Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
135 Oakland 29.3%   14   11 - 10 8 - 3 +1.4      +5.4 65 -4.0 292 74.2 54 +2.1 132 +2.1 2
153 Wright St. 24.2%   11 - 8 8 - 2 +0.5      +1.9 118 -1.4 223 66.7 237 -0.5 173 +3.3 1
180 Northern Kentucky 13.8%   11 - 8 6 - 5 -1.4      -0.1 167 -1.3 218 72.6 82 -1.9 198 -3.3 5
208 Robert Morris 7.1%   11 - 9 5 - 6 -2.9      0.0 164 -2.9 266 65.2 281 -1.9 200 -5.1 7
218 Purdue Fort Wayne 9.0%   10 - 8 7 - 3 -3.3      -1.2 200 -2.1 242 71.3 115 +0.7 151 +0.8 3
222 Youngstown St. 4.6%   7 - 12 3 - 8 -3.6      -2.3 230 -1.3 220 68.8 178 -7.2 280 -10.1 10
243 Green Bay 5.6%   10 - 10 7 - 4 -4.6      +0.9 138 -5.5 332 61.2 352 -0.8 181 -0.7 4
244 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 4.7%   8 - 13 5 - 6 -4.6      -1.5 210 -3.1 275 70.2 144 -4.0 225 -4.4 6
289 Detroit Mercy 1.2%   6 - 12 5 - 6 -7.4      -2.5 236 -4.9 317 71.2 117 -7.2 279 -6.2 8
320 Cleveland St. 0.3%   4 - 14 3 - 7 -9.5      -1.3 204 -8.2 360 71.7 102 -9.8 323 -9.8 9
340 IU Indianapolis 0.1%   4 - 16 2 - 9 -11.4      -3.8 277 -7.6 356 83.5 2 -11.7 334 -12.5 11


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Jan 24 289 Detroit Mercy 87 135 Oakland 95   
Sat, Jan 24 244 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 65 222 Youngstown St. 64   
Sat, Jan 24 243 Green Bay 71 208 Robert Morris 67   
Sat, Jan 24 180 Northern Kentucky 80 153 Wright St. 88   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Jan 28 135 Oakland 84 218 Purdue Fort Wayne 83 57%   
Wed, Jan 28 340 IU Indianapolis 77 208 Robert Morris 88 86%   
Fri, Jan 30 244 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 75 153 Wright St. 77 58%   
Fri, Jan 30 289 Detroit Mercy 78 180 Northern Kentucky 81 61%   
Fri, Jan 30 320 Cleveland St. 73 243 Green Bay 81 77%   
Fri, Jan 30 340 IU Indianapolis 77 222 Youngstown St. 88 84%   
Sat, Jan 31 218 Purdue Fort Wayne 76 208 Robert Morris 74 60%   
Sun, Feb 1 180 Northern Kentucky 82 135 Oakland 87 71%   
Sun, Feb 1 243 Green Bay 72 153 Wright St. 74 58%   
Sun, Feb 1 320 Cleveland St. 77 244 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 85 77%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Oakland 1.7 53.5 33.7 8.6 2.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Wright St. 1.7 55.0 29.8 9.5 3.5 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
Northern Kentucky 4.1 3.8 10.3 24.6 24.3 17.3 10.8 6.1 2.1 0.6 0.1
Robert Morris 5.6 0.5 2.6 8.2 15.1 20.3 23.4 17.6 8.4 3.0 0.9 0.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 3.4 11.5 16.9 30.1 19.2 11.3 6.6 3.4 0.8 0.1 0.0
Youngstown St. 7.9 0.0 0.6 2.2 4.9 9.7 15.4 29.0 25.7 10.8 1.6
Green Bay 4.2 3.5 9.3 22.4 23.9 19.3 11.7 6.8 2.4 0.8 0.1
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 6.0 0.2 1.4 5.9 12.4 17.6 21.4 21.7 12.1 5.8 1.5 0.1
Detroit Mercy 7.7 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.4 6.1 9.7 16.5 28.5 26.7 7.4 0.4
Cleveland St. 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.9 4.0 9.9 21.5 46.0 15.5
IU Indianapolis 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.8 6.2 25.6 65.9

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Oakland 15 - 5 18 - 12 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 5.4 13.2 22.8 28.0 21.5 7.3
Wright St. 15 - 5 18 - 11 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.3 6.4 13.9 21.8 23.9 19.1 9.7 2.5
Northern Kentucky 11 - 9 16 - 12 0.0 0.5 2.6 7.7 15.4 22.9 23.8 17.6 7.9 1.6
Robert Morris 10 - 10 16 - 13 0.0 0.8 3.6 10.7 19.7 25.2 22.0 12.8 4.4 0.8
Purdue Fort Wayne 12 - 8 15 - 13 0.1 1.0 4.1 10.0 17.1 22.4 21.2 14.7 7.1 2.1 0.3
Youngstown St. 8 - 12 12 - 16 0.1 1.5 5.5 13.9 22.5 24.9 18.2 10.2 2.9 0.4
Green Bay 11 - 9 14 - 15 0.4 2.4 8.4 17.4 24.0 23.0 15.6 6.7 1.8 0.3
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 10 - 10 13 - 17 0.2 1.7 5.9 14.5 22.3 24.7 18.4 9.2 2.7 0.3
Detroit Mercy 8 - 12 9 - 18 3.8 13.1 22.8 25.1 19.1 10.2 4.5 1.2 0.2 0.0
Cleveland St. 6 - 14 7 - 21 5.1 15.5 23.8 23.6 16.8 9.7 4.0 1.4 0.3 0.0
IU Indianapolis 4 - 16 6 - 23 9.1 24.6 28.8 21.2 11.1 4.0 1.0 0.2 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Oakland 53.5% 33.3 17.1 2.8 0.3 0.0
Wright St. 55.0% 35.2 16.8 2.7 0.3 0.0
Northern Kentucky 3.8% 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0
Robert Morris 0.5% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 11.5% 5.0 4.4 1.9 0.3 0.0
Youngstown St.
Green Bay 3.5% 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0
Cleveland St.
IU Indianapolis


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Oakland 29.3% 29.3% 0.0% 14   0.1 2.2 9.2 12.7 5.0 0.2 70.7 0.0%
Wright St. 24.2% 24.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.6 3.8 10.8 8.1 0.8 75.8 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 13.8% 13.8% 0.0% 0.1 1.1 4.5 6.5 1.7 86.2 0.0%
Robert Morris 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.7 1.3 92.9 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 9.0% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.5 0.9 91.0 0.0%
Youngstown St. 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 0.1 0.2 1.3 2.9 95.4 0.0%
Green Bay 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.0 1.7 94.4 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.6 3.0 95.3 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.2 98.8 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 97.4% 1.0 2.7 97.4
2nd Round 2.6% 0.0 97.4 2.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Oakland 29.3% 0.0% 29.3% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 24.2% 0.0% 24.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 13.8% 0.2% 13.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 7.1% 0.3% 7.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 9.0% 0.2% 8.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 4.6% 2.0% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 5.6% 0.4% 5.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 4.7% 1.8% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 1.2% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%