Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#229
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#194
Pace74.1#60
Improvement+0.6#135

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#198
First Shot-2.1#230
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#121
Layup/Dunks-2.9#283
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#105
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#156
Freethrows-1.1#251
Improvement-1.2#273

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#263
First Shot-3.7#304
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#116
Layups/Dunks-3.1#288
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#116
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#197
Freethrows-1.5#272
Improvement+1.8#60
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.6% 7.7% 5.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 35.4% 46.2% 23.1%
.500 or above in Conference 66.6% 72.0% 60.4%
Conference Champion 7.6% 9.4% 5.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.8% 1.4%
First Four1.1% 0.9% 1.4%
First Round6.0% 7.3% 4.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Indiana St. (Home) - 53.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 33 - 73 - 12
Quad 411 - 515 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 230 Hampton W 90-86 62%     1 - 0 -2.9 +4.0 -7.4
  Sat, Nov 8 244 @Wofford L 76-86 42%     1 - 1 -11.7 -3.1 -8.0
  Mon, Nov 10 313 Arkansas Little Rock W 92-72 78%     2 - 1 +8.0 +14.0 -5.9
  Wed, Nov 12 27 @Indiana L 70-101 3%     2 - 2 -13.2 +5.4 -18.3
  Fri, Nov 14 24 @Texas Tech L 63-80 3%     2 - 3 +0.9 +2.4 -2.8
  Sat, Nov 22 98 @Wichita St. L 58-75 14%     2 - 4 -9.0 -7.7 -2.1
  Sat, Nov 29 65 @Akron L 81-105 8%     2 - 5 -12.6 +0.4 -10.6
  Sat, Dec 6 182 Robert Morris W 74-72 53%     3 - 5 1 - 0 -2.6 -1.4 -1.1
  Sun, Dec 14 187 Indiana St. W 80-79 53%    
  Fri, Dec 19 158 South Dakota St. L 75-79 36%    
  Sun, Dec 21 319 @Cleveland St. W 82-80 59%    
  Mon, Dec 29 220 Purdue Fort Wayne W 83-80 60%    
  Tue, Dec 30 40 @Wisconsin L 71-90 4%    
  Thu, Jan 1 143 @Wright St. L 71-79 23%    
  Mon, Jan 5 277 @Green Bay L 75-76 48%    
  Fri, Jan 9 194 Northern Kentucky W 79-78 54%    
  Sun, Jan 11 355 IU Indianapolis W 96-83 89%    
  Thu, Jan 15 149 Oakland L 85-87 45%    
  Sun, Jan 18 220 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 80-83 38%    
  Thu, Jan 22 182 @Robert Morris L 72-77 32%    
  Sat, Jan 24 166 @Youngstown St. L 72-78 29%    
  Fri, Jan 30 143 Wright St. L 74-76 44%    
  Sun, Feb 1 319 Cleveland St. W 85-77 78%    
  Wed, Feb 4 298 Detroit Mercy W 80-73 73%    
  Sat, Feb 7 194 @Northern Kentucky L 76-81 33%    
  Sun, Feb 15 277 Green Bay W 78-73 68%    
  Fri, Feb 20 298 @Detroit Mercy W 77-76 52%    
  Sun, Feb 22 149 @Oakland L 82-90 25%    
  Wed, Feb 25 166 Youngstown St. L 75-76 49%    
  Sat, Feb 28 355 @IU Indianapolis W 93-86 74%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.3 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 7.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.0 2.0 0.6 0.1 9.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 10.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.4 5.7 2.5 0.3 0.0 12.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.3 6.1 3.0 0.3 13.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.1 6.0 3.3 0.4 0.0 13.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.8 5.3 2.9 0.4 0.0 12.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.6 4.4 2.3 0.4 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.8 2.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 3.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 2.0 3.6 6.3 9.0 11.3 13.0 13.7 12.6 10.4 8.0 4.6 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-3 94.1% 1.2    1.0 0.1 0.0
16-4 77.2% 2.0    1.5 0.5 0.1
15-5 49.7% 2.3    1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0
14-6 17.7% 1.4    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 7.6% 7.6 4.2 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 31.0% 31.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.4% 33.0% 33.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.3% 27.1% 27.1% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9
16-4 2.6% 22.5% 22.5% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.0
15-5 4.6% 16.5% 16.5% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 3.8
14-6 8.0% 13.6% 13.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 6.9
13-7 10.4% 11.3% 11.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.3 9.2
12-8 12.6% 7.4% 7.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 11.7
11-9 13.7% 4.9% 4.9% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 13.0
10-10 13.0% 3.7% 3.7% 15.9 0.0 0.4 12.5
9-11 11.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 11.1
8-12 9.0% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 8.9
7-13 6.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.3
6-14 3.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.6
5-15 2.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.0
4-16 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.7 2.2 93.4 0.0%