3%    
  Sun, Dec 14 307 Texas Southern W 76-61 93%    
  Sun, Dec 21 219 Campbell W 75-64 84%    
  Mon, Dec 29 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-59 98%    
  Sat, Jan 3 56 @Northwestern L 63-71 23%    
  Tue, Jan 6 21 Iowa L 62-70 24%    
  Fri, Jan 9 31 USC L 68-74 29%    
  Tue, Jan 13 27 Wisconsin L 67-73 28%    
  Sat, Jan 17 13 @Illinois L 63-79 7%    
  Tue, Jan 20 20 @Ohio St. L 62-76 11%    
  Sat, Jan 24 43 Nebraska L 68-72 34%    
  Wed, Jan 28 27 @Wisconsin L 64-76 13%    
  Sun, Feb 1 100 @Penn St. L 67-70 38%    
  Wed, Feb 4 12 Michigan St. L 60-71 17%    
  Sun, Feb 8 93 Maryland W 69-67 57%    
  Sat, Feb 14 48 @Washington L 63-72 21%    
  Tue, Feb 17 80 @Oregon L 65-71 31%    
  Sat, Feb 21 120 Rutgers W 68-63 66%    
  Tue, Feb 24 1 @Michigan L 58-82 2%    
  Sat, Feb 28 32 UCLA L 61-67 30%    
  Wed, Mar 4 22 @Indiana L 61-75 12%    
  Sat, Mar 7 56 Northwestern L 66-68 42%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.4 8th
9th 0.2 1.0 0.9 0.2 2.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.4 0.0 2.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 2.2 1.3 0.1 4.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.7 2.8 0.4 0.0 6.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.4 1.3 0.1 8.7 13th
14th 0.3 2.5 5.0 2.3 0.2 10.3 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 2.4 6.1 4.0 0.6 13.3 15th
16th 0.3 2.5 6.6 5.2 1.2 0.1 15.8 16th
17th 0.3 3.0 6.9 5.4 1.5 0.1 17.2 17th
18th 1.0 3.8 5.8 3.7 1.0 0.1 15.3 18th
Total 1.0 4.1 9.1 13.4 15.5 15.7 13.4 10.8 7.6 4.5 2.5 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0%
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 93.5% 93.5% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.5%
13-7 0.2% 77.6% 77.6% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 77.6%
12-8 0.7% 68.5% 0.5% 68.0% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 68.3%
11-9 1.4% 32.5% 32.5% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 32.5%
10-10 2.5% 13.2% 0.3% 13.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.1 13.0%
9-11 4.5% 1.9% 1.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.4 1.9%
8-12 7.6% 0.3% 0.3% 11.3 0.0 0.0 7.6 0.3%
7-13 10.8% 10.8
6-14 13.4% 13.4
5-15 15.7% 15.7
4-16 15.5% 15.5
3-17 13.4% 13.4
2-18 9.1% 9.1
1-19 4.1% 4.1
0-20 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 1.6% 0.0% 1.6% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 98.4 1.6%