Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -7.7 #297
Expected Predictive Rating -7.1 #279
Pace 65.7 #267
Improvement -2.9 #309

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #299 D D+ C C+ D
Defense #270 D+ C C- C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #238 1.05 #304 -3.3 #294
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #54 0.72 #220 +2.2 #71
Three Pointers 36% #280 0.94 #278 -3.9 #311
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #320 -5.0 #320
Freethrows 0.31 #160 73% #157 0.23 #148
Second Chance 25.5% #313 1.04 #195 0.26 #288
Turnovers 16.9% #211
Total Offense -4.7 #299

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #138 1.29 #330 -3.6 #300
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #245 0.74 #137 +1.0 #113
Three Pointers 42% #167 1.06 #244 -1.1 #231
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #296 -3.7 #298
Freethrows 0.32 #255 70% #81 0.23 #224
Second Chance 31.4% #218 1.04 #166 0.33 #196
Turnovers 15.7% #222
Total Defense -3.0 #270

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.0% #306 0.8% #244
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -7.9% #310 6.3% #299
Possession Length 18.7 #314 16.7 #70
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #232 0.22 #328
Improvement +0.3 #162 -3.3 #337

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.5% 12.9% 8.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 53.0% 62.5% 34.4%
.500 or above in Conference 80.3% 88.0% 65.2%
Conference Champion 13.5% 17.7% 5.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four8.7% 9.3% 7.5%
First Round6.9% 8.0% 4.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida A&M (Home) - 66.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 415 - 915 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 31 @Indiana L 51 - 98 2% -31  0 - 1 -29 -15 F+ F B- -14 F C+ B-
 Thu, Nov 13 234 Charleston Southern W 68 - 64 48% +5  1 - 1 -3 -7 F+ A F +4 B- D A+
 Sun, Nov 16 250 Lindenwood W 74 - 65 51% +2  2 - 1 +1 +1 C+ C D +0 C B- B-
 Fri, Nov 28 32 @Clemson L 56 - 92 2% -25  2 - 2 -19 -7 C F B -12 D F+ B-
 Sun, Nov 30 236 @Coastal Carolina L 60 - 67 27% -6  2 - 3 -8 -11 F+ F D- +3 A- C+ B-
 Wed, Dec 3 229 Tennessee St. W 80 - 53 47% +9  3 - 3 +20 +9 A- B- F +13 A+ C- A
 Sun, Dec 7 169 @Lipscomb L 58 - 92 17% -13  3 - 4 -32 -9 F D- C- -25 F D- F
 Mon, Dec 15 330 North Alabama W 68 - 60 71% +0  4 - 4 -6 -8 F C- B+ +3 D- A+ C+
 Wed, Dec 17 64 Mississippi L 66 - 80 7% -13  4 - 5 -5 +4 B- C- C+ -10 F C- C
 Sun, Dec 21 254 Chattanooga L 66 - 73 52% -4  4 - 6 -15 -5 D- D B- -11 D- D D
 Sat, Jan 3 327 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 83 - 95 48% -4  4 - 7 0 - 1 -19 +15 D A+ C -35 F F D-
 Mon, Jan 5 365 @Mississippi Valley W 71 - 51 88% +12  5 - 7 1 - 1 -1 -9 F D F +8 B- B A+
 Sat, Jan 10 350 Alcorn St. L 62 - 64 77% +4  5 - 8 1 - 2 -17 -12 F D- C- -5 C B F
 Mon, Jan 12 337 Jackson St. W 100 - 91 73% +6  6 - 8 2 - 2 -5 +6 C+ C C- -12 D C F
 Mon, Jan 19 318 Alabama St. W 73 - 69 57% +0  7 - 8 3 - 2 -5 -6 F F+ C+ +1 D F A+
 Sat, Jan 24 306 @Texas Southern L 74 - 89 41% +1  7 - 9 3 - 3 -20 +1 B- F D- -22 F C- F
 Tue, Jan 27 345 @Prairie View W 80 - 60 55% +12  8 - 9 4 - 3 +11 +6 B- F+ C+ +6 C+ A- C+
 Sat, Jan 31 315 Florida A&M W 72 - 67 66%
 Mon, Feb 2 248 Bethune-Cookman W 73 - 72 51%
 Sat, Feb 7 260 @Southern L 70 - 75 32%
 Mon, Feb 9 288 @Grambling St. L 68 - 71 38%
 Sat, Feb 14 365 Mississippi Valley W 77 - 58 96%
 Mon, Feb 16 327 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78 - 72 70%
 Thu, Feb 19 315 @Florida A&M L 69 - 70 45%
 Sat, Feb 21 248 @Bethune-Cookman L 69 - 75 30%
 Sat, Feb 28 318 Alabama St. W 76 - 71 67%
 Tue, Mar 3 288 Grambling St. W 71 - 68 59%
 Thu, Mar 5 260 Southern W 73 - 72 53%
Totals 14 - 14 10 - 8 -8 -5 D D+ C -3 D+ C C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.1 5.2 5.2 1.8 0.3 13.5 1st
2nd 0.5 6.6 6.1 0.9 0.1 14.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 3.9 8.5 1.6 0.0 14.0 3rd
4th 1.0 9.0 3.2 0.1 13.2 4th
5th 0.1 4.5 6.1 0.3 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 7.9 1.5 10.5 6th
7th 0.2 4.1 4.3 0.1 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 4.8 0.6 6.6 8th
9th 0.4 2.5 1.9 0.0 4.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.1 2.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.8 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.7 12.0 18.4 21.2 19.7 12.9 6.1 1.9 0.3 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.3    0.3
14-4 96.0% 1.8    1.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 84.4% 5.2    3.1 1.8 0.3 0.0
12-6 40.0% 5.2    1.1 2.3 1.5 0.3 0.0
11-7 5.8% 1.1    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.5% 13.5 6.1 4.4 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.3% 37.7% 37.7% 14.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 1.9% 25.4% 25.4% 15.7 0.1 0.3 1.4
13-5 6.1% 24.2% 24.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.6
12-6 12.9% 17.6% 17.6% 16.0 0.1 2.2 10.6
11-7 19.7% 14.5% 14.5% 16.0 0.1 2.8 16.8
10-8 21.2% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 0.0 2.3 18.8
9-9 18.4% 8.7% 8.7% 16.0 0.0 1.6 16.8
8-10 12.0% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.4 11.6
7-11 5.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.7
6-12 1.8% 1.8
5-13 0.2% 0.2
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 11.5% 11.5% 0.0% 16.0 88.5 0.0%