Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.2 #335
Expected Predictive Rating -6.9 #277
Pace 73.9 #57
Improvement +1.4 #119

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #320 D- D- D D+ D-
Defense #331 D D- C- C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 29% #354 1.04 #307 -7.2 #354
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #73 0.75 #187 +2.1 #77
Three Pointers 45% #110 0.91 #315 -0.6 #205
1st FG Attempt 0.90 #336 -5.8 #337
Freethrows 0.25 #331 77% #32 0.19 #292
Second Chance 24.5% #331 0.95 #308 0.23 #341
Turnovers 18.8% #320
Total Offense -5.7 #320

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #183 1.32 #344 -3.3 #288
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #343 0.63 #13 +3.2 #3
Three Pointers 47% #42 1.06 #249 -3.8 #325
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #305 -3.9 #304
Freethrows 0.33 #264 73% #201 0.24 #267
Second Chance 35.9% #343 1.10 #263 0.40 #334
Turnovers 15.4% #241
Total Defense -5.5 #331

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.8% #329 1.6% #314
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -8.8% #321 6.1% #299
Possession Length 17.6 #202 15.5 #6
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #169 0.23 #339
Improvement +2.8 #50 -1.4 #259

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 5.1% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.0% 4.9% 1.3%
.500 or above in Conference 88.7% 96.3% 82.2%
Conference Champion 19.1% 27.9% 11.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.1% 4.8% 3.5%
First Round1.8% 2.3% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Grambling St. (Home) - 46.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 7
Quad 20 - 10 - 7
Quad 30 - 30 - 10
Quad 412 - 1012 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 7 @Illinois L 55 - 113 0% -33  0 - 1 -34 -13 D F D -17 F+ F B
 Thu, Nov 6 18 @Louisville L 70 - 106 1% -22  0 - 2 -15 -1 B+ F B -11 D+ D+ D
 Sat, Nov 15 210 @Louisiana Tech L 51 - 68 15% -3  0 - 3 -17 -17 F D- F+ +0 B- D+ B-
 Wed, Nov 19 25 @Auburn L 66 - 112 1% -26  0 - 4 -27 -6 C- C- F -18 F B D+
 Fri, Nov 21 21 @Arkansas L 61 - 115 1% -30  0 - 5 -34 -10 F B F -20 F D F+
 Sun, Nov 23 123 Winthrop L 62 - 80 17% -8  0 - 6 -19 -7 C F+ F+ -14 F+ D D+
 Fri, Nov 28 310 @Louisiana W 51 - 45 30% +5  1 - 6 +0 -16 F F F+ +17 A+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 155 @Kennesaw St. L 73 - 88 9% -9  1 - 7 -12 -2 F B- F+ -9 A F F+
 Wed, Dec 10 4 @Houston L 38 - 80 0% -22  1 - 8 -18 -20 D F F -2 B- F A
 Sat, Dec 13 59 @Northwestern L 53 - 93 2% -18  1 - 9 -28 -17 F F C- -9 D C B-
 Thu, Dec 18 237 Hampton L 77 - 84 26% -5  1 - 10 -11 +2 B- D- C- -13 D F B
 Fri, Dec 19 296 Norfolk St. L 72 - 82 37% -11  1 - 11 -18 -6 D- D+ F -12 F B C+
 Mon, Dec 29 46 @TCU L 64 - 115 2% -24  1 - 12 -36 -3 D B D -30 F B- F+
 Sat, Jan 3 350 Alcorn St. W 89 - 86 66% +7  2 - 12 1 - 0 -12 +9 B F B+ -22 F F F
 Sat, Jan 10 317 @Alabama St. W 75 - 64 32% +7  3 - 12 2 - 0 +5 -7 F F+ D+ +11 A+ F+ A+
 Mon, Jan 12 298 @Alabama A&M L 91 - 100 27% -6  3 - 13 2 - 1 -14 +4 D D- A- -16 F F C-
 Sat, Jan 17 346 Prairie View W 82 - 78 64% +4  4 - 13 3 - 1 -11 -2 C+ C- F -10 C F+ C
 Mon, Jan 19 307 Texas Southern W 94 - 89 51% +5  5 - 13 4 - 1 -6 +11 A- F B- -18 F C- D+
 Sat, Jan 24 249 @Bethune-Cookman L 48 - 85 19% -16  5 - 14 4 - 2 -39 -28 F F D- -9 C+ F D+
 Mon, Jan 26 313 @Florida A&M W 66 - 65 32% -3  6 - 14 5 - 2 -5 +1 D- B D+ -6 C- C- F
 Sat, Jan 31 294 Grambling St. L 74 - 75 46%
 Mon, Feb 2 256 Southern L 76 - 79 40%
 Sat, Feb 7 365 @Mississippi Valley W 77 - 67 81%
 Mon, Feb 9 327 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 79 - 83 35%
 Sat, Feb 14 313 Florida A&M W 75 - 74 53%
 Mon, Feb 16 249 Bethune-Cookman L 76 - 79 39%
 Sat, Feb 21 350 @Alcorn St. L 76 - 78 43%
 Thu, Feb 26 346 @Prairie View L 79 - 81 42%
 Sat, Feb 28 307 @Texas Southern L 77 - 83 31%
 Tue, Mar 3 327 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 82 - 80 58%
 Thu, Mar 5 365 Mississippi Valley W 80 - 64 93%
Totals 12 - 19 11 - 7 -11 -6 D- D- D -5 D D- C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.9 6.2 7.1 3.8 1.0 0.1 19.1 1st
2nd 0.5 6.9 7.6 2.5 0.3 17.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 4.2 9.1 2.0 0.1 15.4 3rd
4th 1.0 8.7 3.5 0.2 13.4 4th
5th 0.0 4.3 6.3 0.3 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.9 6.9 1.2 9.0 6th
7th 0.1 2.3 3.6 0.0 6.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.3 0.5 4.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 1.0 2.7 9th
10th 0.2 0.9 0.2 1.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.5 3.3 7.6 16.3 20.9 20.7 16.0 9.6 4.1 1.0 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 100.0% 1.0    1.0 0.1
14-4 93.4% 3.8    3.4 0.4 0.0
13-5 73.6% 7.1    3.7 2.7 0.7 0.1
12-6 38.7% 6.2    1.0 2.6 2.1 0.4 0.0
11-7 4.3% 0.9    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 19.1% 19.1 9.2 6.0 3.1 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 1.0% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.1 1.0
14-4 4.1% 11.0% 11.0% 16.0 0.5 3.6
13-5 9.6% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.7 8.9
12-6 16.0% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.9 15.1
11-7 20.7% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 1.1 19.6
10-8 20.9% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.6 20.3
9-9 16.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.3 16.1
8-10 7.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 7.4
7-11 3.3% 3.3
6-12 0.5% 0.5
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 16.0 95.7 0.0%