Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
143 Wright St. 23.0%   15   3 - 6 1 - 1 17 - 12 13 - 7 +1.0      +0.3 161 +0.8 141 66.9 251 -4.9 242 -3.4 7
149 Oakland 20.8%   4 - 6 1 - 0 17 - 13 14 - 6 +0.7      +4.4 72 -3.7 296 77.1 30 +2.3 136 +8.8 3
166 Youngstown St. 15.7%   5 - 4 2 - 0 17 - 11 13 - 7 -0.6      -2.2 230 +1.7 118 69.9 174 +0.4 165 +10.3 2
182 Robert Morris 11.8%   6 - 4 1 - 1 18 - 11 12 - 8 -1.6      -1.6 213 +0.1 166 66.6 257 +1.6 149 -2.0 6
194 Northern Kentucky 10.2%   6 - 3 1 - 1 17 - 11 11 - 9 -2.1      -1.1 197 -1.0 201 71.3 137 +1.2 155 -6.4 8
220 Purdue Fort Wayne 7.1%   3 - 6 1 - 1 13 - 15 11 - 9 -3.4      -0.2 173 -3.3 285 74.0 64 -3.6 229 -0.7 5
229 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 6.6%   3 - 5 1 - 0 14 - 16 11 - 9 -3.8      -1.1 198 -2.7 263 74.1 60 -1.7 194 +10.6 1
277 Green Bay 2.3%   3 - 7 1 - 2 11 - 18 8 - 12 -6.2      -1.7 218 -4.4 323 64.1 316 -3.5 224 -8.7 9
298 Detroit Mercy 1.8%   3 - 6 2 - 0 9 - 18 8 - 12 -7.5      -3.8 267 -3.7 294 69.0 200 -6.5 261 +5.7 4
319 Cleveland St. 0.6%   1 - 8 0 - 2 7 - 21 6 - 14 -9.3      -2.6 237 -6.7 348 73.4 74 -13.3 337 -22.4 11
355 IU Indianapolis 0.0%   2 - 9 0 - 3 5 - 24 3 - 17 -14.1      -5.6 323 -8.5 362 92.0 1 -12.8 334 -21.5 10




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 10 228 Eastern Michigan 65 220 Purdue Fort Wayne 80   
Thu, Dec 11 277 Green Bay 85 355 IU Indianapolis 75   
Sat, Dec 13 159 Marshall 76 143 Wright St. 74   
Sat, Dec 13 149 Oakland 63 92 Northern Iowa 75   
Sat, Dec 13 182 Robert Morris 75 167 Toledo 70   
Sat, Dec 13 295 Bellarmine 76 194 Northern Kentucky 80   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 14 187 Indiana St. 79 229 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 80 53%   
Sun, Dec 14 298 Detroit Mercy 74 220 Purdue Fort Wayne 81 75%   
Tue, Dec 16 106 Miami (OH) 74 143 Wright St. 75 51%   
Wed, Dec 17 182 Robert Morris 71 166 Youngstown St. 69 58%   
Wed, Dec 17 194 Northern Kentucky 84 149 Oakland 83 51%   
Wed, Dec 17 277 Green Bay 70 151 UC Santa Barbara 74 64%   
Wed, Dec 17 319 Cleveland St. 72 110 UAB 88 92%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Wright St. 3.0 28.2 21.7 16.2 11.4 8.8 6.1 4.0 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.0
Oakland 2.9 33.5 20.1 14.8 11.1 8.0 5.5 3.7 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.0
Youngstown St. 3.3 25.8 20.3 15.8 12.2 9.2 7.0 4.9 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.0
Robert Morris 4.2 12.3 14.5 15.4 14.5 13.9 11.4 8.5 5.7 2.9 1.0 0.1
Northern Kentucky 4.8 9.4 11.7 12.7 14.1 13.6 12.8 10.7 8.1 4.8 1.7 0.3
Purdue Fort Wayne 5.2 6.7 9.1 11.5 12.8 13.6 13.6 12.7 10.2 6.6 2.9 0.4
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 5.2 7.6 9.8 10.9 12.3 13.1 13.3 12.0 10.4 6.9 3.3 0.5
Green Bay 7.3 0.9 2.0 3.4 5.9 8.2 11.3 15.2 19.4 19.7 12.2 1.7
Detroit Mercy 7.1 1.5 2.8 4.1 6.0 8.2 10.9 15.2 18.9 20.3 10.7 1.4
Cleveland St. 9.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.5 3.9 7.0 12.2 20.6 37.2 14.2
IU Indianapolis 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.9 6.1 21.7 69.3




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Wright St. 13 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 3.7 6.1 9.3 12.3 15.0 15.6 14.1 10.8 6.3 2.7 0.7
Oakland 14 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.5 5.6 8.8 11.5 14.1 14.7 14.1 11.2 7.5 4.1 1.5 0.3
Youngstown St. 13 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.5 4.6 7.0 10.2 13.1 14.6 14.6 12.4 9.4 5.8 2.9 0.9 0.2
Robert Morris 12 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.9 5.1 7.9 11.5 14.3 15.4 14.3 11.7 7.8 4.4 1.8 0.6 0.1
Northern Kentucky 11 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.4 4.6 7.2 10.4 12.6 14.2 14.0 12.7 9.4 5.8 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
Purdue Fort Wayne 11 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.5 6.1 8.8 12.1 13.5 14.5 13.1 10.8 7.3 4.5 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 11 - 9 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 2.0 3.6 6.3 9.0 11.3 13.0 13.7 12.6 10.4 8.0 4.6 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Green Bay 8 - 12 0.0 0.4 1.6 4.2 7.6 11.4 13.7 15.4 14.3 12.0 8.5 5.6 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Detroit Mercy 8 - 12 0.3 1.4 4.0 7.5 10.9 13.8 14.7 14.2 11.8 8.7 5.9 3.6 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Cleveland St. 6 - 14 0.4 2.3 6.0 10.5 14.2 15.4 14.8 12.7 9.9 6.1 4.1 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
IU Indianapolis 3 - 17 6.9 16.6 22.3 20.7 15.1 9.5 5.0 2.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wright St. 28.2% 18.4 7.4 2.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Oakland 33.5% 22.9 8.1 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Youngstown St. 25.8% 16.7 6.8 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Robert Morris 12.3% 6.8 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
Northern Kentucky 9.4% 5.3 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 6.7% 3.4 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 7.6% 4.2 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Green Bay 0.9% 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Detroit Mercy 1.5% 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Cleveland St. 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
IU Indianapolis


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wright St. 23.0% 23.0% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.1 1.1 4.0 7.6 7.2 2.9 77.0 0.0%
Oakland 20.8% 20.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.8 7.6 5.7 1.4 79.2 0.0%
Youngstown St. 15.7% 15.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.8 5.6 5.2 1.4 84.3 0.0%
Robert Morris 11.8% 11.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.1 4.5 1.4 88.2 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 10.2% 10.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.3 4.1 1.4 89.8 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.9 2.6 92.9 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.7 2.2 93.4 0.0%
Green Bay 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 97.7 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.1 0.4 1.3 98.2 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.6 99.4 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wright St. 23.0% 0.9% 22.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 20.8% 0.5% 20.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 15.7% 0.4% 15.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 11.8% 0.3% 11.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 10.2% 0.5% 10.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 7.1% 1.3% 6.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 6.6% 1.1% 6.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 2.3% 0.9% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 1.8% 0.9% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 96.8% 1.0 3.2 96.8
2nd Round 4.1% 0.0 95.9 4.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0