Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.5#343
Expected Predictive Rating-12.9#333
Pace71.5#129
Improvement+1.0#112

Offense
Total Offense-6.7#338
First Shot-1.8#226
After Offensive Rebound-4.9#361
Layup/Dunks+3.4#70
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#248
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#170
Freethrows-4.1#351
Improvement+1.5#69

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#329
First Shot-4.4#318
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#223
Layups/Dunks-1.2#231
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#171
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#240
Freethrows-2.0#302
Improvement-0.5#223
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 3.3% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 4.8% 8.1% 1.8%
.500 or above in Conference 26.5% 32.6% 20.9%
Conference Champion 1.5% 2.1% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.9% 4.9% 8.7%
First Four2.0% 2.7% 1.4%
First Round1.3% 1.9% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jacksonville (Home) - 47.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 8
Quad 48 - 118 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 86 @South Florida L 67-102 4%     0 - 1 -25.5 -10.0 -11.0
  Sat, Nov 8 162 Kennesaw St. L 72-92 21%     0 - 2 -23.0 -13.0 -7.4
  Tue, Nov 11 57 @Central Florida L 60-97 2%     0 - 3 -24.5 -12.6 -9.7
  Mon, Nov 17 19 @Georgia L 57-87 1%     0 - 4 -11.0 -12.0 +3.4
  Tue, Dec 2 305 @Jacksonville L 82-85 OT 26%     0 - 5 -7.9 +3.2 -11.0
  Wed, Dec 17 305 Jacksonville L 71-72 48%    
  Fri, Dec 19 199 @Tarleton St. L 68-80 14%    
  Sun, Dec 21 49 @TCU L 60-85 1%    
  Sun, Dec 28 130 @Georgia Tech L 64-80 7%    
  Sat, Jan 3 227 @Bethune-Cookman L 67-78 16%    
  Sat, Jan 10 203 Southern L 75-81 30%    
  Mon, Jan 12 284 Grambling St. L 69-71 43%    
  Sat, Jan 17 351 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 77-79 44%    
  Mon, Jan 19 365 @Mississippi Valley W 76-68 77%    
  Sat, Jan 24 330 Alcorn St. W 76-74 57%    
  Wed, Jan 28 315 Jackson St. W 72-71 53%    
  Sat, Jan 31 290 @Alabama A&M L 67-74 26%    
  Mon, Feb 2 265 @Alabama St. L 71-80 21%    
  Sat, Feb 7 318 Texas Southern W 75-74 53%    
  Mon, Feb 9 326 Prairie View W 77-76 54%    
  Sat, Feb 14 315 @Jackson St. L 69-74 32%    
  Mon, Feb 16 330 @Alcorn St. L 73-77 36%    
  Thu, Feb 19 290 Alabama A&M L 70-71 45%    
  Thu, Feb 19 265 Alabama St. L 74-77 40%    
  Thu, Feb 26 203 @Southern L 72-84 15%    
  Thu, Feb 26 284 @Grambling St. L 66-74 25%    
  Thu, Mar 5 227 Bethune-Cookman L 70-75 34%    
Projected Record 8 - 19 7 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 1.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 5.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.8 2.7 0.3 0.0 6.2 5th
6th 0.2 2.2 4.1 0.9 0.0 7.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 5.1 2.2 0.1 9.3 7th
8th 0.2 1.6 5.3 3.5 0.3 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.7 4.9 0.9 0.0 13.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 3.0 6.1 5.2 1.3 0.0 16.4 10th
11th 0.5 2.3 5.3 6.3 4.0 1.1 0.1 19.5 11th
12th 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.4 12th
Total 0.3 1.4 3.5 6.7 9.9 12.3 13.8 13.7 12.0 9.9 7.2 4.6 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 87.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 68.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 37.4% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 12.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 28.3% 28.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.6% 18.3% 18.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5
13-5 1.4% 16.0% 16.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.2
12-6 2.6% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3 2.3
11-7 4.6% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4 4.2
10-8 7.2% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.4 6.7
9-9 9.9% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.5 9.4
8-10 12.0% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 11.7
7-11 13.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 13.6
6-12 13.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.8
5-13 12.3% 12.3
4-14 9.9% 9.9
3-15 6.7% 6.7
2-16 3.5% 3.5
1-17 1.4% 1.4
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.3 97.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%