IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.6	#182
Expected Predictive Rating	+1.6	#149

Pace	66.6	#257
Improvement	+0.6	#147

Offense
Total Offense	-1.6	#213

First Shot	-6.9	#349
After Offensive Rebound	+5.3	#4

Layup/Dunks	-3.5	#295
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.7	#93
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.7	#242
Freethrows	-3.4	#335

Improvement	-0.9	#252

Defense
Total Defense	+0.1	#166

First Shot	-0.2	#180
After Offensive Rebounds	+0.2	#173

Layups/Dunks	-1.1	#217
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.1	#43
3 Pt Jumpshots	+4.4	#38
Freethrows	-5.6	#362

Improvement	+1.4	#75

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.8%	13.9%	9.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.4	14.3	14.7

.500 or above	89.3%	94.5%	82.3%
.500 or above in Conference	82.0%	89.5%	71.7%
Conference Champion	12.3%	17.8%	4.9%
Last Place in Conference	0.3%	0.1%	0.5%

First Four	0.3%	0.2%	0.4%
First Round	11.7%	13.8%	8.9%
Second Round	0.4%	0.5%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Youngstown St. (Home) - 57.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	4 - 6	4 - 8
Quad 4	14 - 4	19 - 12

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Tue, Nov 4	23 @Iowa	L	69-101	4%	0 - 1			-13.9	+6.0	-20.5
Thu, Nov 6	135 @Drake	W	81-79 OT	27%	1 - 1			+6.7	+4.4	+2.2
Thu, Nov 20	113 @St. Bonaventure	L	61-75	22%	1 - 2			-7.6	-7.3	-0.6
Sun, Nov 23	206 @Monmouth	L	70-71 OT	44%	1 - 3			-0.9	-1.6	+0.7
Wed, Nov 26	190 Illinois-Chicago	W	88-74	63%	2 - 3			+9.1	+15.1	-5.5
Fri, Nov 28	318 Southern Utah	W	61-54	84%	3 - 3			-5.3	-12.3	+7.6
Sun, Nov 30	346 Stetson	W	80-62	89%	4 - 3			+3.1	+11.7	-6.0
Thu, Dec 4	277 @Green Bay	W	80-78	56%	5 - 3	1 - 0		-1.2	+7.1	-8.2
Sat, Dec 6	229 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	72-74	47%	5 - 4	1 - 1		-2.8	-3.2	+0.4
Sat, Dec 13	167 Toledo	W	75-70	58%	6 - 4			+1.3	-1.5	+2.9
Wed, Dec 17	166 Youngstown St.	W	71-69	57%
Sat, Dec 20	363 @St. Francis (PA)	W	77-66	84%
Mon, Dec 29	194 Northern Kentucky	W	74-70	63%
Fri, Jan 2	298 @Detroit Mercy	W	73-70	61%
Sun, Jan 4	149 @Oakland	L	77-82	32%
Sun, Jan 11	220 Purdue Fort Wayne	W	78-73	67%
Thu, Jan 15	355 @IU Indianapolis	W	88-78	81%
Sat, Jan 17	194 @Northern Kentucky	L	71-73	41%
Thu, Jan 22	229 Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	77-72	68%
Sat, Jan 24	277 Green Bay	W	74-66	75%
Wed, Jan 28	355 IU Indianapolis	W	91-75	92%
Sat, Jan 31	220 @Purdue Fort Wayne	L	75-76	46%
Wed, Feb 4	143 Wright St.	W	70-69	52%
Sat, Feb 7	166 @Youngstown St.	L	68-72	36%
Thu, Feb 12	319 @Cleveland St.	W	78-73	66%
Sun, Feb 15	149 Oakland	W	80-79	53%
Sun, Feb 22	143 @Wright St.	L	67-73	31%
Wed, Feb 25	298 Detroit Mercy	W	76-67	79%
Sat, Feb 28	319 Cleveland St.	W	81-70	83%
Projected Record					18 - 11	12 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.4	2.2	3.7	3.6	1.7	0.6	0.1			12.3	1st
2nd												0.0	0.5	3.6	5.9	3.6	0.8	0.1	0.0				14.5	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.6	4.1	6.8	3.3	0.6	0.0						15.4	3rd
4th										0.0	0.5	3.6	6.8	3.2	0.3	0.0							14.5	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	3.1	6.5	3.5	0.3	0.0								13.9	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	2.3	5.1	3.2	0.4	0.0									11.4	6th
7th							0.0	0.3	1.8	3.5	2.4	0.4	0.0										8.5	7th
8th					0.0	0.0	0.3	1.3	2.2	1.6	0.2												5.7	8th
9th					0.0	0.2	0.7	1.1	0.7	0.1	0.0												2.9	9th
10th				0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0														1.0	10th
11th				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0															0.1	11th

Total				0.0	0.2	0.6	1.4	2.9	5.1	7.9	11.5	14.3	15.4	14.3	11.7	7.8	4.4	1.8	0.6	0.1				Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
18-2	99.5%	0.6		0.6	0.0
17-3	95.8%	1.7		1.5	0.2	0.0
16-4	80.2%	3.6		2.4	1.0	0.1
15-5	46.9%	3.7		1.7	1.5	0.4	0.0
14-6	18.3%	2.2		0.4	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.0
13-7	2.9%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	12.3%	12.3		6.8	3.9	1.3	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.1%		62.5%	62.5%		11.6												0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0
18-2	0.6%		35.1%	35.1%		12.8												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0			0.4
17-3	1.8%		34.9%	34.9%		13.3													0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0		1.2
16-4	4.4%		26.5%	26.5%		13.7													0.0	0.4	0.6	0.2	0.0	3.3
15-5	7.8%		22.6%	22.6%		14.0													0.0	0.4	1.0	0.4	0.0	6.0
14-6	11.7%		19.0%	19.0%		14.4													0.0	0.2	1.1	0.9	0.1	9.5
13-7	14.3%		14.8%	14.8%		14.6														0.1	0.7	1.2	0.1	12.2
12-8	15.4%		10.6%	10.6%		15.0														0.0	0.3	1.0	0.3	13.7
11-9	14.3%		7.3%	7.3%		15.2															0.1	0.6	0.3	13.3
10-10	11.5%		4.6%	4.6%		15.4															0.0	0.3	0.2	10.9
9-11	7.9%		3.6%	3.6%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.2	7.6
8-12	5.1%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																0.0	0.1	5.1
7-13	2.9%		2.0%	2.0%		15.9																0.0	0.1	2.8
6-14	1.4%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	1.4
5-15	0.6%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.0	0.5
4-16	0.2%																							0.2
3-17	0.0%																							0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20

Total	100%		11.8%	11.8%	0.0%	14.4												0.0	0.2	1.5	4.1	4.5	1.4	88.2		0.0%