Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
248 Bethune-Cookman 23.9%   16   8 - 11 6 - 1 -4.8      -2.8 249 -2.0 240 71.4 114 -4.9 239 -2.2 1
254 Southern 21.3%   4 - 12 3 - 3 -5.1      -4.8 301 -0.3 176 74.7 44 -8.3 302 -8.7 5
285 Grambling St. 11.4%   6 - 10 2 - 3 -7.3      -5.6 315 -1.7 231 68.6 184 -6.6 271 -11.0 8
298 Alabama A&M 11.3%   8 - 9 4 - 3 -7.7      -4.7 298 -3.0 271 65.6 269 -7.1 276 -9.7 6
308 Texas Southern 7.4%   4 - 13 4 - 4 -8.5      -3.7 276 -4.8 312 73.2 69 -12.9 344 -10.3 7
315 Florida A&M 7.7%   6 - 10 5 - 2 -9.3      -6.7 331 -2.6 255 68.2 198 -7.5 286 -5.2 3
318 Alabama St. 3.9%   5 - 14 3 - 4 -9.5      -4.5 295 -5.0 319 72.6 80 -11.0 331 -13.1 10
325 Arkansas Pine Bluff 5.5%   5 - 13 4 - 3 -10.2      -5.0 307 -5.2 322 76.4 27 -6.3 266 -7.0 4
336 Jackson St. 4.5%   6 - 14 5 - 2 -11.2      -5.7 318 -5.5 330 73.9 58 -6.9 273 -3.0 2
345 Prairie View 1.9%   4 - 13 3 - 5 -11.9      -7.1 338 -4.8 313 78.0 16 -13.1 345 -13.7 11
350 Alcorn St. 1.4%   3 - 16 2 - 5 -12.5      -7.2 340 -5.3 327 70.9 123 -11.5 333 -13.0 9
365 Mississippi Valley 0.0%   0 - 19 0 - 6 -24.1      -16.2 365 -7.9 358 68.1 202 -25.3 365 -25.3 12


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Jan 24 325 Arkansas Pine Bluff 75 254 Southern 74   
Sat, Jan 24 350 Alcorn St. 58 315 Florida A&M 66   
Sat, Jan 24 298 Alabama A&M 74 308 Texas Southern 89   
Sat, Jan 24 318 Alabama St. 95 345 Prairie View 80   
Sat, Jan 24 248 Bethune-Cookman 85 336 Jackson St. 48   
Mon, Jan 26 315 Florida A&M 65 336 Jackson St. 66   
Mon, Jan 26 350 Alcorn St. 73 248 Bethune-Cookman 82   
Tue, Jan 27 298 Alabama A&M 80 345 Prairie View 60   
Tue, Jan 27 318 Alabama St. 64 308 Texas Southern 96   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Jan 28 325 Arkansas Pine Bluff 73 285 Grambling St. 79 72%   
Wed, Jan 28 365 Mississippi Valley 59 254 Southern 81 97%   
Sat, Jan 31 298 Alabama A&M 72 315 Florida A&M 67 67%   
Sat, Jan 31 318 Alabama St. 77 248 Bethune-Cookman 78 56%   
Sat, Jan 31 285 Grambling St. 75 336 Jackson St. 74 53%   
Sat, Jan 31 345 Prairie View 80 308 Texas Southern 81 52%   
Sat, Jan 31 350 Alcorn St. 73 254 Southern 77 66%   
Sat, Jan 31 325 Arkansas Pine Bluff 79 365 Mississippi Valley 68 85%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Bethune-Cookman 2.2 48.8 20.9 12.0 7.5 4.5 3.0 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0
Southern 3.4 25.7 20.4 15.1 10.9 8.4 7.0 4.6 3.6 2.3 1.5 0.8
Grambling St. 5.3 9.5 11.3 11.8 11.4 10.7 10.1 9.0 8.5 7.1 5.8 4.7 0.0
Alabama A&M 4.5 13.1 14.1 13.5 13.0 11.8 10.6 8.7 6.9 4.6 2.7 1.1
Texas Southern 6.2 2.7 5.9 8.5 11.1 12.3 13.6 12.7 11.8 9.9 7.1 4.4
Florida A&M 4.4 14.2 14.9 14.4 13.0 11.1 9.8 7.9 6.1 4.3 3.1 1.3
Alabama St. 7.6 0.9 2.7 4.2 5.9 7.6 9.9 11.3 14.1 16.9 16.1 10.4 0.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 5.3 4.9 10.0 12.9 14.3 13.4 12.7 11.1 8.4 6.5 4.0 1.8 0.0
Jackson St. 3.8 18.1 18.4 15.7 13.2 10.9 8.7 6.4 4.3 2.6 1.3 0.4
Prairie View 8.6 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.8 4.7 7.0 9.4 13.1 17.4 20.6 22.5 0.0
Alcorn St. 8.3 0.5 1.5 3.0 4.1 5.6 7.8 9.5 12.4 15.6 17.9 22.0 0.1
Mississippi Valley 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 99.1

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Bethune-Cookman 12 - 5 15 - 15 0.0 0.3 1.6 5.0 11.2 18.0 22.7 21.2 13.4 5.5 1.2
Southern 11 - 7 12 - 16 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.7 6.3 12.1 17.2 20.8 19.1 13.1 6.1 1.5
Grambling St. 9 - 9 13 - 16 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.6 9.5 14.6 18.3 18.7 15.5 9.8 4.8 1.5 0.2
Alabama A&M 10 - 8 14 - 14 0.0 0.3 1.9 5.7 12.3 18.4 21.6 19.2 12.3 6.1 1.9 0.3
Texas Southern 9 - 8 10 - 17 0.2 1.5 5.4 13.2 20.5 23.4 19.9 11.1 4.0 0.7
Florida A&M 10 - 8 11 - 16 0.3 1.6 5.6 11.2 17.5 20.8 19.1 12.9 7.3 2.9 0.7 0.1
Alabama St. 8 - 9 10 - 20 0.1 1.3 5.7 13.8 20.9 23.3 18.4 10.9 4.4 1.1 0.2
Arkansas Pine Bluff 10 - 7 11 - 18 0.0 0.4 2.6 7.6 16.0 22.7 22.9 16.4 8.5 2.5 0.4
Jackson St. 11 - 7 12 - 19 0.1 0.6 3.0 7.9 15.5 21.0 21.5 16.4 9.1 3.9 1.0 0.1
Prairie View 7 - 10 8 - 19 0.2 2.9 10.5 20.4 25.3 21.5 12.9 4.9 1.2 0.2
Alcorn St. 7 - 11 8 - 22 0.1 0.9 4.1 9.8 17.8 21.7 20.4 14.2 7.4 2.9 0.6 0.1
Mississippi Valley 1 - 16 1 - 30 38.5 35.7 18.0 5.9 1.5 0.3 0.1

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Bethune-Cookman 48.8% 30.9 12.4 4.1 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
Southern 25.7% 13.3 7.9 3.3 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
Grambling St. 9.5% 4.0 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Alabama A&M 13.1% 5.8 4.4 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Texas Southern 2.7% 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1
Florida A&M 14.2% 6.6 4.7 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.1
Alabama St. 0.9% 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 4.9% 1.3 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Jackson St. 18.1% 8.5 5.9 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Prairie View 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Alcorn St. 0.5% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mississippi Valley


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Bethune-Cookman 23.9% 23.9% 0.0% 16   0.1 0.4 3.2 20.2 76.1 0.0%
Southern 21.3% 21.3% 0.0% 0.1 0.3 1.7 19.2 78.7 0.0%
Grambling St. 11.4% 11.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.8 10.5 88.6 0.0%
Alabama A&M 11.3% 11.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 10.8 88.7 0.0%
Texas Southern 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 0.1 7.3 92.6 0.0%
Florida A&M 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 7.5 92.4 0.0%
Alabama St. 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0 3.9 96.1 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 5.4 94.5 0.0%
Jackson St. 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 4.4 95.6 0.0%
Prairie View 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0 1.8 98.2 0.0%
Alcorn St. 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0 1.4 98.6 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 62.9% 0.6 37.1 62.9
2nd Round 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bethune-Cookman 23.9% 13.3% 17.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern 21.3% 15.4% 14.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 11.4% 8.0% 7.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 11.3% 8.5% 6.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Southern 7.4% 7.0% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida A&M 7.7% 6.4% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 3.9% 3.8% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 5.5% 5.0% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 4.5% 4.2% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View 1.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 1.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%