Wright St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#143
Expected Predictive Rating-4.9#242
Pace66.9#251
Improvement+0.8#124

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#161
First Shot-1.3#213
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#88
Layup/Dunks-0.6#199
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#108
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#141
Freethrows-3.1#329
Improvement+2.0#49

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#141
First Shot+2.2#104
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#283
Layups/Dunks-7.0#356
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#279
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.7#1
Freethrows+0.7#137
Improvement-1.2#273
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.0% 25.9% 20.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.1 14.6
.500 or above 81.9% 90.1% 73.7%
.500 or above in Conference 92.9% 94.8% 91.0%
Conference Champion 28.2% 32.2% 24.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Four0.9% 0.5% 1.3%
First Round22.7% 25.7% 19.6%
Second Round1.3% 1.7% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (OH) (Home) - 50.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 34 - 64 - 10
Quad 414 - 418 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 82 @California L 67-77 19%     0 - 1 +0.3 -0.9 +1.2
  Tue, Nov 11 167 Toledo L 71-81 68%     0 - 2 -13.7 -3.2 -11.0
  Sat, Nov 15 267 Radford W 92-59 74%     1 - 2 +27.3 +13.0 +13.1
  Sun, Nov 16 124 Kent St. L 72-76 OT 43%     1 - 3 -1.1 -5.7 +4.8
  Tue, Nov 25 346 @Stetson W 79-62 82%     2 - 3 +8.1 +8.7 +0.9
  Fri, Nov 28 54 @Butler L 69-94 14%     2 - 4 -12.1 -4.6 -5.8
  Wed, Dec 3 166 @Youngstown St. L 68-69 45%     2 - 5 0 - 1 +1.4 -0.5 +1.9
  Sun, Dec 7 277 Green Bay W 86-58 83%     3 - 5 1 - 1 +18.8 +10.2 +9.6
  Sat, Dec 13 159 @Marshall L 74-76 42%     3 - 6 +1.1 +10.2 -9.4
  Tue, Dec 16 106 Miami (OH) W 76-75 50%    
  Mon, Dec 22 228 Eastern Michigan W 74-66 77%    
  Mon, Dec 29 149 Oakland W 82-79 63%    
  Thu, Jan 1 229 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 79-71 77%    
  Sun, Jan 4 355 @IU Indianapolis W 90-78 87%    
  Fri, Jan 9 298 @Detroit Mercy W 74-69 69%    
  Sun, Jan 11 149 @Oakland L 79-82 41%    
  Thu, Jan 15 166 Youngstown St. W 73-68 66%    
  Wed, Jan 21 319 Cleveland St. W 83-70 89%    
  Sat, Jan 24 194 Northern Kentucky W 76-70 71%    
  Fri, Jan 30 229 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 76-74 56%    
  Sun, Feb 1 277 @Green Bay W 73-69 65%    
  Wed, Feb 4 182 @Robert Morris L 69-70 48%    
  Sat, Feb 7 220 Purdue Fort Wayne W 80-73 75%    
  Thu, Feb 12 298 Detroit Mercy W 77-66 85%    
  Sun, Feb 15 319 @Cleveland St. W 80-73 74%    
  Thu, Feb 19 355 IU Indianapolis W 93-75 95%    
  Sun, Feb 22 182 Robert Morris W 73-67 69%    
  Wed, Feb 25 220 @Purdue Fort Wayne W 77-76 55%    
  Sat, Feb 28 194 @Northern Kentucky W 74-73 50%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.9 7.1 8.4 5.9 2.7 0.7 28.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 4.1 8.1 6.1 2.3 0.4 0.0 21.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.3 7.3 4.2 0.8 0.1 16.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.4 2.9 0.4 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.2 1.6 4.2 2.6 0.3 0.0 8.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 6.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.7 1.4 0.2 4.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 3.7 6.1 9.3 12.3 15.0 15.6 14.1 10.8 6.3 2.7 0.7 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7
18-2 99.6% 2.7    2.6 0.1 0.0
17-3 93.7% 5.9    5.1 0.7 0.0
16-4 77.7% 8.4    5.9 2.3 0.2
15-5 50.2% 7.1    3.3 2.9 0.8 0.0
14-6 18.7% 2.9    0.7 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0
13-7 2.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 28.2% 28.2 18.4 7.4 2.0 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.7% 54.5% 54.5% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3
18-2 2.7% 48.8% 48.8% 12.8 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.4
17-3 6.3% 43.5% 43.5% 13.4 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.6
16-4 10.8% 35.7% 35.7% 13.8 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.0 0.7 0.0 6.9
15-5 14.1% 29.4% 29.4% 14.2 0.0 0.6 2.0 1.4 0.1 10.0
14-6 15.6% 24.4% 24.4% 14.6 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.8 0.3 11.8
13-7 15.0% 19.6% 19.6% 14.9 0.1 0.8 1.6 0.5 12.1
12-8 12.3% 15.5% 15.5% 15.3 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.7 10.4
11-9 9.3% 11.7% 11.7% 15.5 0.0 0.4 0.6 8.2
10-10 6.1% 8.8% 8.8% 15.8 0.1 0.4 5.6
9-11 3.7% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 3.5
8-12 2.1% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 2.0
7-13 0.9% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.8
6-14 0.3% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3
5-15 0.1% 0.1
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 23.0% 23.0% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.0 7.6 7.2 2.9 77.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 11.6 1.5 39.4 53.0 6.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%