IU Indianapolis
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.4 #340
Expected Predictive Rating -11.7 #334
Pace 83.5 #2
Improvement +4.6 #21

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #277 C- C C+ F D+
Defense #356 F+ F B F F+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% #335 1.21 #117 -3.2 #293
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #137 0.83 #75 +1.6 #92
Three Pointers 46% #81 0.93 #291 +0.4 #160
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #214 -1.2 #213
Freethrows 0.18 #365 72% #193 0.13 #365
Second Chance 28.7% #239 1.12 #90 0.32 #171
Turnovers 15.9% #145
Total Offense -3.8 #277

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #8 1.29 #329 -8.2 #362
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #353 0.72 #118 +2.9 #10
Three Pointers 39% #229 1.15 #333 -1.7 #265
1st FG Attempt 1.16 #353 -7.0 #353
Freethrows 0.38 #351 75% #326 0.29 #357
Second Chance 36.5% #350 1.28 #359 0.47 #363
Turnovers 18.7% #62
Total Defense -7.6 #356

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.5% #288 3.0% #361
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -0.8% #187 10.4% #340
Possession Length 15.8 #49 15.6 #10
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #128 0.28 #364
Improvement +2.1 #77 +2.5 #50

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 81.3% 62.9% 84.3%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Robert Morris (Away) - 13.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 82 - 11
Quad 44 - 136 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 35 @Ohio St. L 102 - 118 1% -12  0 - 1 +1 +16 A+ B+ B- -13 F F+ A
 Thu, Nov 6 224 LIU Brooklyn L 90 - 94 33% +1  0 - 2 -11 -3 D- C+ B- -7 F F A+
 Sat, Nov 8 58 @Butler L 80 - 112 2% -14  0 - 3 -19 -6 D+ F+ D+ -6 C+ F A-
 Fri, Nov 14 241 @Eastern Michigan W 90 - 83 18% +3  1 - 3 +6 +8 A A+ F -4 B+ F C-
 Tue, Nov 18 230 @Charleston Southern L 91 - 103 17% -13  1 - 4 -13 +5 C- C+ A+ -16 F F B+
 Fri, Nov 21 318 Alabama St. L 80 - 101 42% -9  1 - 5 -30 -8 B- F F -20 F F C+
 Sun, Nov 23 347 @Air Force L 85 - 98 41% -2  1 - 6 -22 +1 D+ B- C- -22 F F C-
 Sat, Nov 29 299 Morehead St. W 85 - 80 49% +2  2 - 6 -6 -8 B- F D+ +1 C B+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 289 @Detroit Mercy L 78 - 92 25% -10  2 - 7 0 - 1 -18 +1 D+ C C- -19 C- F D
 Sat, Dec 6 222 Youngstown St. L 55 - 78 32% -13  2 - 8 0 - 2 -30 -18 F F C+ -13 F D- A-
 Thu, Dec 11 243 Green Bay L 75 - 85 36% -1  2 - 9 0 - 3 -18 -8 F B- C+ -9 D D- B+
 Mon, Dec 22 71 @Grand Canyon L 78 - 91 3% -8  2 - 10 -2 +9 B+ A+ D- -10 F F A-
 Mon, Dec 29 320 @Cleveland St. L 86 - 99 32% -10  2 - 11 0 - 4 -20 -0 F C C+ -18 F F+ D+
 Thu, Jan 1 180 @Northern Kentucky L 72 - 81 12% +3  2 - 12 0 - 5 -7 -1 C- B D- -6 F C- C-
 Sun, Jan 4 153 Wright St. L 77 - 81 20% -5  2 - 13 0 - 6 -6 +5 B- C C -11 D+ F A+
 Fri, Jan 9 243 @Green Bay L 59 - 75 18% -9  2 - 14 0 - 7 -18 -20 F F+ C+ +2 C D+ A+
 Sun, Jan 11 244 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 83 - 95 18% +0  2 - 15 0 - 8 -14 +9 C+ C- B -23 F F B
 Thu, Jan 15 208 Robert Morris W 96 - 93 OT 30% -2  3 - 15 1 - 8 -3 +8 B+ F A+ -11 F F+ A
 Sat, Jan 17 289 Detroit Mercy L 77 - 80 46% +1  3 - 16 1 - 9 -13 -7 D- A- F+ -6 C- C B+
 Wed, Jan 21 135 @Oakland W 103 - 85 8% +8  4 - 16 2 - 9 +22 +26 A+ A+ B- -4 B- F C+
 Wed, Jan 28 208 @Robert Morris L 76 - 88 14%
 Fri, Jan 30 222 @Youngstown St. L 77 - 88 15%
 Sat, Feb 7 320 Cleveland St. W 89 - 88 54%
 Tue, Feb 10 244 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 83 - 87 36%
 Thu, Feb 12 180 Northern Kentucky L 83 - 90 25%
 Sun, Feb 15 218 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 80 - 91 15%
 Thu, Feb 19 153 @Wright St. L 76 - 91 8%
 Wed, Feb 25 135 Oakland L 87 - 97 19%
 Sat, Feb 28 218 Purdue Fort Wayne L 83 - 88 32%
Totals 6 - 23 4 - 16 -11 -4 C- C C+ -8 F+ F B




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.6 0.1 1.8 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 2.9 2.0 0.2 0.0 6.2 9th
10th 0.8 6.6 10.7 6.5 0.9 0.0 0.0 25.6 10th
11th 9.1 23.7 22.2 9.5 1.4 0.0 65.9 11th
Total 9.1 24.6 28.8 21.2 11.1 4.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0% 0.0
9-11 0.2% 0.2
8-12 1.0% 1.0
7-13 4.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.0
6-14 11.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.1
5-15 21.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 21.2
4-16 28.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 28.7
3-17 24.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 24.5
2-18 9.1% 9.1
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 7.3%