Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.4#351
Expected Predictive Rating-10.0#312
Pace72.8#107
Improvement+0.5#131

Offense
Total Offense-8.1#355
First Shot-5.3#326
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#336
Layup/Dunks+2.5#92
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#276
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#305
Freethrows-1.9#295
Improvement+0.0#189

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#323
First Shot-4.8#326
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#156
Layups/Dunks-3.2#283
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#186
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#121
Freethrows-3.2#336
Improvement+0.5#138
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 2.7% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 3.5% 9.3% 2.2%
.500 or above in Conference 16.2% 25.7% 14.1%
Conference Champion 0.5% 1.0% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 12.2% 7.3% 13.2%
First Four1.4% 2.0% 1.3%
First Round0.9% 1.7% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jacksonville (Away) - 18.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 47 - 117 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 81 @South Florida L 67-102 3%     0 - 1 -24.9 -10.7 -9.8
  Sat, Nov 8 163 Kennesaw St. L 72-92 20%     0 - 2 -23.7 -13.7 -7.4
  Tue, Nov 11 68 @Central Florida L 60-97 3%     0 - 3 -26.0 -13.9 -9.9
  Mon, Nov 17 34 @Georgia L 57-87 1%     0 - 4 -13.9 -13.2 +1.7
  Tue, Dec 2 269 @Jacksonville L 64-74 18%    
  Wed, Dec 17 269 Jacksonville L 67-71 37%    
  Fri, Dec 19 195 @Tarleton St. L 68-81 11%    
  Sun, Dec 21 51 @TCU L 59-85 1%    
  Sun, Dec 28 104 @Georgia Tech L 61-81 4%    
  Sat, Jan 3 217 @Bethune-Cookman L 68-80 14%    
  Sat, Jan 10 197 Southern L 72-79 27%    
  Mon, Jan 12 290 Grambling St. L 70-72 41%    
  Sat, Jan 17 363 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-77 51%    
  Mon, Jan 19 365 @Mississippi Valley W 77-70 73%    
  Sat, Jan 24 338 Alcorn St. W 73-72 55%    
  Wed, Jan 28 326 Jackson St. L 74-75 50%    
  Sat, Jan 31 293 @Alabama A&M L 68-76 24%    
  Mon, Feb 2 266 @Alabama St. L 69-79 19%    
  Sat, Feb 7 307 Texas Southern L 75-76 45%    
  Sat, Feb 14 326 @Jackson St. L 71-77 29%    
  Mon, Feb 16 338 @Alcorn St. L 70-75 34%    
  Thu, Feb 19 293 Alabama A&M L 71-73 43%    
  Thu, Feb 19 266 Alabama St. L 72-76 37%    
  Thu, Feb 26 197 @Southern L 69-82 13%    
  Thu, Feb 26 290 @Grambling St. L 67-75 24%    
  Thu, Mar 5 217 Bethune-Cookman L 71-77 30%    
Projected Record 7 - 19 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.5 1.5 0.2 4.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.9 2.6 0.4 0.0 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.0 1.1 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.4 5.5 2.0 0.1 11.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 4.5 6.5 3.1 0.2 15.4 9th
10th 0.2 2.0 5.6 7.1 3.6 0.5 0.0 18.9 10th
11th 0.8 3.7 6.6 6.1 2.5 0.4 0.0 20.1 11th
12th 0.6 1.8 2.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.2 12th
Total 0.6 2.6 6.0 9.9 13.0 14.8 14.4 12.7 9.8 7.0 4.4 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 86.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 62.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 40.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 7.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 10.7% 10.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.5% 16.8% 16.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4
12-6 1.3% 17.0% 17.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.1
11-7 2.8% 11.9% 11.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3 2.4
10-8 4.4% 5.8% 5.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 4.1
9-9 7.0% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.4 6.7
8-10 9.8% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 9.6
7-11 12.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 12.6
6-12 14.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.3
5-13 14.8% 14.8
4-14 13.0% 13.0
3-15 9.9% 9.9
2-16 6.0% 6.0
1-17 2.6% 2.6
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 1.6 98.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%