Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.3#319
Expected Predictive Rating-13.3#337
Pace73.4#74
Improvement-1.4#282

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#237
First Shot-1.3#216
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#263
Layup/Dunks-3.5#294
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#324
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#48
Freethrows+0.5#145
Improvement-2.7#349

Defense
Total Defense-6.7#348
First Shot-6.6#356
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#202
Layups/Dunks-2.8#280
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#277
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#308
Freethrows+1.0#120
Improvement+1.3#88
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.8% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.6% 2.6% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 7.7% 13.1% 7.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 22.5% 16.4% 22.9%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.6%
First Round0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UAB (Away) - 6.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 91 - 13
Quad 46 - 97 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 263 @Loyola Chicago L 88-91 26%     0 - 1 -5.5 +10.4 -15.9
  Mon, Nov 10 58 @Northwestern L 63-110 3%     0 - 2 -34.7 -9.0 -23.3
  Sat, Nov 15 124 Kent St. L 95-102 13%     0 - 3 -4.1 +13.3 -16.9
  Sun, Nov 16 267 Radford W 87-82 36%     1 - 3 -0.7 -1.7 +0.2
  Wed, Nov 19 212 Valparaiso L 75-90 38%     1 - 4 -21.2 +1.8 -23.2
  Sat, Nov 22 124 @Kent St. L 71-91 9%     1 - 5 -14.1 -9.1 -3.0
  Fri, Nov 28 50 @Missouri L 59-86 3%     1 - 6 -13.2 -10.5 -2.4
  Wed, Dec 3 194 @Northern Kentucky L 80-95 17%     1 - 7 0 - 1 -14.1 +5.8 -19.5
  Sat, Dec 6 298 Detroit Mercy L 59-71 54%     1 - 8 0 - 2 -22.5 -12.7 -11.1
  Wed, Dec 17 110 @UAB L 72-88 7%    
  Sun, Dec 21 229 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 80-82 41%    
  Mon, Dec 29 355 IU Indianapolis W 95-87 77%    
  Sun, Jan 4 220 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 78-87 21%    
  Fri, Jan 9 149 @Oakland L 80-93 12%    
  Sun, Jan 11 298 @Detroit Mercy L 75-80 33%    
  Thu, Jan 15 277 Green Bay L 76-77 50%    
  Sat, Jan 17 166 Youngstown St. L 73-79 30%    
  Wed, Jan 21 143 @Wright St. L 70-83 11%    
  Fri, Jan 30 277 @Green Bay L 73-79 29%    
  Sun, Feb 1 229 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 77-85 22%    
  Wed, Feb 4 149 Oakland L 83-90 27%    
  Sat, Feb 7 355 @IU Indianapolis W 92-90 57%    
  Thu, Feb 12 182 Robert Morris L 73-78 34%    
  Sun, Feb 15 143 Wright St. L 73-80 26%    
  Wed, Feb 18 166 @Youngstown St. L 70-82 15%    
  Sun, Feb 22 220 Purdue Fort Wayne L 81-84 40%    
  Wed, Feb 25 194 Northern Kentucky L 77-81 35%    
  Sat, Feb 28 182 @Robert Morris L 70-81 17%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.7 0.4 0.0 3.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 2.6 2.7 0.9 0.0 7.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.2 4.6 1.5 0.1 12.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 3.9 7.0 5.9 2.2 0.2 20.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.9 6.3 10.4 10.4 6.1 1.8 0.2 37.2 10th
11th 0.4 2.2 4.1 4.1 2.5 0.8 0.1 14.2 11th
Total 0.4 2.3 6.0 10.5 14.2 15.4 14.8 12.7 9.9 6.1 4.1 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 35.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 5.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1
13-7 0.4% 11.5% 11.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-8 1.1% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 1.0
11-9 2.0% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.1 2.0
10-10 4.1% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 3.9
9-11 6.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 6.1
8-12 9.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 9.8
7-13 12.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.6
6-14 14.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.8
5-15 15.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.3
4-16 14.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.1
3-17 10.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.5
2-18 6.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.0
1-19 2.3% 2.3
0-20 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%