Wisconsin
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.5#35
Expected Predictive Rating+17.0#21
Pace68.6#191
Improvement-0.5#213

Offense
Total Offense+7.8#24
First Shot+9.2#10
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#262
Layup/Dunks+0.8#152
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#307
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#49
Freethrows+5.9#1
Improvement-1.2#271

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#60
First Shot+2.8#94
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#51
Layups/Dunks+1.9#112
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#325
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#79
Freethrows+0.4#162
Improvement+0.7#117
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
#1 Seed 1.3% 2.5% 0.8%
Top 2 Seed 4.4% 8.2% 2.8%
Top 4 Seed 18.1% 28.7% 13.8%
Top 6 Seed 38.1% 52.6% 32.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 77.5% 87.3% 73.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 76.3% 86.5% 72.3%
Average Seed 6.6 5.9 7.0
.500 or above 93.9% 98.1% 92.1%
.500 or above in Conference 62.4% 69.6% 59.5%
Conference Champion 4.2% 6.0% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 1.0% 1.8%
First Four6.3% 4.7% 6.9%
First Round74.2% 84.6% 69.9%
Second Round47.1% 57.9% 42.7%
Sweet Sixteen20.2% 27.3% 17.3%
Elite Eight8.1% 11.3% 6.8%
Final Four3.1% 4.3% 2.5%
Championship Game1.2% 1.6% 1.0%
National Champion0.4% 0.6% 0.3%

Next Game: Marquette (Away) - 28.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b4 - 37 - 9
Quad 26 - 213 - 11
Quad 33 - 016 - 12
Quad 45 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 326   Holy Cross W 85-61 98%     1 - 0 +11.7 +7.7 +5.2
  Nov 07, 2024 122   Montana St. W 79-67 89%     2 - 0 +11.3 +11.0 +1.2
  Nov 10, 2024 163   Appalachian St. W 87-56 92%     3 - 0 +27.5 +14.7 +13.1
  Nov 15, 2024 23   Arizona W 103-88 56%     4 - 0 +26.0 +19.1 +4.7
  Nov 18, 2024 166   UT Rio Grande Valley W 87-84 93%     5 - 0 -0.6 +11.0 -11.6
  Nov 22, 2024 83   Central Florida W 86-70 72%     6 - 0 +22.5 +9.0 +11.9
  Nov 24, 2024 36   Pittsburgh W 81-75 51%     7 - 0 +18.3 +15.0 +3.5
  Nov 30, 2024 359   Chicago St. W 74-53 99%     8 - 0 +3.7 -1.2 +6.2
  Dec 03, 2024 16   Michigan L 64-67 52%     8 - 1 0 - 1 +9.1 +0.6 +8.3
  Dec 07, 2024 12   @ Marquette L 71-77 29%    
  Dec 10, 2024 14   @ Illinois L 74-80 29%    
  Dec 14, 2024 54   Butler W 76-73 60%    
  Dec 22, 2024 298   Detroit Mercy W 84-61 98%    
  Jan 03, 2025 50   Iowa W 82-77 68%    
  Jan 06, 2025 58   @ Rutgers W 76-75 50%    
  Jan 10, 2025 112   Minnesota W 73-61 86%    
  Jan 14, 2025 29   Ohio St. W 76-73 60%    
  Jan 18, 2025 106   @ USC W 76-71 69%    
  Jan 21, 2025 18   @ UCLA L 66-71 32%    
  Jan 26, 2025 44   Nebraska W 76-72 66%    
  Jan 29, 2025 19   @ Maryland L 72-77 32%    
  Feb 01, 2025 66   @ Northwestern W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 04, 2025 39   Indiana W 78-74 63%    
  Feb 08, 2025 50   @ Iowa L 79-80 47%    
  Feb 15, 2025 21   @ Purdue L 71-76 33%    
  Feb 18, 2025 14   Illinois W 77-76 51%    
  Feb 22, 2025 22   Oregon W 74-73 54%    
  Feb 25, 2025 75   Washington W 78-70 76%    
  Mar 02, 2025 27   @ Michigan St. L 71-75 37%    
  Mar 05, 2025 112   @ Minnesota W 70-64 70%    
  Mar 08, 2025 31   Penn St. W 79-76 59%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.1 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.3 2.6 0.7 0.1 6.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 3.5 1.2 0.1 0.0 6.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.7 2.2 0.2 0.0 6.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.5 3.7 0.7 0.0 7.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.3 1.9 0.1 7.5 7th
8th 0.2 3.1 3.7 0.4 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.0 1.2 4.5 1.5 0.0 7.3 9th
10th 0.3 3.1 3.4 0.4 0.0 7.2 10th
11th 0.1 1.5 4.1 1.3 0.0 7.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 3.1 2.5 0.2 6.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.2 0.7 0.0 6.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.5 1.2 0.1 4.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 1.5 0.3 0.0 4.2 15th
16th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.1 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.7 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 18th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.5 4.7 7.1 9.6 12.0 13.7 13.3 12.0 9.6 6.6 4.2 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 96.4% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 88.9% 0.6    0.4 0.1 0.0
16-4 64.1% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 36.0% 1.5    0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 8.5% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 1.9 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 100.0% 19.8% 80.2% 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.6% 100.0% 32.1% 67.9% 1.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.1% 100.0% 23.8% 76.3% 2.4 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 4.2% 100.0% 18.8% 81.2% 3.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 6.6% 100.0% 14.8% 85.2% 3.9 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.0 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-7 9.6% 100.0% 9.3% 90.7% 4.8 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.4 2.7 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-8 12.0% 99.6% 5.5% 94.1% 5.9 0.0 0.6 1.4 2.8 3.4 2.2 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.6%
11-9 13.3% 98.7% 3.1% 95.6% 7.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.9 3.3 2.6 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.2 98.7%
10-10 13.7% 95.9% 2.0% 93.9% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.4 3.2 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.6 95.8%
9-11 12.0% 80.1% 1.0% 79.1% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.4 2.6 2.1 0.1 2.4 79.9%
8-12 9.6% 51.2% 0.4% 50.8% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.4 0.3 4.7 51.0%
7-13 7.1% 18.5% 0.2% 18.3% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.3 5.7 18.4%
6-14 4.7% 2.1% 2.1% 11.4 0.1 0.0 4.6 2.1%
5-15 2.5% 2.5
4-16 1.1% 1.1
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 77.5% 4.9% 72.6% 6.6 1.3 3.1 6.2 7.5 9.3 10.7 9.5 8.8 8.1 6.2 6.0 0.8 22.5 76.3%